Had a really interesting conversation with @matt_levine about the intersection of technology and finance, coming to an Internets near you in the not too distant future.
I definitely learned something; hope everyone will enjoy it.
Specific interesting thing from about the first minute: I asked Matt what a convertible bond was for the audience and he gave the true technical answer (a bond which can be surrendered for stock at some agreed upon terms) and why it was interesting to companies.
That reason: you should only convert the bond above some share price, which effectively means you have a call option on buying the stock. Call options are more valuable if volatility is high. This is well understood.
Therefore, a borrower running a business with high variance (like a tech company with unproven model or a biotech firm) can get a loan which they’d probably not qualify for under traditional underwriting standards (“Where’s your cash flow?!”) by bundling implicit option premium.
That’s kind of beautiful: the very fact that your business is risky de-risks the offering enough such that you can access the money necessary to take your risky shot.
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Correspondent: *situation* So how is it that my credit card at A shows a payment has posted but by checking account at B shows it as not withdrawn yet?
Me: That’s usual behavior for U.S. bank transfers. Each is an extension of credit, with various risk controls.
And now I’ll continue this with a character.
X: But the money is in two places at once. It cannot be in two places at once.
Me: Extension of credit creates money, yes.
X: Good thing this only happens for credit cards and not for checking accounts.
Me: Built into every account.
X: But a checking account isn’t a credit product.
Me: Oh no it is.
X: What I didn’t apply for credit.
Me: Try to remember what information was on the form you filled out when you opened it.
X: That was for KYC though.
Me: Also a purpose of that form.
Seems like the SEC finally got around to fining DCG for lying through their teeth repeatedly in 2022.
I think this finally lets me cash in a very old hash. Most is very old news, but there's one discussion topic that is perhaps not public yet.sec.gov/newsroom/press…
So back in November 8th, 2022 I dropped this hash on Twitter.
That is not actually a book, but let’s say there is a very rich subgenre of advice, much of it written by and for very successful people, which says what that book would say, in some cases literally by way of extended D&D metaphors it assumes the audience will grok.
*sigh*
You can tell more than a little bit about me from immediately feeling the need to clarify that that was not an actual book.
I sometimes get asked "Why don't you have a tip cup? I'd like to support you, but don't want to commit to a subscription." My macroed response is that I appreciate the gesture and suggest a donation to a local charity.
I do not take donations because I sell things to businesses.
Businesses do not customarily tip or donate to professionals. When they see someone with a tip cup, they think "Not a professional."
This is not something I want a business to think about me when quoting rates.
From time to time a business has suggested to me that they think my prices are too high. I tell them that they are welcome to their opinions on pricing strategy. Sometimes they then tell me they are confident I would make more if I lowered prices.
Matt Levine has a great entry today about the bank which motivated this tweet thread, which apparently ran afoul of the CFPB. He is… appropriately skeptical of their theory that this is improper in a way which should be illegal.
Two years ago I would have been pleasantly surprised that an LLM could math out what a QSR manager was and provide fictional examples. Today I’m pleasantly surprised one just extrapolated cultural commentary on why PMC values chefs more than QSR managers… without me asking.
Claude 3.5, FWIW. I am very new with Claude and have minimal system prompt or context it could be going on, unless it's cross-connecting with my public corpora.
The setup:
Claude then answers my question with a question of its own. I play along.