When Trump sees a demographic he doesn’t care for, he deletes them–i.e., the very record of their existence
Meet America’s new “missing persons," & govt campaign to delete statistical evidence of anyone who doesn't fit Trump’s idea of our new golden age
wapo.st/3Hs6XZb Some of those deleted from govt records are high-profile (e.g. Jackie Robinson, Rosa Parks). Most are ordinary Americans who may not even realize their existence is being expunged from government surveys, images, data
wapo.st/3Hs6XZb

Voters' complaints about inflation seem to have handed the election to Trump.
Alas, Wall Street analysts are now forecasting *higher* inflation/interest rates as a result of Trump's win.
A thread 🧵

https://twitter.com/ModeledBehavior/status/1854168323203690851

Capital Economics projects slower GDP growth, higher inflation, higher interest rates

Sen. Ted Cruz tells @edlavaCNN that he won't talk about abortion access because it's only "the press" that is "obsessed" with the issue. Not voters.
Meanwhile, Texan women are going into sepsis & dying because the TX abortion ban delayed their ability to receive emergency care🧵 Josseli Barnica is one of at least two pregnant Texas women who died after doctors delayed emergency care. This issue probably matters to the daughter and husband she left behind, among her other loved ones.

https://x.com/crampell/status/1851595645045391532

YouGov blind-tested voters on 100+ Trump/Harris policies, i.e. without candidate names attached. Results:
1) Harris's agenda is way more popular than Trump's
2) Even on issues like crime
3) But unfortunately voters often don't know which ideas are hers 🧵
wapo.st/4dQpNUg In general, Harris's policies poll much better than Trump's.
Nearly all of hers get majority support; only around half of Trump's do.
wapo.st/4dQpNUg

Brief thread of independent economic analyses of a 2nd Trump presidency. They generally show he'd spike inflation, reduce growth, and/or increase federal deficits. 🧵

First, here's @PIIE today, looking at effects of his deportation, tariff, Fed policies: piie.com/blogs/realtime… Pantheon Macroeconomics, from a few days ago

https://x.com/crampell/status/1838708910221308031

The SALT cap exists because of Trump's own 2017 tax law!!

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1836104287342215211

My view: It's better policy to keep cap on SALT deductions in place. Lifting it, as Trump seems to propose, is expensive & very regressive. 70% of benefit of ending it would go to those making $500k+
But...I'd love to know where Harris stands on the issue, which has divided Dems

"In Texas, a woman whose water broke at 18 weeks—far too early for her baby to survive outside the womb—was unable to get an abortion until she became septic. She spent three days in the ICU, and one of her fallopian tubes permanently closed from scarring. In Tennessee, a woman lost four pints of blood delivering her dead fetus in a hospital’s holding area. In Oklahoma, a bleeding woman with a nonviable pregnancy was turned away from three separate hospitals. One said she could wait in the parking lot until her condition became life-threatening." theatlantic.com/magazine/archi… theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…

Completely agree with empathizing with Americans' struggles.
My objection is to outright fabricating statistics.
We can talk about why people feel lousy without falsely claiming, as Mr. Singleton did just before this video began, that "household incomes [are] at a decade low."

https://twitter.com/MrShermichael/status/1820680570738766257

Here is that section of the transcript, with Mr. Singleton's full comment.

Scenes from the Harris fundraiser in Pittsfield MA Guy with the guitar was singing (I think) “This Little Light of Mine, I’m Gonna Let It Shine”

The kind of polling we need more of: @YouGov asked respondents about major policies proposed by Biden and Trump...without specifying which candidate proposed them.
Turns out, in a blind test, Biden's agenda is way more popular. A short 🧵
today.yougov.com/politics/artic…


27 of 28 Biden proposals are supported by more people than oppose them. 24 get outright majority support.
Most popular: criminal/mental health background checks for all gun purchases (82% approve). Least popular (the only one underwater, 30%): 10-yr military support for Ukraine

Pay more attention to what politicians *do* than to what they say
There's been credulous media coverage of Trump's "proposal" to give green cards to immigrant US college grads. It's odds with everything Trump actually did as president, to reduce *legal, skilled* immigration examples of actual policies he put in place, curbing visas, work permits, or green cards for skilled immigrants: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/…

Yes. Problem is most Americans don't understand how difficult it actually is to come here legally.
<1% of people who want to move permanently to the US can do so legally
Confusion is understandable. Our system is convoluted; demagogues take advantage🧵1/x
cato.org/policy-analysi…

https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1800977503760286214

Biden has proposed, and in some cases already opened, new legal, orderly pathways to come here—designed to take pressure off the border, among other objectives ("law & order")
Most Americans, including most **Republican voters,** support such efforts 2/x washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/…

This labor market just won't quit. 🧵

To wit: Labor force participation rate for prime-age workers at highest level since 2002 Prime-age women's labor force participation rate at highest level EVER

Rep Mike Turner (R-Ohio), chair of House intel committee, tells @jaketapper on @cnnsotu that some of his colleagues have fallen for Russian propaganda and repeated it on the House floor This follows similar comments from House Foreign Relations Committee Chair Michael McCaul (R-Tex) to @juliaioffe, which Turner was asked about.

https://twitter.com/juliaioffe/status/1775627659432558906

Immigration Is Helping the U.S. Edge Out Asia wsj.com/world/asia/imm… Immigration Is Fueling US Economic Growth While Politicians Rage
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Immigrant families are hugely overrepresented in the health care workforce
E.g., adult children of immigrants make up 2x the share of physicians, surgeons, & other health care practitioners compared with their share of the population (13% vs. 6%)
kff.org/racial-equity-…
Immigrant adults also make up a larger share of physicians, surgeons, & other health care practitioners than they do of the population (23% vs 19%) and play a particularly large role as direct care workers in long-term care settings, representing 28% of these workers.

Americans overwhelmingly think Trump would handle the economy and immigration better than Biden.
Again: I implore voters to look at what each candidate would actually do on economic and immigration policy in a 2nd term.
today.yougov.com/politics/artic…
All of Trump's 4 key economic planks would *worsen* inflation: wapo.st/3PdHxiY

Short 🧵 on political FREEDOM.
The more significant political fallout of this IVF discourse may not be revelation that GOP is often anti-family (surprise!), but rather the undermining of narrative that Dems are merely "pro-abortion" (rather than pro-reproductive freedom) (1/x) Subtext (or text) of Repub attacks on Dem abortion positions is that they're driven by childless elites who want to kill babies.
IVF debate suggests Ds are promoting not abortion, but freedom—specifically, reproductive freedom, to choose when to begin or expand your family (2/x)

Everyone's favorite time of year: CBO budget/econ outlook day!
Here's how CBO's economic forecast has changed since last year. Check out interest rates, bottom right quadrant below
cbo.gov/publication/59…
Thanks largely to those higher-than-previously-expected interest rates, CBO raised its estimate of net outlays for interest over the next decade by $1.2 trillion (or 11%)

Unemployment is near record lows, inflation is coming down, and we just had a quarter of gangbusters GDP growth.
But consumers are about as negative about the economy today as they were during stretches of the Great Recession
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…
We actually do measure underemployment, known as the "U-6" measure. It is also around historically low levels.

https://x.com/scrlovelife/status/1717905604247793830?s=20

I sometimes wonder whether the internet has made mankind more informed, on average, or less. On the one hand -- the entire accumulation of human knowledge, at everyone's fingertips!
On the other hand.
washingtonpost.com/wellness/2023/… More on this theme. washingtonpost.com/health/2024/03…