1/ lots of ppl asking me about @bitfinex and $USDT

i'm not a cheerleader of BFX nor USDT, but here's a thread looking at the facts

don't trust the FUD, verify - the market usually knows b4 any announcement

i'm no expert on any of this, just watching the same game ur watching
2/ premium on BFX remains likely due to the time it takes wires to hit the exchange - 2-3 business days at least

wires were restored on Oct 16th, so as early as FRI or MON EST

bitfinex.com/posts/294

it will also take time for confidence/trust to be restored in BFX/USDT
3/ i'm also keeping a close eye on the US$786MM sitting in the $USDT treasury address - flows in and out of this 1NT address will indicate if things are working properly

omniexplorer.info/address/1NTMak…

afaik, this unused $USDT eventually goes to a burn address? (i could be wrong)
4/ there is also US$20MM sitting the BFX 1KY $USDT address - again, inflow/outflow here will show restored processing

omniexplorer.info/address/1KYiKJ…

total circulating supply of $USDT listed on CMC as US$2.2 billion

u can also check USDT addresses for other major exchanges/coins
5/ u can also watch the USDT/USD pair for the return to normalcy

as @IamNomad pointed out, this IS NOT the peg, this is the market rate

the peg refers to the ability to cash out 1 $USDT to $1 - based on the few i've spoken with, this process is working as intended
6/ the ultimate market confidence indication for BFX as an exchange will be a steady increase in cold wallet stores, which have been on a steady decline since early Sept

blockchain.com/charts/balance…

next time says BFX is insolvent, look here first - we have the blockchain, use it
7/ when all is said and done, all $USDT pairs on all exchanges should see a decrease in price relative to the fiat pairs & the fiat pairs may also see a bump in price (arbitrage)

i disagree with the language used on this site, but the info is clean untether.space
8/ so how can all this be prevented?

$USDT & BFX need much more transparent & offensive PR

they waited a month before saying anything - way too long for the announcement on wtf was going on

wires were delayed a month or more at that point for some ppl

blog.bitfinex.com/announcements/…
9/ $USDT also needs to remove the words "frequent" & "audit" from the website

a true audit will never happen, just ask Cameron Winklevoss
10/ TL;DR

market still unsure of $USDT and BFX, as evident by: market price of $USDT, declining BFX $BTC cold storage, and unarbed $USDT pair premiums - this should/could return to normal by next week
11/ competition for $USDT & BFX is great for consumers & crypto as a whole

use/reliance of $USDT by multiple/all exchanges is definitely a single point of failure

but, be cognizant that others seek to gain from the decline of both, don't fall victim to disinformation campaigns
12/ furthermore, i don't think the crypto market as a whole goes anywhere until all of the points discussed above are crystal clear

BFX & $USDT represent too much of the market to think otherwise
another cool site for money flow visualization

coinlib.io/global-crypto-…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Josh Olszewicz

Josh Olszewicz Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @CarpeNoctom

Aug 24, 2020
a potential new $BTC PF has emerged w/anchor points in dec '18, june 19, and march 2020

midline currently = 15.8k

liking this tweet will appease the PF gods
$ETH PF equivalent
$LINK PF from 2018 still going stronk
Read 4 tweets
Aug 17, 2020
are devs selling? yes

have they been selling for months? yes

are they selling faster than they have been? not really, still 1m /month thus far Image
TA wise - is in the "DCA out of your position" territory based on MA multiplier

*educational info not investment advice* Image
MA multiplier suggests is done moving up - price broke down from the multiplier

Marines just gunna let this happen? smdh

DONT LET THE TA WIN Image
Read 10 tweets
Apr 12, 2020
Seeing lots of talk about what normalcy will look like now that most of us are several weeks into quarantine

Here's a 1921 cartoon on the "return to normalcy"
Some events before and after:
1900 - gold standard begins
1913 - FED created
1914 - 1918 - WWI
1917 - tax increase
1918 - influenza pandemic
1919 - prohibition begins
"Roaring Twenties"
1920 - woman's suffrage
1921 - tax cuts
1924 - tax cuts
1929 - stock market crash
1929 - 1939 - Great Depression
1933 - FDR 1st term - New Deal
1933 - Hitler rises to power
1933 - prohibition ends
1934 - gold standard ends/tax inc
1935 - Social Security Act
1937 - FDR 2nd term
1938 - Federal Minimum Wage enacted
1939 - 1945 - WWII
1941 - FDR 3rd term
Read 21 tweets
Jan 30, 2020
1W $ETH

still very early, but possibility of A&E-type pattern building

1.618 and measured move are also near yearly pivots, $444-$555
VPVR conf agrees

PF suggests late july - late sept time frame based on ML
also, months away from this playing out, but Cloud showing possibility 200 --> 750 e2e

will likely require some sort of catalyst - aka staking
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(