A redeeming feature of the SAn political economy is that there is a deep understanding of the challenges that confront us and more critically the policy choices and decisions that must be made to solve them. A more important feature is that
we enjoy the constitutionally anchored freedoms to debate all these issues openly without fear. It is something we Must treasure and protect. What we need urgently is a leadership that is prepared to engage and take difficult decisions
to change our circumstances. We all agree that the most compelling decision is to agree on strategy and programme to implement a capable state machinery at all levels at the three spheres of government. This starts with composition of the cabinet.
It also involves implementing a legislated governance framework for managing SOEs that must install an iron clad wall to isolate and insulate political interference in how they are managed. This is urgent and overdue. All it needs is commitment
and tough leadership by President Ramaphosa. We have Not seen that up to now. Decisions recently made at Eskom are inconsistent with credible turnaround practice and commitment for an entity in such dire trouble. So it is with SAA. But all these turnaround
decisions and programme to achieve a capable state require money that the state does Not have. Should we OR should we not approach the IMF. Wise counsel says we should not but rather use the accumulated savings in the country. I agree. But only
under conditions and programme that should Not be substantially different from what the IMF could have imposed. Essentially this means 1. Substantial cuts in state ezpenditure 2. Business rescue like conditions for the turnaround of SOEs 3. Aggressive and
visible fight against corruption 4. Efficient criminal justice system 5. Only capable people in positions
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The existential challenge of 'Renewal' that confronts the ANC is becoming desperately urgent as the 2026 local elections get closer.
Remember the primary defection by voters was driven by poor public services especially collapse of water and sewage services.
This collapse is caused by misapplication of revenues and ring-fenced allocations from Treasury. 2nd, lack of qualified people at critical levels in these sections.
In 2018 I suggested establishment of independent SOE with district level branches.
The President just announced this option, 7 yrs later.🙇♂️🙇♂️🤷♂️🤷♂️
The delay is caused by ideological conflicts and policy inconsistency in the archaic Tripartite Alliance.
But in actual fact, it's the absence of strong leadership from the @PresidencyZA.
In 2016, my reading of the socio-economic dynamics and trends in South Africa up to then, and an understanding of the ANC rigidity to archaic dogma and a corrosive culture of patronage, inspired my boldness to develop South Africa Scenario 2030.
In that scenario, I could foresee a progressive erosion of political support for the ANC driven by its failure to pursue and focus on the national interest leading to finally losing its majority power in 2024 and being forced into a coalition with the DA.
It was also very clear to me then than the internecine battles within the party, and an absence of strong leadership following the exit of Thabo Mbeki, was going to be a major impediment to its ability to adapt itself to post democratic needs of society.
Our fiscal crisis exists because we created it.
Our democratic transition compelled us to run an efficient state beaurocracy to achieve equity in provision of public services.
1st priority was to have top class revenue collection and Treasury.
Discounting some hiccups in these areas, we have done well.
Now SARS urgently needs more resources. We must grant them. Whatever it takes.
We now also need to adopt a technocratic approach to eliminate inefficiencies and incompetence in our state system.
The GNU provides the operational mindset to achieve that.
We must treat incompetence, inefficiencies and corruption as crises.
This will develop sure pathway to balancing our national budget.
Do not focus on the inconvenience created by Trump.
The appointment of old and retired cadres as convenors in GP and KZN sends a clear message that the ANC has run out of steam and ideas.
This decline was easily predictable from 2007.
It's painful to see a once glorious movement degenerate so miserably.
The indisputable fact is that organizational renewal requires clear strategy and rigorous and dispassionate execution.
There is currently no leader with indisputable courage to do that!!
So, the ignominious end is unavoidable.
What you see now is just hubris.
I know what I'm talking about fro dealing with the subject for over thirty years.
I have also written books about it.
It's an uncomfortable subject for the ANC leadership.
But ignoring advice will not slow down the degeneration.
I find it difficult to find fault with this clearly honest SONA speech evaluation.
The focus is on primary challenges the most impor4ant of which is dysfunctional municipalities.
This is where job creating factories are created. outa.co.za/blog/newsroom-…
Government states that the District Model shall fix the wrongs in munics.
Strategically this has to be premised on a clear articulation of primary problems and structural weaknesses.
And an explanation of why some munics work while most don't.
This is missing
Further, a clear articulation of constraints to effective execution of this new approach is missing.
Without these grounding factors, the intention in SONA on munics is a blissful wish list.
I'm open to views in the contrary.
@OUTASA
@PresidencyZA
If you seriously reflect on how the ANC Tripartite Alliance govmnt has destroyed the capability of the state system, and municipalities under its control, through leadership incompetence, this country should be the leader in rolling anti-government protests.
Regardless of this serious indictment, party leaders and their zealots, continue to claim that they are the 'Leader' of society.
This term applies to pre-democratic liberation struggle phase to mobilize people around one mission to defeat apartheid.
It's a meaningless concept to the last three generations.
The challenges now in our diverse country are about economic growth and social upliftment.
The ANC have demonstrated with abundant evidence in the past 2 decades that they cannot be trusted to deliver