Geoff Brumfiel Profile picture
Aug 19, 2019 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
. @ctbto_alerts confirms that 4 IMS stations are offline in Russia.

RUP61; Dubna: the last message received in the International Data Centre (IDC) was 2019/08/10 03:16:59 (IDC received time UTC)

RUP54; Kirov: the last message received in IDC was 2019/08/10 06:19:31 UTC
@ctbto_alerts The other two stations went offline on August 13th.
@ctbto_alerts All four outages came just days after an accident that may have involved the nuclear-powered SSC-X-9 Skyfall missile. Five ROSATOM employees were confirmed dead in that incident. It happened on August 8. The stations are CTBTO funded, but operated by local Russian institutions.
@ctbto_alerts UPDATE: As of 17:30 UTC on 8/20, here's the status of @ctbto_alerts detectors:

RN61 Dubna: Down since 2019/08/10 03:16:59 UTC

RN54 Kirov: Down since 2019/08/10 06:19:31 UTC

RN59 Zalesovo: Down since 2019/08/13

(1/2)
@ctbto_alerts UPDATE (cont.)

RN56 Peleduy: Down on 2019/08/13. Back online, backfilling data.

RN57 Bilibino: Down on 2019/08/13. Back online, backfilling data.

In total, 5 out of 7 operational radionuclide stations in Russia have experienced problems since the accident....
@ctbto_alerts The only ones that haven't (by my count) are RN60 Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy and RN58 Ussuriysk, both of which are in the Russian far east near the North Korean border.

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More from @gbrumfiel

Sep 30
BREAKING: A tiny town in North Carolina that’s just been devastated by hurricane Helene could end up severely disrupting the global supply chain for microchips and solar panels.

(By myself, @camilareads and Scott Neuman)

Short 🧵

npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-…
The community in question is called Spruce Pine. It is America's sole source of high-purity quartz, and one of the only places that can supply high purity quartz to the world.

Or it was, until Hurricane Helene dropped a whopping 24.12 " of rain on it. Image
I spoke to Spencer Bost head of Downtown Spruce Pine. He says local businesses are destroyed.

There's now power, no water, or cell service.

"We were there for three days before we got enough chainsaws together to cut a path out of our neighborhood." (photo: S. Bost) Image
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Aug 9
The @iaeaorg is closely monitoring fighting between Ukrainian and Russian forces near Russia's Kursk NPP.

This has the potential to develop into a serious nuclear emergency.

Here's some early thoughts in a short 🧵
First, let's talk about the Kursk nuclear plant (KNPP hereafter).

The plant is located inside of Russia, about 100 km from the border with Ukraine. It consists of four units, two of which are currently operational (Units 3 and 4).
Image
Image
The operating reactors at Kursk are OLD. They began operation in the 1980s, and have had multiple license extensions.

They are graphite-moderated light water reactors. Graphite moderated reactors are no longer built anywhere in the world as far as I know, and for good reason... Image
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Jun 27
Iron Dome could be in big trouble if Hezbollah and Israel go to war. This is something I’ve been thinking about since Oct. 7, but I finally reported on it.

Nerdy 🧵 (followed by even nerdier philosophical🧵 about missile defense)

Or just read the story:
npr.org/2024/06/27/g-s…
First of all, what IS Iron Dome? It’s actually a network of radars, targeting computers and missile interceptors spread across Israel. It’s intercepted thousands of missiles over the years. According to the company that makes it Rafael, it’s got a more than 90% success rate. Image
Obviously I've known about Iron Dome for years, but what really got my attention about it was the May 2021 attack by Hamas. They sent a a barrage of missiles out of Gaza. Iron Dome's response was pretty incredible to watch...

Read 26 tweets
Nov 3, 2023
One week into the ground war in Gaza, here's what experts told me based on OSINT:

✅ The encirclement of Gaza City is a precursor for operations inside the city itself.

✅ The IDF has prob. not committed enough troops for a full occupation of GC.

...🧵

npr.org/2023/11/03/121…
🟡 Israeli troops appear to be operating under rules of engagement that allow significant civilian casualties.

❌ Some believe the willingness of Israel to tolerate high civilian casualties will be the "Achilles heel" of the entire operation.

npr.org/2023/11/03/121…
First, it's been obvious for days that Israeli forces have been working to cut off Gaza.

In a press conference last night, the Israel Defense Forces announced that encirclement was now complete. Image
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Jul 6, 2023
The Mysterious Case of The Stuff on the Roof!

This claim of objects on the roof of Zaporizhzhia Unit 4 has been doing the rounds this morning, but I'd urge healthy dose of caution.

Here's why... 🧵
So first off, where did this came come from? As far as I can tell, it was Radio Svoboda (Radio Liberty's Russian Service, I think?). They posted it on their Telegram channel earlier today and did a brief write-up here:

https://t.co/uc2l8Z6O2Gsvoboda.org/a/na-snimkah-k…
There's not a lot of detail about either the image or the analysis. But the original image came from @planet and was taken at 10:51 AM (07:51 GMT) on 5 July.

Here it is, and sure enough there are the white things on the roof....
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Jun 9, 2023
NEW: @TBowmanNPR has confirmed with a "U.S. Official" that an American surveillance satellite saw an explosion at the Kakhovka dam.

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Although the official did not confirm the exact system used, I think that a SBIRS sat is most likely.

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