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Matt Goodwin Profile picture
@GoodwinMJ
Aug 2, 2019 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Lib Dems win by-election. Con majority now 1.

Results confirm national polls. Resurgent Lib Dems are making Labour life far harder. Is a Boris Bounce but not enough. Brexit Party still a viable threat on 10%. Most likely cost Boris an early victory.
Only way forward for Johnson & team is to find a way of really squeezing that Brexit Party vote all the way down. Meanwhile, lots of reasons for @joswinson to be confident about next GE, even though divided opposition helps Johnson
*Treat by-elections with caution* but on these kinds of shifts the Lib Dems will start to seize seats like Lewes, St Ives, North Cornwall, North Devon, Wells, Hazel Grove, Cheadle, Cheltenham, Richmond Park, (also Lab's Sheffield Hallam)
As I've been saying for a while, one of the things Johnson & team really need to think hard about (among many other things!) is how to defend the Blue Wall in the South West, which was integral to Cameron's 2015 surprise majority. Especially amid resurgent Lib Dems.

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More from @GoodwinMJ

Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Mar 28
I cannot remember the last time I saw six police officers together in Britain. But here they are, arresting two parents, in front of their children, for complaining about their local school in a Whatsapp group. Britain is completely and utterly lost. It used to be the home of individual liberty; now it’s morphing before our very eyes into an Orwellian nightmare. We need a political revolution to restore common sense. And we need it now.
This is not random. This is all part of the crackdown on free speech in the UK which I write about here:

-Hate laws
-Non-crime hate incidents
-Expanded definition of “Islamophobia”

We have completely lost our way
mattgoodwin.org/p/here-comes-t…
Here’s how the new definition of “Islamophobia” will be used to clamp down on free speech and debate
mattgoodwin.org/p/labours-crac…
Read 6 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Mar 4
Here are 3 maps and a thread which show you what is now unfolding in some parts of England 🧵

1. Let me introduce you to St Matthews and Highfields in Leicester.

In this part of Leicester more than 80% of people who are living in social housing were born outside of the UK, of whom only half are currently in work.

More people in this area were born in the Middle East or Asia than in the UK. Three-quarters of residents are Muslim. Not even two-thirds identify as British or English while close to one in three identify with a 'non-UK identity only'. More than four in ten people here live in households that contain NO adults who speak English as their main language.Image
2. Here's Tokyngton or Monks Park in Wembley. In this area, nearly 73% of people who live in scarce social housing were not born in the UK, of whom only 43% are in work. In this area, only 40% of people were born in the UK while about one in three have lived in the UK for less than a decade. More than one-third of people here refuse to identify with a British or English identity. Fully one-quarter live in households that contain no adults who speak English as their main language.Image
3. And here's Alexandra Park in Oldham. In this part of Oldham, close to 70% of people who live in social housing were born outside the UK, of whom only one in three are in work. Close to one-third of people who live here were born in the Middle East, Asia or Africa (compared to an average in England of 6%). More than 83% are Muslim and only four in ten people here live in households where all adults speak English.Image
Read 5 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Nov 15, 2024
UPDATE. We recently demanded Keir Starmer's gvt stop hiding information from people about how mass immigration is impacting the country

We asked British people what they think

Here's what they said 1/

cc @Nigel_Farage @TiceRichard @RupertLowe10 @LeeAndersonMP_ @JamesReform
1/ We asked a representative sample of (2,000) Brits if they'd support or oppose the govt being required to publish data on arrest rates by nationality

Support: 57%
Oppose 16%
2/ We asked if they'd support or oppose the govt being required to publish data on arrest rates by immigration status

Support 62%
Oppose 14%
Read 15 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Jul 4, 2024
Election day. Here are some of our most read (and right!) pieces on the UK 2024 general election. 1/ we called the summer election #GE2024 #GeneralElection2024
mattgoodwin.org/p/are-we-headi…
2/ In July 2022 we explained why Rishi Sunak would likely be a disaster for post-Brexit conservatism
#ge2024 #GeneralElection2024
mattgoodwin.org/p/would-rishi-…
3/ In August 2023, we highlighted the enormous space in British politics that exists for a party like ... Nigel Farage and Reform #ge2024 #GeneralElection2024
mattgoodwin.org/p/a-reply-to-d…
Read 19 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Feb 7, 2024
NEW POST. Them Vs. US. Elites are now dangerously out-of-touch from millions of people who surround them. Findings from a new study
mattgoodwin.org/p/them-vs-us
On climate change, willingness to pay for Net Zero, individual freedom, trust in government, support for the expert class, & political loyalties, the gulf between the Elites & Masses is enormous (esp. between elite uni grads & voters). As I argued 👇
amazon.co.uk/Values-Voice-V…
I write a lot about out-of-touch elites, about how we are now in the hands of a new ruling class, a "luxury belief class" (ht @robkhenderson) which simply does not share the values of ordinary people and does not make room for their voice in our national debate.
Read 8 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Dec 27, 2023
This is the first in a two-part series on what I think we’ve learned about politics in 2023 and —coming in the next few days- what I think 2024 will deliver.

Here are the first five ...
1. In aftermath of October 7th it has become clear the policy of multiculturalism is not working Image
2. It is no longer possible to deny there is a major problem in Western (mainly elite) universities. They are in the midst of a full blown crisis Image
Read 7 tweets

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