#2) There is a difference between being a pure data analyst, and being a person who researches, analyzes and understands the *real world dynamics* behind the data.
#3) The BLS revision is a data skew, that reflects several aspects. However, you must review from a *real world* perspective to understand it.
#4) The BLS data compares reported job hires to the number of workers who filed income taxes.
This is why that specific BLS report -a review of tax records- comes out in August. After taxes are filed; and after the 3 month extension period available to filers.
#5) Over two years, on a national scale, 500k less people have filed income taxes than the hiring companies reported on their hiring reports.
#6) So the question is: Why didn’t those hired people file income taxes?
[These are the missing people, over two years, in the BLS analysis]
#7) There are several aspects to the answer.
One of them (a significant one) includes “illegal alien” hires in the construction and hospitality industries (restaurants, hotels etc).
#8) Another one.... is people who don't file income taxes, who function inside the hidden economy.
Some (good actuaries within the data industry) call this the "black market economy", as a reference. It is a real world and natural dynamic.
#9) An example might be a waiter or waitress who doesn't file taxes because they don't want to report "tips" in their earnings.
This has always existed. This is not unusual.
The difference today is greater data research that shows their shadow, but not their presence.
#10) In a VERY hot economy... this group grows; because the overall opportunity grows. It's a simple aspect of ordinary people hiding their income.
If larger income opportunities exist, a larger percentage of the workforce grows in the shadow.
#11) Now go look at the data, and you’ll see those specific industries are the industries where the hiring reports do not match the income tax reporting results.
#12) It’s not an issue of ‘were those workers hired’?… They were.
The BLS data-skew issue is ‘why didn’t those hired workers file income tax returns’?
#13) That’s the difference between being a pure data analyst, and being an actuary who understands the real world dynamics behind the data.
#14) Hope that helps.
/END
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1) Let me bring FU type clarity to the "reasonable reforms" argument.
I have talked to everyone in DC about this. They are idiots. Not making mistakes, just plain allowing the IC to tell them nonsense. So, let me be clear.
2) Office of Inspector General Michael Horowitz testified April 27, 2023, more than 3.4 million search queries into the NSA database took place between Dec. 1st, 2020 and Nov. 30th, 2021, by government officials and/or contractors working on behalf of the federal government.
3) These search queries were based on authorizations related to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) and 702 search authorization.
1) There are two general flaws in this type of analysis.
While likely accurate that ISIS did not originate the planning of the attack. Two elements stand out that appear to point away from Galloway's supposition.
2) First, the suspects are alive. Meaning, there was no mop up operation behind them to remove the fingerprints of operational control.
Example (mop up): They didn't jump in the car after the attack and have the car explode with them in it. Essentially eliminating the trail.
3) The absence of the clean-up (could have been anything - not just my example) implies the people who organized the attackers wanted the attackers to be captured.... and therefore, talk about their prior instructions.
1. Let me be very clear, I have talked to congress about everything involved in Spygate, far, far, far, beyond the @shellenberger generalities and provided over 600 pages of verifiable info documents to prove the events as they took place. THEY DON'T CARE.
2. I also talked to J. Durham and W. Aldenberg about the specific info that proves the IC was coordinating with the Senate (SSCI) on all the Trump targeting stuff. I have been vetted, researched and investigated for providing the docs. Again, they don't care.
3. The apparatus of our govt, has made it perfectly clear they intend to do nothing except cover-up all of the activity because the institutional damage is too encompassing for them to deal with. QUOTE: "The IC activity was too big to cope with," the system is not designed...
1. The J6 pipe bombs were the fedsurrection insurance policy, in the event the feds couldn’t get the crowd to comply with the FBI provocations. If no one stormed the Capitol, the finding of the two pipe bombs would be the emergency to shut down the process.
2. Literally 3 minutes before 2 reps issued a vote for motions to suspend the certification, the House members were “informed” by capitol police and other “agents” that a protest was about to breach the chambers. This effectively halted the Chamber Process.
3. Pence, Pelosi, Schumer, Mcconnell can be seen being walked out and escorted from the chamber.
Once capitol police & other “law enforcements agents” informed the speaker and 3 other individuals, Pelosi UNILATERALLY UNDER EMERGENCY RULES, suspended the business of the congress.
Now that I'm really thinking about this, meaning I've finally stopped laughing,... the only possible explanation can be that in an election year Main Justice is threatening almost the entire U.S. Senate, specifically the Senate Foreign Relations Committee writ large.
THINK BIGGER. The USA led "western" sanctions against Russian interests were not designed to keep Russia isolated financially, they were designed to keep USA and Western banking customers walled in.
[To create a dollar based CBDC (writ lg) you need a captured base.]
BRICS+ was creating a non-dollar-based currency alternative for trade.
Then comes.... western financial sanctions, under the auspices of Ukraine conflict. But, think "stopgap."
The sanctions didn't block Russia, they walled-in the WEST.
Now you start to see it.
I did not realize the scale of this, until I sat in multiple banks in eastern Europe and listened carefully to the very real and practical process of avoiding western sanctions. Then, after meeting with people specifically to discuss the conflicting reality, it made sense.