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Joshua Green Profile picture
@JoshuaGreen
Mar 5, 2019 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Crunching the Mardi Gras booze data for @BW to measure alcoholic polarization: Dems drink cognac + brandy, GOPers bourbon + shitty light beer: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Here's a chart showing the partisan breakdown of alcohol consumption, via @WillFeltus of National Media Inc. (bloomberg.com/news/articles/…): Image
My massive and regretful college consumption of Keystone Light apparently marked me as a hardcore Republican, and I didn't even know it
Digging deeper in the data, Mexican-beer drinkers (Corona, Tecate, Modelo) skew heavily Dem because they're young hipsters; GOP voters are olds w/ expanding waistlines + thus gravitate to watery light beers (Coors, Bud, Miller and-gag-Busch): bloomberg.com/news/articles/… #MardiGras
Merlot is the only truly nonpartisan drink (@HowardSchultz)
setting up a Kickstarter to fund my further research on this topic, stay tuned

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More from @JoshuaGreen

Joshua Green Profile picture
Jan 9
My new book 'THE REBELS' on Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the rise of the populist left is out today. Hope you'll check it out! amazon.com/Rebels-Elizabe…
Image
Some early praise: "brilliant" (Semafor), "A revealing history of an epochal shift in American politics” (Publishers Weekly), "Fast-paced, sober, yet hopeful . . . Green is a first-rate journalist” (The Atlantic)
For anyone who liked DEVIL'S BARGAIN, my 2017 book on the rise of Bannon, Trump + the populist right, THE REBELS is the flip side of the story: how the backlash to the 2008 financial crisis gave rise to the new populist left. [] []amazon.com/Rebels-Elizabe…
amazon.com/Devils-Bargain…
Read 6 tweets
Joshua Green Profile picture
Sep 29, 2020
More bad news for Trump: as Covid relief expires tomorrow, airlines plan to lay off tens of thousands of workers -- hitting swing states especially hard since AZ, PA, NC, FL + TX all have airport hubs. My new @BW: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
this is reason #2,312 Trump should have forcefully pushed for a big stimulus: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Because airlines have to file notice of mass layoffs, we already know they plan to cut thousands of jobs in Arizona (azcentral.com/story/travel/a…)

Biden leads Trump 48-45 in Arizona (per RealClear average)
Read 9 tweets
Joshua Green Profile picture
Sep 8, 2020
My new @BW feature on how Maricopa County, AZ and suburbs like it are the new frontier of U.S. politics -- trending hard against Trump and poised to determine control of the White House and Congress in November: bloomberg.com/news/features/…
Diversity is one big driver of suburban change: 358 of the nation's 364 metro areas have seen fall in white population share since 2010. Census estimates also show total number of whites in U.S. has actually fallen last 3 years for 1st time in U.S. history...
But suburban transformation away from GOP/Trump, in AZ and elsewhere, is also being driven by striking attitudinal changes among white professionals -- I call them "uneasy golfers," for reasons explained in the piece bloomberg.com/news/features/… Image
Read 4 tweets
Joshua Green Profile picture
Jun 23, 2020
Smart traders don't act on Navarro rants because he's often freelancing
e.g.
e.g. #2
Read 8 tweets
Joshua Green Profile picture
Apr 24, 2020
My new @BW piece on a hidden danger lurking for Trump: "double haters" -- voters who dislike both candidates -- strongly favor Biden. A sharp change from '16 when they broke hard to Trump bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
also, thanks to @NBCNews for sharing polling data for this piece
As I wrote in Devil's Bargain (amazon.com/Devils-Bargain…) Trump's team was obsessed with "double haters" who were stubbornly undecided or flirted with 3rd party candidates...until James Comey reopened Clinton email investigation and they broke to Trump ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Joshua Green Profile picture
Mar 19, 2020
NEW: Coronavirus is hitting at worst possible time for Trump’s reelection. Studies show election-year economy - Q2 specifically - is “what really matters in terms of shaping voter outlook,” per @AlanIAbramowitz. And we’re entering a ferocious Q2 recession: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Recession-induced income loss will be critical. Research by Larry Bartels + Chris Achen found "a strong relationship between changes in real disposable income per capita in the 2nd and 3rd quarters of presidential election years and the incumbent party’s electoral fortunes."
And new Q2 forecasts are simply brutal:
JP Morgan: -14%
Pantheon: -10%
Goldman: -5%
Read 5 tweets

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