A redeeming feature of the SAn political economy is that there is a deep understanding of the challenges that confront us and more critically the policy choices and decisions that must be made to solve them. A more important feature is that
we enjoy the constitutionally anchored freedoms to debate all these issues openly without fear. It is something we Must treasure and protect. What we need urgently is a leadership that is prepared to engage and take difficult decisions
to change our circumstances. We all agree that the most compelling decision is to agree on strategy and programme to implement a capable state machinery at all levels at the three spheres of government. This starts with composition of the cabinet.
It also involves implementing a legislated governance framework for managing SOEs that must install an iron clad wall to isolate and insulate political interference in how they are managed. This is urgent and overdue. All it needs is commitment
and tough leadership by President Ramaphosa. We have Not seen that up to now. Decisions recently made at Eskom are inconsistent with credible turnaround practice and commitment for an entity in such dire trouble. So it is with SAA. But all these turnaround
decisions and programme to achieve a capable state require money that the state does Not have. Should we OR should we not approach the IMF. Wise counsel says we should not but rather use the accumulated savings in the country. I agree. But only
under conditions and programme that should Not be substantially different from what the IMF could have imposed. Essentially this means 1. Substantial cuts in state ezpenditure 2. Business rescue like conditions for the turnaround of SOEs 3. Aggressive and
visible fight against corruption 4. Efficient criminal justice system 5. Only capable people in positions
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The ANC policy and application of cadre deployment that has not been foregrounded on optimal competences and meritocracy for over two decades, in contradiction to how it is applied by the Chinese Communist Party, is counter-revolutionary and antiproductive.
The systemic collapse of municipalities and all our logistics state agencies and infrastructure, that are the oxygen of economic development, can scientifically be ascribed to the blind application of this policy by the ANC in government.
President Ramaphosa chaired the ANC Deployment Committee while he was deputy President.
All the disastrous deployments to critical positions in the SOEs carried his signature.
He has now called for a National Dialogue next year to review the past 15 years🙇♂️
When you evaluate the prospects of any organisation in a dynamic context in which it exists, pay particular attention to the following key factors: 1. Have a deep and comprehensive understanding of its Purpose and the structure in place to execute it.
And this is of critical importance: 2. Have a deep understanding of its target market, its perceptions and how it is segmented
This will be vital for messaging.
Some observations wrt political organisations:
a) What is the socio-economic state of the nation
b) Where does the target market sit on the political spectrum?
c) What are the critical issues that matter for each segment?
d) Which segment has consistently controlled the biggest leverage on voting day?
e) How do you then shape your message accordingly?
The shock impact of the GNU coalition era on society is profoundly massive and transformative and needs deep reflection.
Consider the following: 1. The ANC never thought the liberation loyalty and bond could be eroded and broken.....
2. The ANC hegemony and patronage have been broken and will be ended. 3. Opportunities will now become increasingly fairly distributed and open to all in many areas like; Expanded Public Work Programmes, BBBEE and the like.
@DeanMacpherson must be watchful..
4. Dodgy and massive contracts have been stopped since June. eg DoBE, SABC, Health etc. More are under review. 5. The level and demand for accountability and transparency have certainly increased. ANC arrogance has been wiped out...
Most, if not all, post liberation leaders have a good understanding of poverty and inequality because they emerged from that context.
That was motivation to lead the fight for freedom, equality and human rights.
They also had little experience earning income
Many of them were reasonably educated but they were leading communities and societies made up of majority uneducated or under-educated people.
On occupying the reins of power, they were exposed to its extensive reach across the state system and communities.
But to understand the value of power and how to use it, like wealth, requires time, training and coaching.
It should not surprise then that so many of these leaders succumbed to the perversion of power and abused it for selfish interests and those of cronies.
The President and SG of ANC continue to make a false assertion that the GNU was a 'tactical' response to a serious and 'unexpected' electoral outcome.
Untrue.
The ANC has been on an irreversible structural decline as argued in Ch 9 "Fit for Purpose, 2018".
This is decline is at centre of the scenarion developed in 2016 and published above
The coalition era is irreversible. It's a natural reflection of a growing centrist social outlook in a diverse and dynamic context.
We need to develop a framework to manage it
The GNU is a very delicate balance. It must be managed optimally.
It must have a credible programme of action for the next 5 years and expertly execute it.
If it succeeds, the members of the GNU will gain.
But ANC will not exceed 45%.
In order to regain lost voter confidence and win massive support for the GNU ahead of 2026, the following must be done before June 2025: 1. Enact a sweeping national law to compel all municipalities to shut spaza shops operated by illegal foreigners
1/2
2. Enact a law, like in Botswana and Ghana, to prohibit foreigners operating in the small business environment in black townships 3. Introduce heavy penalties on businesses that employ illegal foreigners. R100 000,00 per head.
2/3
4. Massively increase inspectors of Labour department 5. Increase budget for SAPS and improve their salaries
All these measures will reinforce the imperative of constitutional law and order and improve social stability that is now certainly under threat
3/4