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İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
@iyad_elbaghdadi
Aug 16, 2019 • 3 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Who invented visas?
Whoever he is, fuck him
Some time in the future, hopefully sooner rather than later, future generations will come to view today's visa regime as one of the most oppressive institutions of our current era.

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More from @iyad_elbaghdadi

İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Mar 6
Here's a megathread on the war on Iran that focuses on the deeper dynamics, potential trajectories, and likely outcomes.

A lot will change over the next few weeks - this thread is about what won't.

Stay until the end for an announcement & an invitation. Image
Most geopolitical analysis is cold and state-centric. Here, we look at the longer arcs and what they mean for the prospects for collective liberation and systems change.

This is geopolitics for liberation.
Let me start by saying that all the main actors here are awful:
- Israel is a genocidal apartheid state
- Trump is an incompetent, corrupt warmonger
- Iran's regime is a brutal, repressive theocracy

God bless and save the people of the region, they're the hope for change.
Read 73 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jul 20, 2025
Israel is historically unique in that it struts like a hegemon but survives like a colony. It dominates its region militarily and psychologically, yet is so critically dependent on foreign support that if the lifeline is cut, the entire structure starts to collapse.
No state in modern history combines such regional dominance with such strategic dependence. Israel wields power like an empire, but lives like a protectorate - it can't sustain its supremacy without continuous Western military, economic, and diplomatic support.
To be clear, Israel is *not* a colony in key ways:
- It has no metropole
- It is sovereign and self-governing
- It exports ideology and security doctrine
- Its elite wield global influence
- It wasn't built for extraction but for replacement
Read 8 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jul 16, 2025
Israel will never accept a sovereign, strong Syria. No amount of "goodwill signals" will change that, they’ll only be read as weakness and invite more aggression. Israel looks only at your capacity, never your intent. Its doctrine is security through mass devastation.
This government wasted months on appeasement while Israel bombed Syria 1000+ times, occupied ~200 sq km of land, inflamed sectarian tensions, this on top of its longstanding occupation of the Golan. Appeasement didn’t buy time or security. It sent a signal of weakness.
Accept reality or be crushed by it: Syria's main enemy isn't Hezbollah or Iran, it's Israel. Signaling "shared enemies" while it's murdering your people and occupying your land wasn't just naive, it was malpractice and an insult to strategy and to memory.
ynetnews.com/article/hk00bz…
Read 7 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jul 6, 2025
Here's a thread about Netanyahu's calculus for regional recalibration in the aftermath of the 12-day war with Iran.

Netanyahu is due to meet Trump tomorrow, and a lot might change - this is a thread about what won't
When Israel launched its war on Iran mid-June, I had said it's Netanyahu's war. Yes, it was also Israel's war, another war of consensus. But Netanyahu doesn't do anything unless it helps him politically.

This is a map of the parameters.
As many of you know, Netanyahu has faced mounting legal troubles for years. He's been indicted on charges of corruption and abuse of power. Long story short, he needs to be in power to stay out of prison.
Read 37 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jun 24, 2025
So, the 12-day war between Israel (& the US) vs Iran seems to be over, and the ceasefire seems to be holding. Here's a thread assessing what has changed, what didn't change, and what may be next:
Since it's Israel who started this war, let's start with its war aims (declared & assumed):
- End Iran's nuclear program
- Regime change
- Kill Iran-US negotiations for a new deal
- Drag the US in
- Distract from Gaza
- Stop Europe’s 2SS push
So, was Iran's nuclear program stopped?

Expert consensus is forming around "no". The facilities were damaged but not fully destroyed. The US telegraphed its attacks early enough that Iran moved not just the uranium, but likely the centrifuges too.
Read 39 tweets
İyad el-Baghdadi | إياد البغدادي Profile picture
Jun 22, 2025
A quick situational update after the US strikes Iran's nuclear facilities. Events might to accelerate, so I'm hoping to give you a snapshot of how things stand as of the time of writing this thread.
The US warned Iran ahead of its attacks - we have confirmation of this from US, Iranian, and Arab sources. The same reporting says the strike was one-off and now over, with the US seeking negotiations and explicitly denying intent to pursue regime change.
What about the damage? The Iranian authorities had already evacuated key sites and moved enriched uranium elsewhere. Early assessments show proven surface-level damage but no confirmed destruction of underground infrastructure. The Iranian nuclear program has not been "ended".
Read 29 tweets

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