— 43% of Americans approve of Trump’s overall job — down 2pts from July
— 49% approve of his handling of economy
— 36% approve of his handling of El Paso/Dayton aftermath
Aug 10-14, MOE +/-3.1%
Also in the NBC/WSJ: A combined 40% of reg voters say they will definitely or probably vote for Trump in 2020, versus 52% who say they will definitely/probably vote for the Democratic nominee — essentially unchanged from when this question was last asked in Dec 2018
And this might be the most interesting result of all: 64% of all Americans say they support free trade — an all-time high in the history of our poll.
That includes a majority of GOPers and supermajorities of Dems and independents
New national NBC News poll: A double-digit rise in popularity and an early edge in better representing 'change' have vaulted Harris forward to a 5pt lead over Trump, 49% to 44%.
This is our first poll since mid-July, when Trump led Biden by 2pts, 45% to 43%
What especially stands out in the poll is Harris' 16-point rise in favorability since July, when she was still Biden's running mate.
It's the biggest jump in popularity for any major-party presidential candidate in the 35-yr history of the NBC News poll.
Also in the poll: Trump leads on the border, economy and inflation, while Harris is ahead on abortion, temperament and "change"
1. Election interest is at an all-time for a midterm, with 70% of reg. voters expressing high interest (was 65% in Oct 2018)
But Republicans have regained the enthusiasm edge -- with 78% of GOPers having high interest vs. 69% of Dems
2. Political polarization is off the charts.
81% of Democratic voters and 79% of Republican voters believe the political opposition poses a threat that, if not stopped, will destroy America as we know it.
3. Two-thirds of Republicans and Democrats would still vote for a candidate from their own side who had a moral failure in their business, marriage or personal life.
67% of reliable GOPers and 63% of reliable Dems would still vote for that candidate.