Sean T at RCP Profile picture
Aug 21, 2019 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Sigh. OK, so my 2c on the 1619 project. It seems like most of the disagreement is two sides talking past each other (surprise). 1/
Conservatives are largely talking about the rollout theme, that 1619 is the actual founding of America. Libs are talking about the essays, which . . . don't always do such a great job of supporting the rollout theme. 2/
Like, from the essays I've read, the actual theme is more "slavery and race are really important, and touches aspects of America in ways you wouldn't think about." Some are more radical than others, but for an example. 3/
the Kevin Kruse essay on traffic in Atlanta probably shouldn't be all that controversial on its own terms. There's not a whole lot of doubt that racial considerations played a large role in how interstates were laid out, 4/
although, as with most things, that is tied in with other concerns like class, land cost, preserving traditional neighborhood integrity, etc. Also not too controversial that race plays a role in public transportation; see, e.g., the lack of a metro stop in Georgetown. 5/
I also very much doubt that Kruse blames Atlanta traffic on slavery. It might affect the specific form traffic takes and some of the severity, but traffic congestion is pretty much the norm in cities of Atlanta's size. So why would people interpret it that way? 6/
I come back to the framing. The Times rollout suggested an argument that slavery is the most important factor in America, so the priors were set a certain way. I think by-and-large the essays didn't even try to deliver on that, but I do think that's why we're where we are. 7/7
(it didn't help that a lot of these contentions are controversial, and only one side was presented, but I don't think its inherently problematic for a magazine to do a symposium with an express point of view) 7/8
A friend suggests that this is an urban legend, which is almost too bad.

ggwash.org/view/75/george…

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More from @SeanTrende

Jan 10
So there's been a lot of talk about Justice Barrett and Supreme Court ideology in general, which happened to occur as I'm getting a paper on Supreme Court ideology ready for publishing. The answer, unsurprisingly, is Justice Barrett is no Souter (much less Stevens). 1/
This relies on a computer program that looks at the frequency with which justices vote with which other. It then uses these pairs to rank Justices by ideology and to estimate where the ideological fissures on the Court are. Here's where things stood in 2016-18. 2/ Image
This should be familiar to anyone with a passing acquaintance with the Court. You have the four libs, with a divide between Ginsburg/Sotomayor and Kagan/Breyer, a BIG divide, and then the conservative justices. Note that I pool terms together to smooth out noise. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 11, 2024
Since we're doing the autism anecdote thing, I'll share some. During law school I coached high school debate at Chapel Hill High School and Durham Academy (my star student, one @JeffJacksonNC, who I won't embarrass with stories). There was a student, John, diagnosed w/ ADHD. 1
(not his real name btw). John was...strange. He sort of mumbled his speech, had weird facial expressions, had trouble writing in straight lines, and would say bizarre things. Once on a trip he just busted out "once I found a CD in the snow. It had no scratches, except Track 1."
Then complete silence. I just thought John was weird, as did the kids, and that debate wasn't for him, but his doctor had suggested doing speech activities to overcome his difficulties so whatever. Anyway, I was talking with my sister,who was getting a Master's in Special Ed. 3/
Read 22 tweets
Dec 10, 2024
One of the lessons from the past month or so is that people don’t understand the podcastverse, its ideological ecosystem, and/or how men/boys < 30 get their information/news these days.
Like seriously there is an entire genre of podcasters dedicated to this dude’s worldview. The whole loosely interrelated UFC/Rogan/manosphere/plant medicine genre/genres don’t map onto modern politics in any way that seem obvious to people over 30 but make perfect sense to youngz
If you have teen kids, particularly boys, you really need to pay attention to their tik-tok/podcast consumption (a) because there are some deeply disturbing worldviews promoted there but also
Read 6 tweets
Dec 6, 2024
So to explain something I posted about the Southern realignment yesterday, obviously 64 is an important year and was a breakthrough for the GOP. But the overall remaking of the South was a gradual, complex 70+-year process (long-ish 🧵). It can be thought of as 4 realignments 1/
The first was in the 1860s, when the GOP won in the mountain areas. A lot of the eastern-TN/western VA seats have mostly elected Rs since the Civil War. These voters didn't own slaves, and needed the roads and internal improvements that the GOP used to win over Whig voters. 2/
There were other historically Republican areas in the South (the Hill Country in TX sent a Republican to Congress for most of the 20s), but even in years like 1932 the mountains were Republican. 3/ Image
Read 15 tweets
Nov 20, 2024
🧵 I know peak Ozempic discourse was earlier in the year, but I did want to talk about some things that I think get overlooked amidst the "miracle drug" talk and contribute to the backlash. First the good: I lost 50 pounds on it in 10 months. There are the typical side-benefits 1/
My knees don't hurt, I get tired less easily, I work out more, my cholesterol and triglycerides are in line, etc. etc. It was 100% worth it. WITH THAT SAID. Ozempic is not some miracle drug that melts off fat while you stick with your old bad habits. 2/
I think that perception, in part created by people who take it, is part of why there's been a backlash. OZEMPIC ONLY WORKS IF YOU EAT LESS/WORK EXERCISE MORE. What Ozempic does is act like a sort of chemical stomach stapling, slowing down digestion so you fill up quicker. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Nov 15, 2024
In one sense the "realignment/demise of the Dem coalition" argument is overblown. Ds lost the popular vote by 1-2 points, held their own in the Senate, and are a few special elections away from winning the House. 1/
I think it's more of a sense of "it wasn't supposed to be this way." Trump was supposed to be a hiccup, and Obama's "Coalition of the Ascendant" was supposed to roll over Trump like he was a speedbump. 2/
Instead, Trump showed that even a badly flawed GOP candidate could not only roll over that coalition, but break off huge chunks of it. Hispanic men, a large portion of Black men, younger voters -- they were supposed to be the core of the new D coalition. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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