Seth Abramson Profile picture
Aug 19, 2019 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
*Any* so-called "feud" between Trump and his longtime friend Thomas Barrack is ultimately about insulating Trump from what's going to happen to Barrack.

*Period*.

There's no feud otherwise. This is damage control. In 2016 and before, Trump and Barrack couldn't have been closer.
1/ When you read the piece, you learn that claims of a "feud" are coming *from the White House*. When Barrack's team was asked, they denied there'd been *any* change in the relationship. What I'd like to know is what actual story Politico traded this favor to the White House for.
2/ The piece is sourced to an anonymous "senior administration official"; Politico then does the solid of writing "the White House declined to comment"—giving the impression it had *no idea* its own team was claiming Trump and his self-described best friend had had a falling out.
3/ That the "senior administration official" has access to information about Trump's private communication habits, which are so guarded even some senior staff don't know who he's talking to with his unregulated third phone, confirms the White House was the original source, here.
4/ Moreover, if you've done a deep dive on who Trump communicates with (and when and how and with what safeguards against anyone finding out, research I had to do for Proof of Conspiracy), you know the only person who could confirm/deny any (non-speaking) "feud" is Trump himself.
5/ I'm trying to imagine the gall it'd take for a senior administration official to speak *out of turn* about one of the president's two closest friendships (the other being with Howard Lorber) and the truth is I can't imagine it. DC will assume Trump approved this [cover] story.
6/ Remember when Don Jr. lied to Congress re: knowing if his dad calls him from a blocked number, to avoid disclosing who he spoke to while negotiating the June '16 Trump-Russia meeting? Then we found he was speaking to [someone at the number of] Trump's best friend Lorber? I do.
7/ The lengths the Trumps go to to hide who they've spoken to includes criminal conduct. The lengths Trump goes to to maintain an unregulated extra phone are unprecedented. Politico shouldn't run any story on Trump's private calling habits unless it has Trump on the record, too.
8/ Tom Barrack (and Roger Stone) have long been two of Trump's most common private-adviser phone calls, and both were top advisers during the presidential election and in 2017. And Barrack says "nothing has changed." So the real story here is Trump's fear Barrack will be charged.
9/ One of the things readers of Proof of Conspiracy will learn is how *closely* Trump monitored the inaugural committee. The claim he didn't know where the money was going is false. Even the Wolkoff money secretly went in the direction of a man whose silence Trump wanted to buy.
10/ I mean, how do you write a story saying "current and former White House officials say" (as to a "feud") and then say, "the White House refused to comment"? It's outrageous. Frame it as "news" the White House wants out but that one of the two chief figures in the story denies.

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More from @SethAbramson

Nov 10
Trump won by 255K votes in the 3 states that decided the election. A swing of 128K votes in those states and Harris is POTUS.

Estimates have him winning under 50% of the popular vote.

MAGA lost Senate races in WI, MI, NV, and AZ. It may lose the House.

Hard to see a landslide.
The margin of victory Trump will end up with, 1.5%, is the smallest margin any incumbent party in the developed world has lost by post-pandemic, and in case you did not know, this is the first year since World War II in which every incumbent party has lost in the developed world.
We were told VP Harris received 20 million fewer votes than Biden.

We were even told that that supposed fact proved the 2020 election was stolen.

But by the time all the votes are counted, the data indicates Harris will have received only about 4 million fewer votes than Biden.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 9
(🧵) The 2024 U.S. presidential election was *not* stolen: a THREAD.

RETWEET for anyone in your life going down this road. Image
1/ Some notes to start:

1⃣ I’m as devastated by this loss as anyone—for more reasons than I can say or readers will know. Please understand, I feel the same pain as you.
2⃣ If contrary hard evidence emerges, I will say so.
3⃣ I worked on post-vote stolen-election claims in 2004.
2/ Every analysis—and many of the ones I mean are coming from the *right* (using current data to “prove” that the *2020* election was stolen)—that relies on *current* vote tallies is bogus. Millions of votes are still being counted, and the final results will look very different.
Read 42 tweets
Nov 8
(📢) PROOF EXCLUSIVE: Proof of Consequences, Vol. 1: Where America Goes Now

🔗:

This one is nearly book-length, but it’s a barnburner. It’s FREE with a one-week trial of PROOF, a Top 25 U.S. Politics substack.

Please RETWEET this so everyone can see it. sethabramson.substack.com/p/proof-of-con…Image
1/ A lot of people are asking me whether the lengthy report above—like I said, it is probably nearly book-length (and surely novella-length)—will address the allegations now floating around social media that the 2024 presidential election was stolen.
2/ Many of you probably do not know that I got my start in so-called bigtime national political journalism in 2004—bigtime, at least, in the sense that major media outlets (e.g. ROLLING STONE) covered my political journalism. At the time I was mostly focused on the 2004 election.
Read 36 tweets
Nov 7
Just a quick note here in advance of Trump and Musk crashing the economy in 2025: Trump voters are going to blame Democrats for that too.

Read up on fascism and cults and stop assuming we have a rational electorate that’s actually looking at economic indicators. It simply isn’t.
If anyone is looking ahead to 2025 and thinking that when Donald Trump breaks things, kills people, ends alliances and treaties, and endangers all of us he’ll be blamed for it, think again. You can’t *imagine* the degree of pain he’ll need to cause people before they turn on him.
Trump is a proxy for issues in people and culture Democrats can’t resolve via politics. He is a fever that will either kill this country dead or bring it so close to death—and I mean spectacularly, painfully close to death—that the fever breaks. Democrats better learn that quick.
Read 7 tweets
Nov 6
(🧵) ELECTION THREAD: I’ve been waiting all night to say anything substantive about what’s happened, as I felt—I still do—that I might say something I’d regret.

I hope you’ll consider following along as I try to process this with you all, and try to do it responsibly. Please RT. Image
1/ The New York Times gives Trump more a 90% chance of winning the election. Barring a miracle—and none is on the horizon at present—he will win.

And if by some miracle Harris won, it would be such a shock that it would almost certainly cause widespread Trumpist violence anyway.
2/ He isn’t just winning. At present this is shaping up to be a landslide. This is not Harris doing as Biden did. This is not Harris doing as Clinton did. This is Harris losing Texas by 15, Florida by 13, Iowa by 14, Ohio by 11...

This is Trump *wildly* outperforming all polls.
Read 36 tweets
Nov 4
(📢) MAJOR BREAKING NEWS: Donald Trump and MAGA's Kremlin Allies Planning Terrorist Attacks Inside the United States; Trump and MAGA's Support for Putin and Russia Remains Unaffected By Prospect of September 11th-Style Attacks Committed By Their America-Hating Political Partners Image
MORE/ Retweet this widely so that all Americans can understand that the Kremlin and Trump have exactly the same political agenda—to stoke not just figurative but actual chaos and mayhem across the United States. MAGA is an anti-American political movement. wsj.com/world/russia-p…
PS/ Here's what you *won't* see in light of the news of coming 9/11-style terror attacks committed by Putin, the Kremlin, and Russia: you won't see Trump distance himself from Putin, the Kremlin or Russia. You won't see MAGAs distance themselves from Putin, the Kremlin or Russia.
Read 5 tweets

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