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Aug 8, 2019 15 tweets 13 min read Read on X
Alright! Here I am, making my debut on Twitter. To mark the occasion, I am handing out the "Lemon of the Year" Award to one of the worst performing Debt Mutual Funds.

A clear winner in this category, by a mile, is BoI AXA Credit Risk Fund. Thread (1/9)
The fund has achieved a rare feat of burning almost 90% of its AUM within a span of last 11 months i.e. the AUM contracted from ~1700 Cr in Aug 2018 to ~200 Cr in Jul 2019.

The one year return is a whopping minus 48%. 2/9
The Fund Managers successfully caught all the lemons that fate threw at them viz DHFL, IL&FS, Kwality, Sintex, Cox & Kings, Coffee Day etc. 3/9
It is a living example of a debt trap. The exit loads are 4%, 3% and 2% if an investors attempts to exit the fund in the first, second and third year respectively. 4/9
That is, if an investors decides to exit after earning a -48% return (i.e. after losing half of the invested amount) in the 1st yr of investment, he/ she is made to pay another 4% for pushing the SoS button too soon. 5/9
It is rumoured that a famous international PE fund (that also operates a high-yield debt NBFC in India) was the fund, philosopher and guide (probably an originator too) of this Fund. 6/9
The Fund was rated 5 star (now 2 star) by a leading MF research firm and a leading finance daily, in Oct 2018, called it as one of the best Credit Risk Funds to invest in. 7/9
The finance daily had also advised the investors that they should stay invested even if there are 1 or 2 defaults in the funds recommended. Huh. 8/9
The fund, in July 2019, stopped taking fresh subscriptions, probably on account of the setbacks it faced. A lot of investors still remain trapped in this ill managed fund hoping to recover their hard earned money. 9/9

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More from @Funter21510910

Jun 28, 2020
Lessons in Debt for Equity Analysts

Most equity analysts I have interacted with till date had little understanding of debt beyond leverage ratios. As a result, they are not able to fully comprehend the risks associated with debt. Here are a few lessons for equity analysts. 1/11
1. Unviable promoter level debt would adversely impact the operating company eventually. A promoter who is financially cornered will always look for ways to squeeze money out from the operating company. Some of these desprate measures could well be unscrupulous. 2/11
2. A debt-stressed company drains out healthier companies of the group. It is rare that a promoter lets go of a company easily. He tries hard to support the weaker entity through the resources of stronger entities (via ICDs, guarantees etc.) thereby jeopardising the later. 3/11
Read 15 tweets
Jun 25, 2020
12 things to remember while buying Life Insurance:

1. Take term plan and not an endowment plan. The insurance cover is higher for a term plan for the same premium. However, you do not get maturity benefits in term plan. Remember, you are buying Insurance and not a FD. 1/9
2. Take your plan from an insurance company that is expected to survive 20-30 years. Insurance is used over long periods and therefore it is necessary to choose a company that has a size/ networth for a long life (what an irony!). Don't look beyond LIC, SBI, ICICI and HDFC. 2/9
3. Take adequate cover - If you think Rs. 2 Cr is a good enough cover for you; wait; increase your cover to Rs. 5 Cr. Inflation levels are high in India and money loses its value very fast. Remember how valuable Rs. 1 lakh were 20 years back. 3/9
Read 12 tweets
Apr 7, 2020
Microfinance Institutions on the brink...yet again!!

The microfinance industry in India could never really recover from the Andhra crisis of 2009-10. Just when things start to normalise, a new crisis rocks the boat. There has been no respite. Thread 1/11
From inept legislation to demonetisation, from political interference to religious diktats and from frauds to natural calamities, Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) have been battered by every risk possible. The latest in this series of pitfalls is the Corona lock-down. 2/11
Following is why I feel it's the biggest threat ever:

1) Collections have come to a grinding halt - The loan collections have largely been in cash. The lock-down has severely impaired collection efforts as the mobility of collection agents and borrowers is restricted. 3/11
Read 15 tweets
Dec 15, 2019
The Sovereign Rating (SR) scare for India

Recently, Standard & Poor (S&P) warned that India's SR will be downgraded if the country's economic growth does not recover. Bond yields spiked soon after the S&P red flag. Here's why India should take the warning seriously. Thread 1/11
SRs of 3 agencies - S&P, Moody's and Fitch are considered important. Currently, India is rated BBB- (Stable) by S&P, Baa2 (Negative) by Moody's and BBB- (Stable) by Fitch. Simply put, India is barely investment grade as per S&P and Fitch and a notch better as per Moody's. 2/11
Following are the reasons why SRs are important and why India should heed S&P's warning.

1. There is a clear correlation between bond yields/ spreads and SRs i.e. a poor SR could increase the cost of borrowings of Government as well as corporates. 3/11
Read 15 tweets
Nov 17, 2019
The Sterling Wilson debt saga

A letter from Sterling Wilson Solar Ltd. (SWSL) dated Nov 14, informing the exchanges about the extension of debt repayment deadline granted to promoters (Shapoorji Pallonji Company Pvt. Ltd. - SPCPL & K. Daruvala) has created widespread panic. 1/14
As at Aug 19, other companies of the promoters owed Rs. 2,563 crore to SWSL. SWSL, in Aug 19, was IPO bound and the promoters, in the red herring prospectus, promised to pay off the entire debt owed to SWSL, within 90 days, from the IPO proceeds. 2/14
The SWSL IPO was entirely an offer for sale i.e. the IPO was meant only to dilute the promoters' shareholding and no IPO proceeds went to SWSL. The IPO was under subscribed (92%) yet the promoters managed to raise ~Rs. 2,850 crore. 3/14
Read 18 tweets
Sep 19, 2019
Insolvency & Bankruptcy Code (IBC): The story so far

IBC was enacted in Dec 2016, with the objective of ensuring speedy resolutions of NPAs. It was hailed as one of the most landmark reforms in India. This post is an attempt to understand if this code lived up to its promise.1/9
Till June, 2019, 2162 cases have been admitted. Of these, 174 have been closed on appeal or review or settled; 101 have been withdrawn; 475 have ended in liquidation and 120 received an approval of resolution plans. 1292 cases are pending. 2/9
The 120 closed cases have yielded resolution worth ~Rs. 1,08,070 crore as against total admitted claims of ~Rs. 2,52,577 crore i.e. the recovery rate was 43%. The liquidation value of these assets was merely 23% of the claims. So, IBC yielded a better than expected recovery. 3/9
Read 9 tweets

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