It's possible to plot precisely when Labour dropped the Brexit ball. It was during the vote on Joanna Cherry's amendment to do away with no deal. It failed by 102 votes. 104 Labour MPs abstained (under Jeremy Corbyn's orders).
commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Deta…
Had the amendment passed, it would have taken no deal off the table or made it nigh on impossible. But JC gave the orders, and although 121 Labour MPs defined the instruction to abstain, it wasn't enough.

And the date for this catastrophe? 1 April 2019.

You couldn't make it up!
And of course it was reported in the pro Brexit press as MPs turning away from the chance to block no deal (and by implication accepting the prospect of no deal).
It's the purest of "You had ONE job" moments. And Jeremy Corbyn decided to sit on the fence because there was still plenty of time. How is that working out?
But of course this was an encore performance. On 27 March 2019, Labour had already failed through abstentions to pass a motion that would have forced Article 50 to be revoked if MPs voted down no deal the day before Brexit. Another Joanna Cherry special.
commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Deta…
So if anyone says "Labour has done everything to stop no deal", point them at this thread. They had two real chances. The arithmetic was there (the vote counts prove it) but dropped the ball both times by abstaining.
I suppose you could also argue that Labour stuffed Cooper-Letwin on 3 April 2019 (though it's less clear cut) by not sufficiently punishing MPs that had ignored the whip in previous votes. 9 Labour MPs voted against it. If even one had changed their vote, it would have passed.
That was the vote that the Speaker was obliged to break the tie on, by convention, in favour of "no". It broke the sequence of indicative votes and brought Brexit opposition to a near standstill.
In short, Jeremy Corbyn delivered a flurry of Brexit penalty kicks. Most were wide of the mark. One bounced off the crossbar. And he missed the two where the goalkeeper had gone off early for his tea.
Even more damningly, the Caroline Spelman amendment (which basically said "we don't want no deal", but had no legal force) *passed* by 312–308 votes on 13 March. So JC was clearly able to muster the votes against no deal, but only when they didn't count for anything.
But not enough people look at this things in aggregate. Which is why so many people leapt out of the woodwork when I said Jeremy Corbyn hadn't done enough. Thing is, the facts don't lie.
(Sorry, can't see straight. Cooper Letwin passed. I got the wrong bill name, but the right purpose. The one that tied was the Hilary Benn amendment that would have kept indicative votes going.)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡

Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @uk_domain_names

Feb 6
Before Brexit...
- EU Trade: super easy.
- Rest of the World Trade: hard.

Since Brexit...
- EU Trade: hard.
- Rest of the World Trade: hard.

The difficulty gap may have "narrowed", but not in a way that benefits businesses at all. Trade is on average harder than before Brexit.
Does it encourage firms to consider trading more outside the EU?

Maybe - but only because they'll have a lousy experience everywhere.

It's like raising the price of apples from £10 to £20, keeping pears at £20. Sells more pears? Maybe. But overall, consumers end up paying more.
A smart country would have tried to figure out how to make hard trade with the rest of the world easier.

A dumb country decided instead to make super easy trade with the EU as hard as trade with the rest of the world.

Welcome to Brexit Britain, where brain cells come to die.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 6
Kirstie Allsopp (bought 1st property age 21) claims young people should fritter less to get on the housing ladder.

HOWEVER...

Average House Price (Nationwide)
- 1992: £50,168
- 2021: £253,113

BOE Inflation Calculator
£50,168 in 1992 = £110,472.43 in 2021

Aha! Penny drops.
Another way of looking at it...

Kirstie Allsopp said her job paid £11,500 a year at the time she bought her first property.

That would be £25,323.57 in 2021 money.

£50,168 is the equivalent of 4.36x her 1992 salary.

But £253,113 is 9.99x her nominal 2021 equivalent salary.
Simply put, a given house is more than twice as unaffordable today (everything else being equal) than in 1992.

Quite amazing that someone who has lived and breathed the property sector for decades seems oblivious to the above differential.

It's hardly rocket science.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 4
The Brexit effect, hurting a business badly.

(Problem is EU students can no longer travel on ID cards because the UK now requires passports, but kids don't need passports because they can go all over the EU on IDs. Catch-22.)
Read 4 tweets
Feb 3
Look at the scam in this Treasury press release.

They've called the £200 loan towards energy bills a rebate. It *isn't* a rebate because consumers must repay it in 5 instalments.

Then in the next paragraph there's a council tax rebate that *is* a rebate.
gov.uk/government/new…
It's also referred to as a discount.

Can you imagine if Tesco or Amazon applied the same logic?

We'll give you £20 off your shopping now, but you'll owe us 5 legally binding payments of £4.

You'd be livid if they tried to claim that represented a discount.

It's a 0% APR loan.
And here's the really devious part: the Tories are buying voter goodwill now using money that will largely need repaying after the next GE.

So if Labour win, they'll be left with the ticking time-bomb of Tory debts, and a legally binding obligation for *consumers* to repay them.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 2
According to the Daily Mail, the Tories have indicated they plan to plunge us all into the dark on the pandemic in April by giving up publishing daily stats.

This on a day that saw more than 500 deaths announced.

Could they gaslight us any harder? Genuinely hard to think how. Image
The whole article is grim. Apparently Boris Johnson plans to bin every single protective measure on March 24, including the requirement to self-isolate if you test positive.

How can the several million extremely vulnerable people ever be safe after that?
dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
The excuse given is that it's becoming "like the flu" and we don't shut down the whole country over that.

A) Covid killed more people in 2 years than flu did in the last decade.

B) Flu is very seasonal. We've had a high covid death rate since August, with no sign of slackening.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 2
There's a paradox at the heart of Brexit.

Leaving the EU saves the UK government our membership fee.

It costs individuals and companies much much more than that saved fee. But they're bearing the cost in a distributed way. (Less trade, higher prices, less choice of work etc.)
So the UK government's balance sheet improves by the value of the EU membership fee that's no longer being paid.

But every single one of us and the organisations we work for are effectively being stealth-taxed by Brexit much more than the saving recorded by the UK government.
The UK government can semi-truthfully say "there's more money for us to spend after Brexit" (though the amounts it quotes are wholly fanciful, and don't account for its own extra costs because of Brexit).

And yet as a nation we're still MUCH poorer as a result.
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(