(Thread) Expect more Trump-GOP lawbreaking

People are frustrated that Trump and pals aren't deterred by the threat of subpoenas.

I have some bad news: You can expect lots more Trump-GOP lawbreaking before this is over.

3 things are happening at once. . .
1/ Happening at once:

💠Trump and friends openly break laws;
💠 The Trump-FOX GOP pretend it isn’t happening; and
💠The Trump-FOX-GOP accuse Democrats of made-up crimes. (This started decades ago with Whitewater and is happening now with the FISA-warrant made-up scandal.)
2/ We’re in for more Trump-GOP lawbreaking, I’m afraid.

Look, Trump’s supporters know he is a law breaker.
Many voted for him BECAUSE he is a law breaker.

He ran on a promise to destroy the political establishment. What do you think that means? They love that he defies "norms."
3/ The problem isn’t a lawbreaker in the White House. The problem is that a major political party supports him and 42% of the population approves of him.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval…

First let's consider the reasons. When we understand the problem, we can find a solution.
4/ Reason #1: Some Trump supporters want to destroy the federal government because of a “crisis of legitimacy” which happens when people don’t think the government governs on their behalf. See: “The Authentic Appeal of the Lying Demagogue":
asanet.org/sites/default/…
5/ They think the “political establishment” is favoring new groups over“real” Americans. Exactly what Laura Ingraham explained here.


Reason #2: Some Trump supporters cheer the lawbreaking because they don’t believe those laws should exist. . .
6/ They want to go back to the 1920s, before the New Deal, Civil Rights legislation, and regulatory agencies.
They despise the regulations that, in their view, infringe on their personal liberty.

They want to be able to do what they want, and those pesky laws get in the way
7/ They want to go back to the days when white men could grab and take and cheat. See👇


Reason #3: Greed. You can get richer faster if you ignore the laws.
You can get richer even faster if you take Russian money.
8/ Reason #4: Trump has a strange effect on people. James Comey talked about how he corrupts people.
nytimes.com/2019/05/01/opi…

He said: “people lacking inner strength can’t resist the compromises necessary to survive Mr. Trump. . .” Read this passage:
9/ Reason #5: In tribal (us v. them) politics, if “our” team does it, it’s okay.
There is an incredible passage in Max Boot’s book beginning on page 165👇

Boot looks back on a lifetime of conservative / GOP activism, and asks where things went wrong. How did Trump happen?
10/ Notice the part about how GOP members ignore “sins” in the name of “unity” on the right.

As a result lawbreaking is no longer disqualifying in the GOP. In fact, it’s become a badge of honor. Lawbreakers are widely seen as heroes . . .
11/ This astonishing video shows the ovation and applause Roger Stone received at a GOP event in VA after his indictment.


The GOP even act like victims when their lawbreaking is exposed.
12/ Text messages reveal that Manafort told Hannity that he did "nothing" and that "they" would “go after” Trump and family next, but he wouldn’t “give” them up. (Sounds like he's both guilty and a victim, an odd combination.)
edition.cnn.com/2019/06/21/pol…
13/ What we’re experiencing could be* the last gasp of a dying old regime, the regime of white men doing as they pleased.

(I say "could be" because it depends on how people react.)

When Trump defies court orders, I expect lots of people to declare democracy officially dead.
14/ That is the wrong thing to do. I know because it fails the "Putin" test, which goes like this: "Would Putin approve?"

Putin WANTS us to declare democracy dead. In fact, a goal of Putin’s Active Measures is to get people to lose faith in democratic systems.
15/ when enough people lose faith (despair and give up) it’s all over.

Harvard Prof. Levitsky talks about why the GOP is so desperately breaking laws: Demographically, their long term and medium term prospects are poor.
16/ The problem is that their base is shrinking, so their medium and long-term prospects are not good.

The Democratic Party, OTOH, has morphed into the party of urban intellectuals, minority communities, and young people.
Democrats own the future. See:
17/ Levitsky says to treat Trump's lawbreaking like an earthquake.

The way to respond to an earthquake is to move quickly to strengthen the weakened structures.

The analogy is perfect because people keep asking me, “What if the GOP destroys our democratic institutions?”
18/ If the GOP destroys them, we build them back up. Cities rebuild after earthquakes and continue on. Then we prepare for the next earthquake by reinforcing our institutions.
Ziblatt says you don’t respond to an earthquake by putting more stress on the institutions.
19/ The future is (can be) democratic and diverse, so we want to preserve the institutions as much as possible during the rattling.

The more people get involved and take positive steps to strengthen our damaged institutions, the better chance democracy has of surviving.
20/ Spreading panic and thus increasing chaos is the worst thing we can do.
Remember, Trump is trying hard to keep everyone in a spin.

By “strengthen institutions” I mean individual citizens taking personal responsibility. There is a wonderful passage in this book (p. 60):
21/ Here's the passage 👇
We need to make politics cool again.
More people need to be engaged and involved at the grassroots level.
Taking power back in a way that preserves institutions instead of putting more stress on them means using only democratic means.
22/ In other words, I'm urging a careful, measured response.

@SawyerSteve points out that the alternative to careful and measured, urgent and dramatic, can have a lot more appeal.

Resist that appeal. We need to preserve, not further stress, our institutions.

End/
A few people have asked me this👇@A2Mamman

I am in favor of opening impeachment proceedings, and in fact, marched for impeachment last week.

The problem is that people seem to think impeachment will stop the GOP lawbreaking, or even that . . .
. . . impeachment means Trump will be removed from office. Removal requires 2/3 of the Senate, which is highly unlikely.

For why the analogies to Nixon (and Clinton) are probably wrong, see 👇


It's also unrealistic to think that impeachment. . . .
. . . will "teach the GOP a lesson."

Looking to the criminal justice system to get us out of this mess is also not realistic. I know, I know. The Trump-Fox-GOP are disregarding rule of law. But (and here's I'm speaking as a criminal appellate defense lawyer) . . .
. . . mass arrests or incarceration is also not a good solution, particularly when the lawbreakers are members of a major political party and represent a significant portion of Americans. (Unless you ignore polls and facts, it;'s upwards of 35%) Not a majority, but a lot.
This brings us to the question of the hour 👇

I'm afraid you're not going to like the answer. But I want to caution you against answers you will like. I believe anyone who tells you there is a quick and easy solution is not being realistic . . .
. . . the mess we are in was decades in the making and there are no quick fixes. Before I tell you what will make it stop, I'll tell you what is dangerous. This kind of talk 👇
There is no legal way to remove Trump from office immediately. The drafters of the constitution . .
. . . deliberately made it hard to remove a sitting president.

I asked, "What legal means will remove the president, & received answers from several people. One person said this 👇which to me comes dangerously close to extortion, and is what Prof. Levitsky calls "hardball."
. . . another answer I received was that NY should arrest Trump and 👇

If a state arresting a president automatically removes him from office, I don't think Obama would have lasted 8 years in office.

OK so there are no easy solutions. What will stop the lawbreaking? Only this:
. . . Everyone who wants to put an end to the GOP lawbreaking spree needs to come together and win big the next few election cycles.

The far right wing that has taken over the GOP and government needs to be pushed back to the fringes. They will never go away . . .
. . . a certain percentage of the population will always have authoritarian and anti-democratic tendencies.

You won't argue them out of their views, or deter them with threats of prison or worse.

For more on the authoritarian personality see:
Lots of typing errors and I left off a screen shot. (Sorry!)

The person who said to arrest Trump in New York, also said this 👇

The argument is that if NY arrests Trump, the 25th Amendment is evoked and Trump will be removed.

It doesn't (and shouldn't) work that way.
I totally understand.
What works for me is volunteering. Instead of moaning about what's happening at the border, I volunteer through Raices. I was in Texas for a week recently giving legal assistance to asylum seekers.

I've compiled a list . . .
. . . of things people can do. If millions of people direct their outrage and frustration into constructive action, we can speed things, or at least guarantee that Democracy will win.

Volunteering can also lift you from the exhausting news cycle.
terikanefield-blog.com/things-to-do/
All my threads are blog posts. You can view this one here: terikanefield-blog.com/expect-even-mo…

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More from @Teri_Kanefield

Feb 21
Putin knows how to wield disinformation and he knows that the United States is divided: A large portion of the population, including the most influential voices from a major political party, want the United States to emulate his Russia.

1/
Some background:

After Russia enacted anti-homosexual legislation, Pat Buchanan said Putin was “entering a claim that Moscow is the Godly city of today" because he was stamping out western evils like easy divorce and homosexuality.
buchanan.org/blog/whose-sid…

2/
British right-winger Katie Hopkins, in an article in which she was interviewed with her friend Ann Coulter, said “Putin rocks.”

Katie Hopkins then went on to praise Russia as being “untouched by the myth of multiculturalism and deranged diversity."

rt.com/uk/429777-kati…

3/
Read 4 tweets
Feb 18
Trump lost in court THREE MORE TIMES today.

Trump tried to get all three of these cases⤵️ dismissed and lost. I analyzed one of the cases last April, Blassingame, here: (Transcript on my blog.)

He tends not to do well in court, where facts matter.

1/
The defendants made the following arguments (screenshot #1)

Trump also claims, among other things, that he has absolute immunity. (#2)

It turns out that the absolute immunity question isn't as easy as you might think (but Trump still lost).

2/
If you want to get caught up on one of the cases, my analysis from last April is here:terikanefield.com/blassingame-v-…

And here:

You can read the court's decision here: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…

3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 16
Um . . . this isn't the defense Trump thinks it is.

Trump published a letter he received from Mazars dated (it looks like) 2014. He then summarized the letter.

#1: What Mazars said
#2: What Trump says Mazars said

Me = 🤦‍♀️

Does he think nobody can or will actually read it?
Mazars said, "Trump is responsible for preparing the financial statement."

Also Mazars does not "undertake to obtain or provide any assurance that there are no material modifications that should be made . . . "
Trump posts the letter and says Mazars "strongly states that all work was performed in accordance with professional standards and that there were "no material discrepancies in the financial statements."

There is no "I don't know how to read" defense.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 13
For this week’s blog post, I edited and combined a few of my recent threads.

I started with a reading of the newly unredacted sections of the Mueller report, then talked about some of the responses on Twitter . . .

terikanefield.com/is-social-medi…
. . . and concluded with thoughts about how social media brings out authoritarian instincts in large swaths of people who ordinarily would not be given to authoritarian impulses.



It's too easy for truth to lose, and when truth loses, democracy loses.
Right. And not all "manipulators" are bad actors, but all people need to learn to evaluate sources.

Reflectively saying, "Professor X should know" is not how to do it. It takes more work. Falling in line is always easier than doing the work.

Read 4 tweets
Feb 12
I'm tired of the word "accountable." It's a weasel word. Don't say "accountable." Say what you mean.

Does "accountable" mean
🔹Lose elections?
🔹Go to prison?
🔹Lose a lawsuit?
🔹Be hated?

It would be nice if all the good people were rewarded and the bad people punished.
So you want to start indicting people and gather the evidence after they're indicted?

Or not worry about evidence?

There are rules of evidence, which means that the stuff you've read in newspapers and Tweets probably isn't admissible in court . . .
Indicting people and having juries return "not guilty" verdicts because there isn't evidence to prove each element of a crime beyond a reasonable doubt may not accomplish what people think it will accomplish.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 12
One reason I think social media is turning everyone into authoritarians: people don't read or think.

They see a headline and have a strong emotional reaction, which they Tweet and which then gets repeated by others, who are also not thinking . . .

1/
Political psychologists like @karen_stenner describe the authoritarian personality.

Those with an authoritarian disposition are averse to complexity. They reject nuance.

They prefer sameness and uniformity and have “cognitive limitations.”

(link in the next Tweet)

2/
See for example, "Authoritarianism is not a momentary madness,” which originally appeared in this book, an dwhich Stenner has now made available free on her website, here: ……e-4700-aaa9-743a55a9437a.filesusr.com/ugd/02ff25_370…

Timothy Snyder also talks about the danger of what he calls Internet Memes.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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