Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Aug 2, 2019 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Lib Dems win by-election. Con majority now 1.

Results confirm national polls. Resurgent Lib Dems are making Labour life far harder. Is a Boris Bounce but not enough. Brexit Party still a viable threat on 10%. Most likely cost Boris an early victory.
Only way forward for Johnson & team is to find a way of really squeezing that Brexit Party vote all the way down. Meanwhile, lots of reasons for @joswinson to be confident about next GE, even though divided opposition helps Johnson
*Treat by-elections with caution* but on these kinds of shifts the Lib Dems will start to seize seats like Lewes, St Ives, North Cornwall, North Devon, Wells, Hazel Grove, Cheadle, Cheltenham, Richmond Park, (also Lab's Sheffield Hallam)
As I've been saying for a while, one of the things Johnson & team really need to think hard about (among many other things!) is how to defend the Blue Wall in the South West, which was integral to Cameron's 2015 surprise majority. Especially amid resurgent Lib Dems.

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More from @GoodwinMJ

Nov 15
UPDATE. We recently demanded Keir Starmer's gvt stop hiding information from people about how mass immigration is impacting the country

We asked British people what they think

Here's what they said 1/

cc @Nigel_Farage @TiceRichard @RupertLowe10 @LeeAndersonMP_ @JamesReform
1/ We asked a representative sample of (2,000) Brits if they'd support or oppose the govt being required to publish data on arrest rates by nationality

Support: 57%
Oppose 16%
2/ We asked if they'd support or oppose the govt being required to publish data on arrest rates by immigration status

Support 62%
Oppose 14%
Read 15 tweets
Jul 4
Election day. Here are some of our most read (and right!) pieces on the UK 2024 general election. 1/ we called the summer election #GE2024 #GeneralElection2024
mattgoodwin.org/p/are-we-headi…
2/ In July 2022 we explained why Rishi Sunak would likely be a disaster for post-Brexit conservatism
#ge2024 #GeneralElection2024
mattgoodwin.org/p/would-rishi-…
3/ In August 2023, we highlighted the enormous space in British politics that exists for a party like ... Nigel Farage and Reform #ge2024 #GeneralElection2024
mattgoodwin.org/p/a-reply-to-d…
Read 19 tweets
Feb 7
NEW POST. Them Vs. US. Elites are now dangerously out-of-touch from millions of people who surround them. Findings from a new study
mattgoodwin.org/p/them-vs-us
On climate change, willingness to pay for Net Zero, individual freedom, trust in government, support for the expert class, & political loyalties, the gulf between the Elites & Masses is enormous (esp. between elite uni grads & voters). As I argued 👇
amazon.co.uk/Values-Voice-V…
I write a lot about out-of-touch elites, about how we are now in the hands of a new ruling class, a "luxury belief class" (ht @robkhenderson) which simply does not share the values of ordinary people and does not make room for their voice in our national debate.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 27, 2023
This is the first in a two-part series on what I think we’ve learned about politics in 2023 and —coming in the next few days- what I think 2024 will deliver.

Here are the first five ...
1. In aftermath of October 7th it has become clear the policy of multiculturalism is not working Image
2. It is no longer possible to deny there is a major problem in Western (mainly elite) universities. They are in the midst of a full blown crisis Image
Read 7 tweets
Dec 24, 2023
NEW POST. Merry Christmas, Friends. Thanks for supporting our Substack community. Here are our 10 most read posts of 2023 ...
mattgoodwin.org/p/merry-christ…
10. The Crisis We Can't Discuss
mattgoodwin.org/p/the-crisis-w…
9. What I Told a Cabinet Minister
mattgoodwin.org/p/what-i-told-…
Read 12 tweets
Nov 9, 2023
NEW POST. Islamo-Fascism and the Woke Left. Why many Brits now fear their values, history, and identity are being attacked on two fronts at the same time.
mattgoodwin.org/p/islamo-fasci…
Both are profoundly illiberal belief systems, prioritising religious or fixed-group racial, sexual, and gender identities above individual rights
Both are dismissive of things which underpin & define liberal societies, including not just individual rights but tolerance, pluralism, free speech, and the values of the Enlightenment which prioritise reason, truth, evidence, and scientific knowledge
Read 9 tweets

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