Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
@iyad_elbaghdadi
Aug 16, 2019 • 3 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Who invented visas?
Whoever he is, fuck him
Some time in the future, hopefully sooner rather than later, future generations will come to view today's visa regime as one of the most oppressive institutions of our current era.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي

İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @iyad_elbaghdadi

İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jul 20
Israel is historically unique in that it struts like a hegemon but survives like a colony. It dominates its region militarily and psychologically, yet is so critically dependent on foreign support that if the lifeline is cut, the entire structure starts to collapse.
No state in modern history combines such regional dominance with such strategic dependence. Israel wields power like an empire, but lives like a protectorate - it can't sustain its supremacy without continuous Western military, economic, and diplomatic support.
To be clear, Israel is *not* a colony in key ways:
- It has no metropole
- It is sovereign and self-governing
- It exports ideology and security doctrine
- Its elite wield global influence
- It wasn't built for extraction but for replacement
Read 8 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jul 16
Israel will never accept a sovereign, strong Syria. No amount of "goodwill signals" will change that, they’ll only be read as weakness and invite more aggression. Israel looks only at your capacity, never your intent. Its doctrine is security through mass devastation.
This government wasted months on appeasement while Israel bombed Syria 1000+ times, occupied ~200 sq km of land, inflamed sectarian tensions, this on top of its longstanding occupation of the Golan. Appeasement didn’t buy time or security. It sent a signal of weakness.
Accept reality or be crushed by it: Syria's main enemy isn't Hezbollah or Iran, it's Israel. Signaling "shared enemies" while it's murdering your people and occupying your land wasn't just naive, it was malpractice and an insult to strategy and to memory.
ynetnews.com/article/hk00bz…
Read 7 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jul 6
Here's a thread about Netanyahu's calculus for regional recalibration in the aftermath of the 12-day war with Iran.

Netanyahu is due to meet Trump tomorrow, and a lot might change - this is a thread about what won't
When Israel launched its war on Iran mid-June, I had said it's Netanyahu's war. Yes, it was also Israel's war, another war of consensus. But Netanyahu doesn't do anything unless it helps him politically.

This is a map of the parameters.
As many of you know, Netanyahu has faced mounting legal troubles for years. He's been indicted on charges of corruption and abuse of power. Long story short, he needs to be in power to stay out of prison.
Read 37 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jun 24
So, the 12-day war between Israel (& the US) vs Iran seems to be over, and the ceasefire seems to be holding. Here's a thread assessing what has changed, what didn't change, and what may be next:
Since it's Israel who started this war, let's start with its war aims (declared & assumed):
- End Iran's nuclear program
- Regime change
- Kill Iran-US negotiations for a new deal
- Drag the US in
- Distract from Gaza
- Stop Europe’s 2SS push
So, was Iran's nuclear program stopped?

Expert consensus is forming around "no". The facilities were damaged but not fully destroyed. The US telegraphed its attacks early enough that Iran moved not just the uranium, but likely the centrifuges too.
Read 39 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jun 22
A quick situational update after the US strikes Iran's nuclear facilities. Events might to accelerate, so I'm hoping to give you a snapshot of how things stand as of the time of writing this thread.
The US warned Iran ahead of its attacks - we have confirmation of this from US, Iranian, and Arab sources. The same reporting says the strike was one-off and now over, with the US seeking negotiations and explicitly denying intent to pursue regime change.
What about the damage? The Iranian authorities had already evacuated key sites and moved enriched uranium elsewhere. Early assessments show proven surface-level damage but no confirmed destruction of underground infrastructure. The Iranian nuclear program has not been "ended".
Read 29 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jun 20
Excellent question by @vali_nasr. Here's a thread about Iran's nuclear program, why it's so hard to "destroy", and why "Fordow" is really about dragging the US into war:
Let's start with the basics. To have a nuclear program, a country needs:
- Uranium reserves
- The ability to mine ore & process it
- Centrifuges to enrich it
- Technical know-how to run the cycle

Iran has all of these *domestically*. Natively.
The way uranium is enriched is to first convert it into gas (UF₆) and then pass it through a cascade of centrifuges (which are basically fast-spinning cylinders) until it reaches a certain purity.

It's technically demanding, but not impossibly complicated.
Read 29 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(