Robert E Kelly Profile picture
Aug 16, 2019 15 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Just when you think Trump can’t get any worse or bizarre, he does. His idiocy and incompetence is just mind-boggling, as is why anyone would vote for someone this colossally stupid. Jesus christ, people, wake up. This isn’t the Onion; this is American democracy imploding
I've always been wary of calling the Trump dumb or stupid. It feels like a cheap shot, coarse and insulting, stooping to Trump's level. But there is just no way around that with this remark. Trump has said lots of terrible, inappropriate, and illiberal stuff. But I think this /2
may be the dumbest, clearly revealing his astonishing lack of knowledge and critical thinking skills, as well as how disconnected he is from the hugely important office he holds. This is the sort of thing someone with basic social science classes would pick up in high school /3
or early college, and certainly as a worldly businessman, much less POTUS. Yet he's been POTUS for 2.5 years and entertained this idea seriously enough to ask about it more than once. Staggering. We now know what Tillerson meant when he called Trump a moron. Wow. END
ADDENDUM:

For those asking why this is inane: bc in 2019 the U States is not some 19th century, ‘Scramble for Africa’ imperialist buying and selling people over their heads. To our national disgrace, the Greenland Foreign Ministry had to educate our president on this obvious /5
point: . But you say Truman wanted to do this too. Yeah, back when colonialism was common and our domestic politics exclusionary & hierarchic. Since then we’ve had decolonization, the UN, the c rights movement, feminism, better inclusion for traditional /6
outgroups like the disabled or homosexuals, & a lot of human rights treaties & norms to capture all this. So we don’t just high-handedly ignore small, weak populations like the Greenlanders. That T has missed all this, that he seems not to have learned anything f/ democracy's /7
growth & maturation in the last 50 years is one of the creepiest things about him. That’s why he says stuff like this, calls E Warren ‘Pocahontas’ in front of N Americans, ignores P Rico, wanted to steal Iraq’s oil, admires Putin’s land-grab in Crimea, etc. The small & weak /8
are to be bullied, not defended - which is what you thought when you were a 13 y/o boy on the school parking lot, but then grew out of as you read, learned, traveled, built relationships, realized that TV isn't real,etc. That Trump lacks all this is why he’s Tillerson’s moron.END
ADDENDUM 2

Commenters keep suggesting that bc there may be a US strategic logic to deeper involvement in Greenland, this is not such a dumb idea. But that’s not the issue; Trump’s method is. A normal person, much less POTUS, would know in 2019 that the US does not buy people./10
That is why this suggestion reveals Trump’s stupidity so obviously. A normal adult in a democracy would have absorbed that buying people is wrong from the last 70 years & from a basic history and social science education of that time period. This is why his staff treated the /11
idea as absurd, and it got so much press. Trump himself lived through decolonization! Yet he suggested it multiple times anyway. That’s astonishing cluelessness, astonishing disengagement from the world around you, & the best evidence yet that Trump doesn’t read. A lot of us /12
have foolish ideas, but we read and listen to people smarter than us, and we grow out of them. In this case, a basic presidential knowledge of modern politics and history would have taught Trump that we approach Greenland and Denmark with our concerns, propose a tighter /13
relationship or deepening of the alliance, expanding Thule AB perhaps, encourage FDI in critical sectors there, and so on. The State Department – not buying people like some 19th century commercial imperialist – is the obvious tool. But Trump doesn’t read or listen to his /14
briefers and watches way too much TV. So you get ridiculous, laugh out loud - you laughed when you first heard it, right? - ideas like this. END

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More from @Robert_E_Kelly

Nov 8
🧵Foreign Policy Implications of Trump’s Victory

1. Do not read a huge foreign policy public opinion shift into T’s victory.
Voters do not choose based on FoPo. This is really well-established in pol sci, & polling. I am seeing a lot of FoPo analysts

1
saying the election means the US public has turned against the liberal int'l order, Ukraine, Israel or whatever. No, it does not. All the data so far suggest that T won bc of the economy (inflation) &, less so, culture (wokeism)

2. Despite the public's

2
disinterest, T will have a big impact on US FoPo.
T does not share long-standing US liberal & democratic values. He will be a friend to autocrats and complain ceaselessly about US allies. This is a big shift; the US has never had an aspiring authoritarian in the presidency bf.

3
Read 14 tweets
Nov 7
🧵Post-Election Follow-Up Thread

1. I expected Harris to win👇primarily bc of women voters. Dobbs has been helping Democrats consistently for 2 years, & I saw no reason why that would change now. Worse, Trump & Vance doubled-down on their general sexism & female contempt in

1
the last few months. I am quite surprised this didn’t fuel a huge women-vote backlash. I think most of the other points in my previous thread are correct tho

2. Which gets me to the big puzzle for me in the election: T’s excellent performance w/ women, including winning white

2
women. T so obviously disdains women that even Megyn Kelly was telling his campaign to back off the ‘bro culture’ stuff. Stripping away a right (to abortion) normally guarantees a backlash. I can’t imagine being a women and voting for guy who thinks sexual assault is fun and

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Read 13 tweets
Nov 5
🧵Final Thread on the Election

1. Prediction: Harris will win bc of an enormous gender gap due to Dobbs & the generalized air of misogyny around the late Trump campaign

2. The failure of US elite institutions to keep T out of politics has been shocking & systemic: the press,

1
Congressional Republicans, the courts, the biz community, conservatives on SCOTUS. America is far more vulnerable to an Orbanist, semi-authoritarian takeover than we thought.

3. That elite failure reflects our staggering public failure. It is shocking that so many Americans

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want Trump back in power. This campaign is ending w/ a nat'l debate on whether T is a fascist (!!), yet he will still take at least 46% of the vote. 1/3 of Americans have fallen into what’s basically a cult, and it’s not clear how to pull them out. The rest of T's voters seem

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Read 13 tweets
Jul 24
There’s so much wrong here:

1. The likelihood that autocrat Kim Jong-Un misses Trump is basically zero. Gimme a break. That’s just T’s needy ego.

2. T made a hash of denuclearization talks w/ Kim. He didn’t read or prepare. He just got off the plane expecting his tough-guy-

1
on-the-make schtick would bowl Kim over or wow him into concessions. Instead, Kim played T for credibility-enhancing photo-ops & to foment US-S Korean tensions over how to deal with/ NK.

3. There’s absolutely nothing to suggest T’s approach to NK would be different a second

2
time around. There will be no policy development process to work-up alternative offers to NK, no deliberation of what US/SK concessions we might tolerate in exchange for some NK WMD limits, no effort to build consensus w/ Congress, the SKs, or Japanese. Any second T engagement

3
Read 7 tweets
Apr 14
Good thread, nicely illustrating how de-linked the GOP evangelical base is from the rest of America.

They wanna go after abortion, IVF, birth control, gay marriage, and the rest. GOP leaders know this is electoral suicide, but they don’t know how to get around it. If Biden is

1
smart, he’ll make personal family & sexual freedom the center of his campaign.

Evangelicals may overwhelm the GOP internally, but the rest of the country thinks they’re weird & creepy

This is the result of social isolation: churches which provide a whole separated lifestyle,

2
a TV ‘news’ network which only tells you what you want to hear, home-schooling, a sealed media ecosystem of faith-based movies and influencers telling you that social change is the apocalypse.

Catholics once had parallel institutions like this, especially the schools. But we

3
Read 5 tweets
Mar 10
BBC Dad content

Today is the 7th anniversary of the BBC Dad blooper.

So here it is again, with some recent family pictures in the thread below.

1
These are from Marion's birthday party today, and James and I hiking this morning


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Another hiking picture, and some Christmas 2023 pictures


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Read 4 tweets

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