Ben See Profile picture
Aug 18, 2019 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
The world’s largest sources of freshwater will be severely depleted by 2029, with catastrophic consequences for all of humanity.

[THREAD]
Timebomb:

Regions most sensitive to changes in climate include humid and wet areas, such as the Amazon, Indonesia and parts of central Africa. In some of these areas, it could take *less* than 10 years for climate change to fully impact groundwater flows.
carbonbrief.org/climate-change…
Groundwater response times:

The map below:

Yellow shows areas where groundwater is likely to fully respond to stresses in under 10 years. ⚠️

Light green shows where the response time is 10-100 years.

Dark green & blue: 100 to over 10,000 years.

Also👇
Areas with the shortest groundwater response times include wet, humid regions: the Amazon, the Congo Basin, Indonesia, and low-lying regions, such as the Asian mega-deltas and the Florida Everglades.

2 billion living with absolute water scarcity by 2025👇
Finite:

The water that supplies aquifers and wells for billions of people is mostly a non-renewable resource that could run out in many places.

Just 6% of the groundwater around the world is replenished and renewed within a "human lifetime" of 50 years.cbc.ca/news/technolog…
Today, nearly three and a half billion people struggle with severe water scarcity for 3 months of the year.

The #EcologicalEmergency is right now, and has been going on for decades. Time for meaningful international solidarity - that means system change.

Most over-stressed is the Arabian Aquifer System, which supplies water to 60 million people in Saudi Arabia & Yemen; the Indus Basin aquifer in northwest India & Pakistan is the second-most threatened; the Murzuk-Djado Basin in northern Africa the third. nationalgeographic.com/news/2016/07/w…
Today:

🔺1.9 billion people live in countries facing extremely high water stress

e.g India, Pakistan, Iran, Libya, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Qatar, Bahrain, UAE

🔺Another 2.5 billion people face high levels of water stress
The likelihood of conflict:

'most regions of the world face significant hydropolitical vulnerabilities that, in a number of hot-spot basins, may turn into serious water conflict in the decades to come'

The rapid pace of climate breakdown is a key threat.link.springer.com/chapter/10.100…

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More from @ClimateBen

Apr 6
BREAKING: staggered climate scientists warn anything is now possible (and they mean anything) after the biggest jump in temperature ever recorded anywhere on Earth occurs in the Antarctic
1. "if we had a 40C rise in the UK now.. that would be deadly for the population.”

Glaciologist Prof Martin Siegert, of the University of Exeter: “No one in our community thought that anything like this could ever happen."

“It is simply mind-boggling”

dumptheguardian.com/environment/20…
2. Capitalism means rapid mass extinction via biodiversity annihilation. Corporations have locked in the destruction of the planet as we knew it. Abrupt climate change is just one compounding factor in extinction catastrophe. Change this Extinction Economy.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 5
BREAKING: IPCC scientist reveals it's actually been years since their models first indicated the catastrophic global warming acceleration now happening was to be expected 🧵
1. The IPCC is still silent on it's own findings

a) models show the current catastrophic global warming acceleration of the 2020s was to be expected

Why wasn't this communicated back in 2018- 2022?


b) emissions should've peaked by ~2022 to avoid 3/3.5°Ccarbonbrief.org/factcheck-why-…
2. 'To keep global temperatures below 1.5C, 2C or even 2.5C, emissions must peak before 2025'

The IPCC still hasn't communicated this. It seems this is true for 3°C, too. Virtually the only mass media article that explained the situation back in 2022:
france24.com/en/environment…
Read 11 tweets
Apr 3
BREAKING: climate scientists confirm catastrophic accelerated warming set to hit this decade 🧵
1. 'we may expect an accelerated surface temperature warming in this decade'

'a positive EEI confirms the lag of the climate system in responding to forcing and implies that additional global warming will take place even without further forcing changes"
nature.com/articles/s4324…
Read 5 tweets
Apr 3
BREAKING: scientific community begins to confront widespread denial with team of distinguished scientists publishing a paper explicitly stating exploitative wealth-oriented capitalism must be replaced immediately as the extinction of 32- 70% of Earth's species in decades looms🧵
1/'a critical paradigm shift must occur that replaces exploitative, wealth-oriented capitalism with an economic model that prioritizes sustainability, resilience, and justice'

* increasing clarity on mandatory economic change

* flaws on carrying capacity
academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/arti…
2/ The recent research cited in the paper agrees with previous studies showing that up to 40- 70% of species risk extinction.

Read 8 tweets
Mar 28
BREAKING: as Earth's major forests begin to collapse a new report shows 95% of companies behind catastrophic rapid industrial-scale deforestation have failed to take meaningful action since pledging to stop the destruction 10 years ago with a 2025 tipping point deadline looming🧵
1. Rainforests in SE Asia have hit tipping points. 20- 26% of the Amazon Rainforest is in a state of collapse

"The tipping point is not a future scenario but rather a stage already present"

Savannization is already taking place in both Brazil and Bolivia.commondreams.org/news/2022/09/0…
2. Climate scientist and Amazon Rainforest expert Carlos Nobre warns that deforestation across the whole of the Amazon must end by next year.

Read 7 tweets
Mar 23
“..a system can collapse in the sense of massive extinction in relatively short time.. even a slow parameter change can suddenly lead to a system collapse with catastrophic consequences.”

Prepare to avoid future disasters or mitigate their effects? 🧵

sciencesprings.wordpress.com/2023/12/19/fro…
1a. 'Human activities are having increasingly negative impacts on natural systems, and it is of interest to understand how the “pace” of parameter change may lead to catastrophic consequences.' pnas.org/doi/full/10.10…
1b. 'to avoid climate-change-induced species extinction, it would be necessary to ensure that no parameters change with time, and this may pose an extremely significant challenge in our efforts to protect and preserve the natural environment.' pnas.org/doi/full/10.10…
Read 4 tweets

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