Q: Why did the government not realise that leaving the SM/CU while maintaining a frictionless border with Ireland would require a specific solution for Northern Ireland?
A: Because they were so obsessed with immigration that it didn't occur to them.
Thread. (1/x)
Let's start with the campaign. Early on, in February 2016, Boris Johnson said the border would be unaffected because the free travel area predates EU membership. (2/x) bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northe…
In April 2016, the then Northern Ireland Secretary is asked about the impact of Brexit on the border. She dismisses it and her entire answer focuses on movement of people and illegal immigration. (3/x)
Fast forward to the period after the vote. The first indication of May's Brexit strategy came in her October conference speech on Brexit in which she heavily trailed the decision to go for a hard Brexit. There is no mention of the Irish border. (4/x) politicshome.com/news/uk/politi…
A week later, new Northern Ireland Secretary James Brokenshire floats the idea of moving UK immigration controls to Ireland’s ports and airports as a way to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland. (5/x) theguardian.com/politics/2016/…
In January 2017, Theresa May's Lancaster House speech set out her red lines. The Irish border is mentioned only in the context of immigration, despite now making it explicit that the UK's position was to leave the single market and customs union. (6/x) gov.uk/government/spe…
It's worth mentioning that at this point, the government's majority was based on a manifesto which said there was "no one-size-fits-all solution" for the United Kingdon. ucrel.lancs.ac.uk/wmatrix/ukmani… (7/x)
The current impasse is a direct result of the government not reflecting the logic of their own manifesto and facing up to the consequences of their own decision to leave the single market and customs union. (8/8)
PS: Here's an extraordinary clip of a Newsnight discussion before the referendum where Penny Mordaunt is asked about the Irish border, with the standard response, and then Richard Walton, formerly of the Met Police starts explaining why a border would be a good idea.
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To keep their Brexit coalition together, Boris Johnson and Dominic Cummings’ main task is not to deliver Brexit, but to keep on ‘owning the Remainers’. (2/x)
They did this successfully in 2019 even while crossing all of their red lines on the Northern Ireland protocol and throwing their allies in the DUP under the bus. (3/x)
‘Taking back control’ of our waters has become a totemic rallying cry for Brexiteers, but what really lies behind the decline of coastal fishing communities, and is the EU just a convenient scapegoat?
Modern fishing trawlers were first developed in the Devon village of Brixham, and were sold to ports such as Scarborough, Hull, Grimsby, Harwich and Yarmouth, enabling Grimsby to become the largest fishing port in the world by the mid-19th century. (2/x)
Historically, territorial waters had only a three-mile limit, determined by the distance that cannonballs could be fired from the shore. Waters outside this limit fell under the 'freedom of the seas' principle, which suited the UK as the dominant naval power of the 1800s. (3/x)
In 1992, the Queen addressed the European Parliament in Strasbourg in a speech which praised the European Union for realising Churchill’s vision of a united Europe. She wore a broach representing the 12 stars of the EU flag.
Thread (1/x)
The Queen praised the founders of the EU and noted that “their aims were much more ambitious than a materialistic vision”, quoting from Jean Monnet’s memoirs where he described the unification of European industry as a guarantee of peace. (2/x)
Concluding her remarks, the Queen called for the expansion of the European Union and for it to help Europe play a greater role in the wider world, quoting Lord Salisbury: “we are a part of the community of Europe, and we must do our duty as such”. (3/x)
Some extraordinary passages in Cameron’s book. Imagine the cringe factor of this: he tried to deliver a presentation to Angela Merkel in German, despite the fact that he could "barely speak a word of the language".
In the renegotiation Merkel warned Cameron against arguing for British exceptionalism. He later told himself: "The risks of playing with fire are now safer than watching the fire burn." Err...
Cameron admits that his 2014 conference speech, which raised undeliverable expectations, was aimed at stemming defections to UKIP. Cameron justifies his focus on immigration by saying "the numbers were out of control - you could see it in crowded doctors’ waiting rooms".
Ken Clarke nailed the problem of not defining the Leave option back in 2015 when the referendum legislation was debated in parliament: "What does out mean?" (Note the incredulous head-shaking from John Redwood when Clarke talks about the WTO option.)
Clarke concluded by saying we need a question and campaign that was absolutely clear, warning that a vote to Leave would be "a fanciful escapist route into isolated nationalism which would greatly diminish our influence in the world and greatly damage our economy."
Clarke took an intervention from Brexiteer @OwenPaterson who insisted he was an "enthusiastic proponent" of the "European market". Paterson has since become a No Dealer, proving Clarke's point that his position was an absurdity to begin with.
“World For Brexit” is actively fundraising in the USA in order to pay for “lobbyists in Brussels”, “offices in London, Washington and Brussels”, “paid media”, “global events with high-profile international speakers”. (A cynic might say this is just jobs for the boys.) (2/x)
So what's in it for potential donors? They say they will lobby for a so-called ‘genuine’ Brexit (a euphemism for No Deal) because this will deliver greater market access to a weakened UK. (3/x)