Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
Aug 18, 2019 13 tweets 2 min read Read on X
What Exactly Is Boris Johnson Doing?

If Johnson’s tactics feel like a war on his country’s own citizens it is because that is what he is pushing forward.
Without logic.
Without care.
Without compassion

Unless he wants to crash the £ of course

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
2/. No Deal would “be a calamity. It would lead to severe trade disruption, transport bottlenecks, rising prices, consumer shortages, failing businesses and in all likelihood a recession within months.
3/. ”Public finances would be ravaged and unemployment would surge. By the government’s own reckoning, the long-term costs could be immense.

Nor would such an exit achieve its stated goals.
4/ “If the objective is a newly competitive “global Britain,” severing all ties with the country’s biggest trading partners overnight amid a simmering trade war and a looming recession probably isn’t ideal.
5/ “Of the 36 trade deals that the U.K. is subject to within the EU, it has managed to roll over just 13, and many of them only partially — a picture that is unlikely to improve after a crash-out.
6/. “Far from offering a “clean break” from the EU, moreover, a no-deal exit would ensure years of hideous negotiations with no leverage and little hope of clawing back the benefits of membership.
7/ “Any new agreement would likely need to be ratified by all of the EU’s 27 national parliaments, which may not be in a sympathetic mood after the U.K. has imposed so much needless mayhem.

What about “taking back control”?
8/ “Among the only certainties of this process are that Britain’s influence will be diminished and its union weakened. Any eventual deal it reaches with the EU will leave it adhering to rules it has little power to shape.
9/. “Scotland may demand independence and a referendum on a united Ireland may follow.

Even Wales is asking impertinent questions. This isn’t control; it’s a leap into the unknown.
10/. Partly because this strategy is so obviously illogical, the government has had a hard time getting people to believe its warnings. One survey found that only 14% of small businesses have made plans for no deal.
11/ “Of the 245,000 British companies that trade exclusively with the EU, just 66,000 have so far completed the customs paperwork they’d need after a crash-out.
12/. ”They seem to be taking Johnson at his word that the chances of no deal are “a million to one” — and thereby increasing the cost and risk of the whole misadventure.”

The gross irresponsibility of giving such mixed messages is about par for the course for Johnson.
13/. But the whole of the Conservative Party have to take responsibility for this, the costs and the risks.

They had other options but MPs voted him into the two selections by a big margin.

Then the members didnthe same.

They won’t be forgiven for it.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺

Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @fascinatorfun

Jul 7
What is “Deliverism”?

It is the argument that simply “governing well using all levers available”, as Stoller put it in the first half of Biden’s presidency, does not necessarily translate into popular gratitude or political success.”
“They cite the Inflation Reduction Act, the president’s $500 billion green energy strategy, the American Rescue Plan Act, which helped to lift 2mill children out of poverty, & the US’s generally dynamic economy as achievements to which the public responded with a collective shrug
Politico described Stoller’s diagnosis as “good policies no one understands”. Obamacare had similar results.”

There has to be a continual storytelling which connects to people’s day to day realities.

Their ability to do the weekly shop without grinding anxiety.
Potholes!
Read 6 tweets
Jul 6
I’ve been thinking about the broad but shallow majority Labour has and what it means

1/. It is the result not just of a profound disgust at Tory political behaviour even from their own traditional voters but also of a highly intelligent and organised electoral strategy.
2/. It is pretty obvious that Lab and Lib Dem struck some sort of non aggression pact in a large number of seats to their mutual benefit. It took a lot of the poison out of tactical voting that we saw in 2017 and in 2019 in particular. So did the change in leadership.
As @Samfr pointed out : the seats where there was no such non-aggression pact and the opposition was split, this resulted in saving MPs such as Braverman & Mel Stride

In just 42 seats in England and Wales was the Tory vote bigger than the combined Lab/Lib one.
Read 22 tweets
May 27
That’s not the brilliant deal it sounds.

They don’t tax your state pension. But your state pension is added to any other income you have and that IS taxed…(basically treating your state pension as part of your normal personal allowance (PA). Not enough to meet the PA limit.
So the personal allowance is £12570.

7 out of 8 pensioners do not GET the full new state pension. Most are on the old state pension (or less) of c £8,800 pa.

So that arrives untaxed.
However that does accrue so that if you have any additional income once it reaches the £12,570 threshold (inc your state pension) THOSE income sources as taxed as normal…as they should be

Even on the NEW full state pension you are way off the PA still.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 18
Today installation is steaming ahead.

Alex the Project Manager is here, Andy the electrician that did the original scoping & Rob the lead electrician .

Three scaffolders from Wales and my house is quite awkward to access but they are doing a great job


Image
Image
Image
We’re just pausing over tea to discuss the location of the DC solar panel isolation switches as the loft is not a good location for me up a wobbly loft ladder and very awkward loft hatch

They are going in the spare bedroom cupboard so easy for me to get to
The team is absolutely lovely.

Tomorrow the roofing panel team will arrive: James and Rhys who have both been doing this for 4 years.

James is ex military

Rob and Andy (electricians and survey team)

Geoff (sales consultant) has been in solar for years.
Read 44 tweets
Feb 24
Just thinking about my young Ukrainian Refugee today.

Two years ago today she was awoken by her brother in law, a customs official, telling her to get out of Kyiv straight away. Forget her home and job there. The Russians were invading.

She left to go to her parents
So did her sister and her two young children. To a tiny village in the Poltava Region. All living together in their parents house.

What must it have been like for her? Realising that the war was not going to be over quickly and her lost home and lost job were now her reality
Meanwhile her cousins were fighting at the front. The loss of life and destruction of property all too real and the grim stories of torture, rape and deportation of children growing louder.

Suddenly having to take off to a foreign country she had never visited to survive
Read 27 tweets
Feb 19
Just watching #Breathtaking @ITV and that mixture of anguish, fear and grief just keeps coming back in waves.

The abuse of doctors, nurses and front line staff

The lying

The lying.

Oh God the lying.
The lying

All those PPE procurement cases were not just about cronyism and corruption.

It was about the health & protection of medical and front line staff. Life and death.
Not a drama.

Real people. Real sickness. Real deaths.

Real heartbreak

Real brain break. PTSD.

Real #LongCovid
Read 13 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(