Catherine Rampell Profile picture
Aug 19, 2019 3 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Navarro keeps going on TV and saying he knows the inverted yield curve (which he calls "flat") doesn't signal recession because he "wrote several books on the efficacy of the yield curve as a leading economic indicator."
Here's what he wrote about yield curves in one of his books
In 1st excerpt from Navarro's book, he mocks executives for not recognizing 2001 recession was coming b/c they "ignored" the "ominous progression of the yield curve" starting with a flattening in Nov '99. Here are avg yields for Nov 1999 vs past week
Here are several times over the past week when Navarro said he was an authority on yield curve inversions & the business cycle because he wrote "several books" on the subject

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Catherine Rampell

Catherine Rampell Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @crampell

Apr 7
Rep Mike Turner (R-Ohio), chair of House intel committee, tells @jaketapper on @cnnsotu that some of his colleagues have fallen for Russian propaganda and repeated it on the House floor
This follows similar comments from House Foreign Relations Committee Chair Michael McCaul (R-Tex) to @juliaioffe, which Turner was asked about.
Transcript of Turner's remarks on today's @CNNSOTU Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 22
Immigration Is Helping the U.S. Edge Out Asia wsj.com/world/asia/imm…
Immigration Is Fueling US Economic Growth While Politicians Rage
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 7 tweets
Mar 13
Immigrant families are hugely overrepresented in the health care workforce
E.g., adult children of immigrants make up 2x the share of physicians, surgeons, & other health care practitioners compared with their share of the population (13% vs. 6%)
kff.org/racial-equity-…
Image
Immigrant adults also make up a larger share of physicians, surgeons, & other health care practitioners than they do of the population (23% vs 19%) and play a particularly large role as direct care workers in long-term care settings, representing 28% of these workers.
This is worth keeping in mind when evaluating Trump's immigration policies, which would slash **legal** immigration.
wapo.st/4acKW9E
Read 4 tweets
Mar 9
Americans overwhelmingly think Trump would handle the economy and immigration better than Biden.
Again: I implore voters to look at what each candidate would actually do on economic and immigration policy in a 2nd term.
today.yougov.com/politics/artic…
Image
All of Trump's 4 key economic planks would *worsen* inflation: wapo.st/3PdHxiY
His immigration policies involve more family separations, terminating legal status for Dreamers, mass detention camps (involving the authority last used for Japanese internment), and cutting off **legal** immigration:
washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/…
niskanencenter.org/project-2025-u…
Read 7 tweets
Feb 27
Short 🧵 on political FREEDOM.
The more significant political fallout of this IVF discourse may not be revelation that GOP is often anti-family (surprise!), but rather the undermining of narrative that Dems are merely "pro-abortion" (rather than pro-reproductive freedom) (1/x)
Subtext (or text) of Repub attacks on Dem abortion positions is that they're driven by childless elites who want to kill babies.
IVF debate suggests Ds are promoting not abortion, but freedom—specifically, reproductive freedom, to choose when to begin or expand your family (2/x)
If Dems are smart, this is the angle they'll play up -- perhaps taking a page from @SecretaryPete's 2020 campaign, about how Dems should reclaim "freedom" as a rhetorical device. (3/x)
Read 4 tweets
Feb 7
Everyone's favorite time of year: CBO budget/econ outlook day!
Here's how CBO's economic forecast has changed since last year. Check out interest rates, bottom right quadrant below
cbo.gov/publication/59…
Image
Thanks largely to those higher-than-previously-expected interest rates, CBO raised its estimate of net outlays for interest over the next decade by $1.2 trillion (or 11%) Image
CBO also scaling back estimates for Medicaid enrollment in coming years (top right quadrant below) Image
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(