Seth Abramson Profile picture
Aug 13, 2019 20 tweets 4 min read Read on X
(QUESTION OF THE DAY) Can *anyone* explain the series of events below to me? Wexner just retained a criminal defense attorney; Rybolovlev is a former employer of Joel Zamel, the Israeli who says he [illegally] aided the Trump campaign with Saudi and Emirati money pre-election...
1/ It seems to me that if Epstein really did underwrite Mar-a-Lago/1125 S. Ocean Blvd.—as he's claimed—he'd have been livid if Trump's sister basically gave it back to him in 2004 to help him purchase a home (Wexner's old home) that *Epstein* wanted. That'd explain a falling out.
2/ Just so, if Epstein had some sort of a financial claim on Trump that he was liable to push after being cheated out of a home he wanted to live in in 2004, one could easily imagine Trump dropping a dime on Epstein regarding behaviors he'd long known about (and even spoken of).
3/ But the home Trump outbid Epstein for was a bad investment Trump overpaid for out of anger with Epstein. So say Epstein—who has close ties to the Israeli and Saudi governments—wants to get back in Trump's good graces while the Israelis and Saudis are courting Russia over Iran.
4/ It's well known that Putin directs his oligarchs to do things he needs them to do. Was Rybolovlev ordered to overpay Trump by $55M as part of a rapprochement with Epstein? We certainly know Rybolovlev lied—repeatedly—about why he bought the property. (See PROOF OF CONSPIRACY.)
5/ Sometime after Trump makes maybe his biggest real estate killing ever—a $55M profit in 48 months—he and Epstein, per Epstein, become close again, with Epstein advising Trump on foreign policy, per Epstein. Everyone knows you can get back into Trump's good graces by paying him.
6/ Meanwhile, Rybolovlev has bought access to Trump significant enough he can meet him twice pre-election—as Putin is aiding Trump—and at Epstein's home/Mar-a-Lago in December '17, the latter meetup possibly with Deripaska, who was in Miami and is Suspect #1 in Russian collusion.
7/ I don't know if any of that is correct; I'm not even saying it is. I'm just trying to figure out what "theory of the case" an investigator would compose—on the strength of these fully confirmed facts—that'd make them make any sense at all. Clearly these individuals have ties.
8/ When asked what the basis for his falling out with Epstein was, Trump lied: first he said he caught Epstein harassing a masseuse at Mar-a-Lago, and then, when reports came out that it was actually a business deal, he switched to saying to media, "Frankly, it doesn't matter..."
9/ When Trump tells you that the basis for his falling out with Epstein "doesn't matter," you know—you know for *certain*, if you've ever covered this president as a journalist—that it's something that *definitely* matters. So a "theory of the case" on this is vitally important.
10/ 1985 and 2004 are 19 years apart. There's no chance it's coincidence that Epstein effectively says Trump owes him money for a 1985 purchase—then Trump does a squirrelly '04 deal with his sister for *that* property—then they're fighting *that year* over who gets Wexner's home.
11/ Moreover, Epstein had been with young girls—and publicly—for *15+ years* by the time of the auction on the old Wexner home. And you're telling me that just *20 days later* an anonymous person drops a dime on Epstein? When Trump is known to snitch on people? Not a coincidence.
12/ There's no doubt having had to overpay for Wexner's old property would've chafed Trump, particularly if he had to do it to outbid a man he was in an angry "failed business arrangement" with. So a Russian oligarch swoops in and overpays him by...*$55 million*? Not coincidence.
13/ But what does Epstein have to do with anything after the "falling out" in 2004? That's where Epstein insisting to a journalist there was a rapprochement between him and Trump after 2004 comes into play. What did Epstein have had to arrange to get back in Trump's good graces?
14/ So what, besides blackmail, did Epstein have to flash to get back into Trump's trust? Money, obviously—but what deal was he involved with? Rybolovlev? If only there were a "grand bargain" Russia was working on with two governments Epstein was tied to: Israel and Saudi Arabia.
15/ My point is this: Epstein appears to have been a money manager for MBS. MBS offered the Trump campaign illegal pre-election assistance. Epstein ends up advising Trump pre-election. Sources for all this? Epstein himself and the NYT. So could all this explain the rapprochement?
16/ And *all* of this happens in the context of Trump fighting—harder than he's fought *anything* else, and for years, across dozens of lies to American voters—to *hide his tax returns* from citizens, federal investigators, and Congress.

What business deals does he need to hide?
17/ If THE NEW YORK TIMES is right that Trump and Epstein fell out over a "failed business arrangement," and if—per his pattern—Trump saying the nature of that arrangement doesn't matter means that it very much does, might not tax returns help us uncover the Trump-Epstein secret?
18/ Note: 1125 S Ocean Blvd is adjacent to Mar-a-Lago; one could imagine that—if Epstein underwrote (gave Trump the money for, given he needed $30M and would *lose* $50M in 1985)—one/both purchases, he might've felt he had a claim whereas Trump would've seen it all as Mar-a-Lago.
19/ Most already know this, but remember that the home Epstein's rep says Trump met Epstein in on December 23-24, 2017 is in Palm Beach—so Rybolovlev (and Deripaska!) having their private jets in Miami *on those days* means they were "in town" during such a Trump-Epstein meeting.

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More from @SethAbramson

Sep 12
I just woke up from a long nap, can someone tell me if Trump has already apologized to the nation for falsely blaming the Kirk assassination on the left when—as with both his assassination attempts and 85% of political violence this century per the data—it was a far-right nutjob?
He is a Groyper. The Groypers are a far-right, neo-Nazi cult made up of young far-right males who thought Kirk was insufficiently far-right. thedailybeast.com/charlie-kirk-s…
Read 15 tweets
Sep 12
Bomb threats against the Maryland General Assembly. Bomb threats against the Michigan lieutenant governor and his family. Bomb threats against 5 HBCUs. Two arrests for violent assaults in Idaho.

In 24 hours.

All Democratic/left-leaning victims.

All suspected MAGA perpetrators.
And that wasn't a full list—not even close.

Bomb threat against the Rhode Island Senate President. Bomb threat against the Rhode Island Majority Leader. Bomb threat against the New Mexico Senate Majority Leader. Once again all Democratic victims, all suspected MAGA perpetrators.
There's no reason to have a conversation about political violence based in rhetoric rather than data.

I don't need to note that every bomb threat on Election Day in 2024 was a MAGA bomb threat.

I don't need to mention January 6, Paul Pelosi, or the two dead Minnesota Democrats. Image
Read 13 tweets
Sep 11
There was significantly less political violence in America before the 2016 presidential campaign. We all know why.

That doesn’t change that what happened today—in both Utah and Colorado—were tragedies.

It just underscores that revisionist history won’t solve America's problems.
Donald Trump transformed politics into an ultraviolent Thunderdome.

He did it for his own advancement, and he didn’t care what the consequences would be.

It’s *also* true that since Trump poisoned our politics there’s been violence from both Left and Right, though mostly Right.
Both Trump assassination plots I condemned immediately and unreservedly. Both would-be assassins were Republicans. The assassin who killed Minnesota’s Speaker was also Republican. So was the man who plotted to kill Pelosi. But there have been leftist assassins too. I condemn all.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 8
There's no lie Elon Musk and his racist friends won't tell to try to hurt nonwhites—or even, I fear, to try to get deranged others to *literally* hurt nonwhites.

And we know these racists want to cause pain because a two-second Grok search would destroy every one of their lies. Image
Image
If you read the comments on Musk's racist post, it's person after person after person absolutely convinced that Muslims never migrate to other Muslim countries but only come to Europe or America and only do so as part of some sort of invasion. These folks are touched in the head.
The history of human migration, by whatever group—of whatever race or ethnicity or religion—is that sometimes migrants are looking for a very similar place, sometimes a slightly different place, sometimes a very different place.

That has been human nature for thousands of years.
Read 8 tweets
Aug 28
(🧵) Major media should be ashamed.

The manifesto of the Minnesota shooter has been translated—and it's all about his hatred of Jews, Blacks, Mexicans, illegal immigrants, Somalis... none of this had to do with him being trans and major media *knows* it.

So why won't it say so?
1/ The manifesto uses the most vile slurs imaginable to describe Jews and Blacks, groups MAGA is hostile to.

The manifesto uses the most vile rhetoric imaginable to speak of illegal immigrants, another group Maga is hostile to.

And it uses 4chan-speak. 4chan is a MAGA hotbed.
2/ Everyone in America knows at this point that MAGA is a fascist movement and that the first group it wants to start treating like the Nazis did Jews are transgender persons. So the second the possibility the shooter was trans arose, all of us should have apprehended the danger.
Read 13 tweets
Aug 17
(🚨) The seventh book in the NYT-bestselling Proof Series is PROOF OF DEVILRY: THE CRIMES OF DONALD TRUMP, GHISLAINE MAXWELL, AND JEFFREY EPSTEIN.

It’s so large—a 600-page epic—that it’s being released in three parts (on 8/17, 8/24, and 8/31).

Book One: sethabramson.substack.com/p/part-1-proof…Image
1/ I recognize that I often say this when I am speaking of extremely deep-dive curatorial research into Trump and two discrete topics—Jeffrey Epstein and January 6—but it is true: what is in this book will shock you even if you believe you cannot be shocked on these topics.
2/ I want to issue a warning to those with sensitivities surrounding the subject of sex crimes and pedophilia. It is almost certain that this epic work will be triggering for you so, do read with caution or decide whether it even makes sense for you to read this at all.
Read 21 tweets

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