Rich Baris The People's Pundit Profile picture
Aug 17, 2019 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Want to see party ID for a sample of the national vote file?

Count: 187,385,200

Democrat: 43,515,200 | 23.22%
Inferred Democrat: 23,347,739 | 12.46%
Republican: 32,320,933 | 17.25%
Inferred Republican27,381,350 | 14.61%
Oops. Is that not 411 people are allowed to see? Will that get us blacklisted or something?
Wow. Look at this! Defending God in a national electorate is clearly a stupid idea...

But it's only 187,385,200 voters.

So, ya know, we could be off...

🧐
Queries take a while. Want to take a look at "border security" voters?
Wow! Of 187M voters, this is the number who say border security is their issue.

57,096,746

And this is what they look like...

Republican and persuadable independents. No wonder media hate this issue? It's always that 9%, folks.

Always.
What else would you folks like to know that these hacks aren't likely to share with you?

We can do animal rights to environmentalists to swing voters...

Let's go with swing voters, shall we? Remember, the pool is 187M voters.
Of our vast pool, the Persuadable/Swing Voters count is 77,539,837. That may seem like a lot. But given who actually shows up to vote, it's not and represents a small percentage of the electorate.

Wait... could that be our issue?

I digress. Query continues. Let's see...
Query is still running...

Lots of people big media doesn't give a damn about.
Okay. The results are in. I know much of this. But I don't want to share generalities because Snopes may get me...

Lol.

Anyway. Look at persuadable/swing voters. They're a hair more GOP vote rich than Dem.

Now social bias makes sense to you, hopefully?

Put plainly folks...
Put plainly, they know -- given likely voter patterns and demographics -- persuadable voters are not actually more likely to agree with them.

So, they shame the hell out of you and make you feel badly about yourselves.

Honestly, they hate you. So, it's pretty easy for them.
It's always very close. So, they don't need a bunch of you to buy it. Just on the margins. Besides, soon, you'll be replaced and they won't actually care what you think anymore.

Your feelings and political positions will be completely irrelevant to them.
To illustrate the disparity in the files versus who actually votes, let's look at Texas, a state Democrats want to flip because it'll be checkmate.

Here's the entire household file. Look at how close it is when just anyone is allowed to vote.
Now let's look at Texas just using turnout probabilities of at least 50% likely to vote based on past voting history, etc.

Look at how much more GOP that is... Looks more like Texas, right? A big GOP advantage.

Now look at past electorates totals.

What does that mean to you?

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More from @Peoples_Pundit

Oct 13, 2023
This thread reports on the DeSantis/Haley Feud over who sucks less. I'm going to quote repost a few with data showing why they are both making arguments that are incorrect and irrelevant.

Ready?
Adding Reality Check Number One to thread.
Adding Reality Check Number Two to thread.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 12, 2023
In 2018, @JohnKerry met in London w/ Hussein Agha, a close associate of Mahmoud Abbas, and told him NOT to talk peace with Trump B/C he would be removed from office w/in a year and after Abbas would get a better deal.

Abbas refused to meet w/ Mike Pence. peoplespunditdaily.com/news/politics/…
2. @JohnKerry asked Agha to tell Abbas that Palestinians should “play for time” until Trump was removed, after which, it would be the "time for Palestinians to define their peace principles" instead of accepting Trump's two-state proposal.

Now all these people are dead.
3. Realizing the Palestinians were never going to come to the table, especially not with members of the opposition party engaging in actual sedition and undermining his peace plan, Trump moved to united the Arab countries with Israel and isolate the Palestinians with the accords.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 3, 2023
Many trash @RepMattGaetz to avoid discussing the real cause of dysfunction.

Republicans have a representation problem, i.e. they have none. They lie to get elected and ostracize anyone trying to keep promises.

No political party can survive NOT representing their voters.
Republican leadership and the vast majority of the elected conference in both chambers lie to get elected, then cave in the face of opposition from media and Democrats, while selling out their voters to donors and rent-seekers.

It's not a sustainable political environment.
All these years polling party leadership, it has always been the case that Democrats like their leaders and have favorable opinions of them, while Republicans HATE their leaders.

Why, irrationality?

No, it's rational to loathe someone who constantly lies to and betrays you.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 26, 2023
A few things people who misread the electorate never understood, and why things they thought would hurt Trump have actually made him stronger.

1. Regime Credibility

This isn't the 1980s. GE voters do not trust his enemies. FBI, DOJ, etc. are deeply corrupt and voters know it.
Once upon a time, federal prosecutors had credibility and their accusations in indictments were trusted. But nobody trusts them anymore, with good reason.

It's been bad for years, but bad actors like @Comey, @petestrzok, Weismann, etc, totally killed all faith in the feds.
@Comey @petestrzok Now on to the primary.

2. GOP Voters Were Not "Ready to Move on from Trump"

Even at DeSantis' high water mark, the data never suggested a big enough lane existed to derail Trump. Nobody ever dominated the wine track (educated) enough to counter Trump dominating the beer track.
Read 6 tweets
May 30, 2023
Post Script: The scumbag who did that owes us thousands of dollars and is the reason we @BIGDATAPOLL now have a pay first policy.

He's basically a former cop pretending to be a political strategist who folds up shop with each billing cycle, because the law makes it hard to chase… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Laura, when they first pulled that libel, attempted to publish his deadbeat account for all to see, but @elonmusk and his fake crusade against speech suppression kept suppressing it.

In fact, she tried again tonight and it refused to publish, again.

So... I think I'll do it...
Everyone ready for the emails?

This is going to be hilarious!
Read 6 tweets
May 20, 2023
The DeSantis strategy 'he's the anti-lockdown champion' isn't working for a few reasons, the biggest being 1) voters aren't stupid and 2) it's not true.

As @barnes_law correctly pointed out, he was still threatening businesses 2+ months after Trump said, "the cure cannot be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
And let's not get started on masks and the vaccine. He was faster than most governors, but not exactly clean on this issue.

Here he is SUPER stoked to JAB this World War II Veteran with the Pfizer Shot.

He died shortly after.
foxnews.com/health/world-w…
Point being, politics are politics, and that's the nature of the game. But why are these angles not working for DeSantis AND, moreover, why are they dug in like ticks pretending nothing is wrong?

They attack everyone, and conduct ZERO introspection. It's rather pathetic.
Read 4 tweets

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