Seth Abramson Profile picture
Aug 17, 2019 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Here's the top deck at Trump's Thursday rally in Manchester, NH. It's almost empty. Trump claimed that not only was the arena full, but *48,000* people—what you're seeing is about 8,500 to 9,500—had wanted to come see him. He also falsely said dozens waited *60 hours* to get in.
PS/ Note also—all for accuracy's sake—that 60% of the floor seating is taken up by journalists, and that there are scattered empty seats even in the lower deck (suggesting that those on the floor might have been able to fit in those seats or in the lowest rows of the upper deck).
MEDIA/ Note that I harp on this for a reason: Trump is in *deep* trouble in New Hampshire, where he's underwater (-26) in popularity *and* couldn't draw a crowd bigger than this one—and many of those media interviewed were out-of-staters from Massachusetts.

He should be worried.
NOTE/ This disappointing crowd in New Hampshire comes at a time when Trump and the GOP are deciding whether to put on their New Hampshire ticket a man who's been accused of physically and sexually assaulting women and got into an altercation in the White House: Corey Lewandowski.
NOTE2/ A friend outside the arena during the event said there were 1,000 to 2,000 there. When gauging the deputy fire marshal's claim there were 11,500 inside, a) see the pic (and know 11,500 means only 270 empty seats) and b) consider he said there were "8,000 to 9,000" outside.

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More from @SethAbramson

Jul 26
I wonder how many Americans truly understand that corporate media is listening to precisely *none* of the criticisms leveled against it.

In a decade of the Trump era, they haven't changed their methods a whit and still don't understand why we see the WHCA dinner as contemptible.
No criticism penetrates. They continue to irresponsibly use anonymous sources, privilege access journalism, refuse to cut off sources known to lie, practice bothsidesism, give time to demagogues, air content they know false, conduct ineffectual fact-checking. No self-improvement.
And you know what? *For what their values are*, they do things exactly right. They value money and fame only, and they change nothing about what they do because they're getting enough of each. *You*, America, gave Maggie Haberman millions for her latest work of access journalism.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 21
(🧵) My experience with lawyers on Twitter is summarized by the thread: people reading into things I wrote ideas I never said or thought, batting down principles I never advanced because they're clearly false, and treating burning a field of straw men as intelligence. So asinine.
1/ You have to understand that many lawyers—particularly trial lawyers like I used to be—have a love-hate relationship with attention. Suffice to say very few lawyers have broken through to have a large audience online and those who haven't are pissed about it, so what they do...
2/ ...is find lawyers with larger audiences and pick stupid fights with them—like this person is here. And they do that because sometimes, as here, they get rewarded with a response because they have pissed the object of their trolling off enough to generate one. Again, asinine.
Read 31 tweets
Jul 17
The most sober, terrifying thing I can say as a Trump presidential historian is that what happened tonight was not about you, me, or America.

He's going to do what he's going to do based on how he convinces *himself* to do it.

Nothing else matters. He's not listening to anyone.
However it came to pass—childhood trauma, genetics, dementia—this US president is now functionally a psychopath. He lives in his own reality. He converses only with himself. All America is now downstream from a madman who's not listening to anyone or anything but his own madness.
The 25th was made for this moment.

It won't be used because Trump nominated cowards.

Impeachment was made for this moment.

It won't be used because America elected cowards.

The federal courts were made to stop this.

They won't because lifetime appointments reward cowardice.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 17
I'm watching the Trump speech because I have to for my job and it's the most batshit crazy presidential speech I've ever heard in my nearly 50 years alive

Where it's coherent—which is only intermittently—it's on its face the largest tureen of turd soup any POTUS has ever served
I'm not in the first instance saying I don't understand how anyone could believe what the man is saying but rather how anyone could *understand* what he's trying to say

In the rare moments I think I understand what he's saying, it is the biggest most insane lie I have ever heard
What the President of the United States appears to be saying tonight is that our entire government is secretly run by China and has been for years and as far as evidence of that claim is concerned there really does not seem to be any whatsoever
Read 12 tweets
Jul 16
(🚨) PROOF EXCLUSIVE: I’ve published 1,500+ pages of bestsellers on the coup plot Trump is about to move to Stage 2. One-sentence or one-post summaries do it no justice.

🔗:

This lengthy report will fully prepare you for what’s coming Thursday—please RT. sethabramson.substack.com/p/donald-trump…Image
1/ I understand that there are many people out there who say, OK, he is going to lie about election interference. He always does that. It is noise, not news.

These people (and their blitheness) are wrong, and wrong in a way that is going to be dangerous to the United States now.
2/ There is a reason many are demanding the Thursday speech not be televised. There is a reason many are saying it could be the most deranged presidential speech ever.

But in a way, *that* is the noise. It presumes that what matters is what he says, not what he is going to *do*.
Read 11 tweets
Jul 5
If I'd told you that on the evening of July 4th on the nation's 250th birthday it would be 11:15PM, Trump would not yet have spoken, there would only be a few hundred people in attendance, and the event stage would be featuring a foreign opera, you would've had me committed
Whoa he just showed up and he looks absolutely livid at the tiny, low-energy crowd
Every time he strays from his milquetoast script it is either to make up lies about a Communist threat, babble repetitiously, or whine about how he has been treated

This crowd is so small I kid you not you can hear *individual people* cheering

This is humiliating to America
Read 16 tweets

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