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Dmitry Grozoubinski Profile picture
@DmitryOpines
Aug 16, 2019 • 3 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
I have become everything I hate.

Curse you, career indispensability of LinkedIn.
I'm off to write a completely made up post about how I liked the entrepreneurial spirit of a homeless man's sign and immediately made him an Executive VP of Sales at my multinational firm

Moral of the story will be never give up and... I'm amazing.

It will get 80,000 likes.
"Don't judge a book by its cover or a prospective employee by their experience and education," I'll wisely assure my readers, as if my giant firm doesn't outsource HR to a soulless firm whose sole function is to screen applicants by their experience and education.

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More from @DmitryOpines

Dmitry Grozoubinski Profile picture
Mar 18
🚨Slightly Mortifying Personal News 🚨

I wrote a book and it's now on pre-sale (link below).

I've spent years yelling at my screen as influential people who can or should know better said wild things about trade to advance their agendas.

This book is my attempt to push back. A book called "Why Politicians Lie About Trade... and What You Need to Know About it" by Dmitry Grozoubinski. The front cover depicts a man in a suit speaking to a crowd from the deck of a laden container ship.
The book will be released on May 23rd of this year, published by @CanburyPress. You can pre-order it below.

It is my attempt to explain trade policy and the choices it involves as I would if anyone were ever dumb enough to ask me over a glass of wine.

canburypress.com/products/why-p…
The book's premise is that trade policy is a growing part of the conversation around issues, from jobs to healthcare and even war that voters actually care about...

... but it's complex and counter-intuitive, so politicians can lie about it with impunity, and that matters.
Read 6 tweets
Dmitry Grozoubinski Profile picture
Nov 5, 2023
1/ I like people and think they're overwhelmingly good and decent.

My default assumption is that whatever the slogans, or extremist elements, the vast majority of the people on the streets are just appalled by the images coming out of Gaza, and are calling for peace.
2/ Has every single person marching got a comprehensive and fool proof 12 point plan for reconciling Palestinian independence, Israeli security, regional geo-stability and the million other factors at play?

No, and that's fine. Marches are about sending signals that we care.
3/ Do I, as a Jew, wish the marchers were a little bit more thoughtful about the implications of some of their messaging?

Sure. I guess.

But it's a mass movement and like all such things, creates its own social incentives for having the spiciest take in the room.
Read 5 tweets
Dmitry Grozoubinski Profile picture
Oct 28, 2023
1/ International law lacks enforcement because major powers negotiating it did not want mechanisms that could kinetically prevent, curtail or punish the pursuit of their ends, even if the means involved breach the letter or spirit of the law.

They still don't.
2/ What little power international law has is almost entirely normative.

It only matters as long as countries believe it matters - and so for lack of better options we repeat ad nauseum that it does, while also arguing its broad benefits outweigh any specific constraints.
3/ What's infuriating about this is that reinforcing the normative power of international law rhetorically requires a great deal of exaggeration, selective vision and hypocrisy.

To make the case that international law matters we have to ignore all the times it clearly didn't.
Read 6 tweets
Dmitry Grozoubinski Profile picture
Aug 23, 2023
1/ Remember the best and most consistently accurate way of understanding Putin is to think of him as a mob boss.

It's The Wire, not the West Wing.

Prigozhin disrespected the Godfather and made him look weak. That's it. That's the only relevant consideration.
2/ "Won't this undermine Russia's efforts in the Sahel?"

Putin doesn't care. The Sahel is important to Russia's strategic plans. It's not important to him.

Murdering Capos who disrespect you and make you look weak is Putin's understanding of how you stay in power.
3/ "Won't this damage army morale and make the Ukraine war harder?"

Putin doesn't care. Higher Russian body count, a few more Ukrainian villages taken. Not important.

What's important is the message: for the disloyal there are no second chances and no happy endings.
Read 5 tweets
Dmitry Grozoubinski Profile picture
Aug 14, 2023
I wanted to go through this point by point, respectfully and assuming every question raised was in absolute good faith.

Note: I know nothing about this man or his politics (though I can guess) and am treating his questions seriously for the benefit of other readers.
The US has exactly as many serving troops fighting in Ukraine as its NATO European allies: zero.

The US **is** contributing a lot of materiel, but Europeans collectively are also sending a lot, both in real terms and as a percentage of GDP. Image
This conflict started in 2014 under Obama, continued throughout the entirety of Trump's term, and sharply escalated in 2022 under Biden when Putin arbitrarily decided to seize Kyiv.

If you want to draw causal linkages there you're welcome to. I struggle to see them. Image
Read 16 tweets
Dmitry Grozoubinski Profile picture
Jun 20, 2023
1/ Since absolutely no one asked, that David Sacks about the 'failed counteroffensive' broken down paragraph by paragraph.

Summary: Long tweets are an abomination and tech bro geopolitics is painful.

🧵
2/ The Ukrainians are making territorial gains every day and have almost half a year before rain or snow makes mobility impossible.

They are advancing on some of heaviest fortifications built since World War II.

This is what cautious tactical offensive warfare looks like. Image
3/ There is absolutely nothing to suggest Russia is capable of taking significantly more territory or 'winning the war,' whatever that means.

There is also nothing now or ever to suggest you should listen to Mearsheimer on how military operations will play out. No! Ew, David! Image
Read 12 tweets

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