Seth Abramson Profile picture
Aug 23, 2019 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
In this interview with Seth Hettena, who acknowledges Byrne's oddness as I do, Byrne confirms that he told the FBI about Butina in July of 2015; they ignored him because they were working on the Clinton case; and in July *2016* they began paying attention. trump-russia.com/2019/08/18/the…
1/ Strzok, Comey and McCabe greenlighting having agents ask Byrne to re-engage with Butina in July '16 is consistent with them receiving in spring 2016—from at least 7 allied intel agencies—reports of unusual Trump-Russia activity. Byrne had previously volunteered to assist them.
2/ It's striking that Byrne says he was trying to feed the FBI intel a long time—but they were ignoring it. Given the Louisville NRA conference was in May 2016, and Butina told Byrne of Torshin meeting Trump/Don Jr. there, Byrne is saying even *that* intel was ignored until July.
3/ If true, this conclusively establishes that the FBI had no interest in *any* information suggesting foreign infiltration of Trump's campaign until July 2016—by which time they'd received so much intel from trusted intel agencies that they went back and reviewed prior call-ins.
4/ It *also* means that when they reviewed that prior intelligence from Byrne, they found it credible enough to want to use him as an asset (as they had, with success, twice before on wholly unrelated matters). That intelligence would *include* a secret Kremlin-Trump Jr. meeting.
5/ It also means that this information—about Trump Jr. (or possibly Trump) meeting off-site with Torshin at an NRA conference in 2015 or 2016 and then lying about it to Congress (Jr.) or allowing Jr. to lie to Congress (Trump)—was among the intel passed off by Mueller to the FBI.
6/ Mueller clearly put Butina/Torshin in a separate intelligence-evidence bin, hence their absence from his Report. That'd also explain him farming out Butina's case and giving no indication to anyone outside the FBI Counterintelligence Division that he had intel on Byrne-Butina.
7/ Do I think Buffet convinced Byrne to come forward? I don't know. It's bizarre that Byrne went to far-right activist Carter first; it makes me wonder if a Trump ally steered him there. But I don't pretend to know. It's just troubling, *especially* as his story was first framed.
8/ Byrne told FNC that Attorney General William Barr has all the evidence he (Byrne) has, which is odd—why wouldn't Byrne's evidence go to IG Horowitz? Why would Barr have access to it? Why would FNC be Byrne's first TV interview? I think someone misread Byrne's evidence *badly*.
9/ I think what we have here is someone on the right, who knows who—whether tied to Trump or not—wrongly thinking Byrne's story inculpated Strzok, Comey and McCabe, when in fact it *exculpates* them. But this backfire is even worse—as Byrne's story *incriminates* Donald Trump Jr.
10/ Just wait until tomorrow or the next day—you'll see. As has happened each time the far-right tries to push its Strzok conspiracy theory, it's backfired—with the "new" evidence *exculpating* the FBI and *inculpating* Trump pals. And this is the worst example of that ever. /end
PS/ Another mystery—from his FNC interview now—that Byrne is going to have to unravel is, who was the "bigtime Republican attorney" who he told his tale to in 2018, who in response told him to "go home and shut up"? My money is on Joe DiGenova, but to be clear, we don't know yet.
PS2/ As an attorney, I feel compelled to add that Byrne tells Hettena he deliberately lied to federal agents he knew were in the midst of a criminal investigation—and that's a crime. So Byrne—by all rights—should face federal charges here. If Barr does nothing, it tells us a lot.

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More from @SethAbramson

Nov 10
Trump won by 255K votes in the 3 states that decided the election. A swing of 128K votes in those states and Harris is POTUS.

Estimates have him winning under 50% of the popular vote.

MAGA lost Senate races in WI, MI, NV, and AZ. It may lose the House.

Hard to see a landslide.
The margin of victory Trump will end up with, 1.5%, is the smallest margin any incumbent party in the developed world has lost by post-pandemic, and in case you did not know, this is the first year since World War II in which every incumbent party has lost in the developed world.
We were told VP Harris received 20 million fewer votes than Biden.

We were even told that that supposed fact proved the 2020 election was stolen.

But by the time all the votes are counted, the data indicates Harris will have received only about 4 million fewer votes than Biden.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 9
(🧵) The 2024 U.S. presidential election was *not* stolen: a THREAD.

RETWEET for anyone in your life going down this road. Image
1/ Some notes to start:

1⃣ I’m as devastated by this loss as anyone—for more reasons than I can say or readers will know. Please understand, I feel the same pain as you.
2⃣ If contrary hard evidence emerges, I will say so.
3⃣ I worked on post-vote stolen-election claims in 2004.
2/ Every analysis—and many of the ones I mean are coming from the *right* (using current data to “prove” that the *2020* election was stolen)—that relies on *current* vote tallies is bogus. Millions of votes are still being counted, and the final results will look very different.
Read 42 tweets
Nov 8
(📢) PROOF EXCLUSIVE: Proof of Consequences, Vol. 1: Where America Goes Now

🔗:

This one is nearly book-length, but it’s a barnburner. It’s FREE with a one-week trial of PROOF, a Top 25 U.S. Politics substack.

Please RETWEET this so everyone can see it. sethabramson.substack.com/p/proof-of-con…Image
1/ A lot of people are asking me whether the lengthy report above—like I said, it is probably nearly book-length (and surely novella-length)—will address the allegations now floating around social media that the 2024 presidential election was stolen.
2/ Many of you probably do not know that I got my start in so-called bigtime national political journalism in 2004—bigtime, at least, in the sense that major media outlets (e.g. ROLLING STONE) covered my political journalism. At the time I was mostly focused on the 2004 election.
Read 36 tweets
Nov 7
Just a quick note here in advance of Trump and Musk crashing the economy in 2025: Trump voters are going to blame Democrats for that too.

Read up on fascism and cults and stop assuming we have a rational electorate that’s actually looking at economic indicators. It simply isn’t.
If anyone is looking ahead to 2025 and thinking that when Donald Trump breaks things, kills people, ends alliances and treaties, and endangers all of us he’ll be blamed for it, think again. You can’t *imagine* the degree of pain he’ll need to cause people before they turn on him.
Trump is a proxy for issues in people and culture Democrats can’t resolve via politics. He is a fever that will either kill this country dead or bring it so close to death—and I mean spectacularly, painfully close to death—that the fever breaks. Democrats better learn that quick.
Read 7 tweets
Nov 6
(🧵) ELECTION THREAD: I’ve been waiting all night to say anything substantive about what’s happened, as I felt—I still do—that I might say something I’d regret.

I hope you’ll consider following along as I try to process this with you all, and try to do it responsibly. Please RT. Image
1/ The New York Times gives Trump more a 90% chance of winning the election. Barring a miracle—and none is on the horizon at present—he will win.

And if by some miracle Harris won, it would be such a shock that it would almost certainly cause widespread Trumpist violence anyway.
2/ He isn’t just winning. At present this is shaping up to be a landslide. This is not Harris doing as Biden did. This is not Harris doing as Clinton did. This is Harris losing Texas by 15, Florida by 13, Iowa by 14, Ohio by 11...

This is Trump *wildly* outperforming all polls.
Read 36 tweets
Nov 4
(📢) MAJOR BREAKING NEWS: Donald Trump and MAGA's Kremlin Allies Planning Terrorist Attacks Inside the United States; Trump and MAGA's Support for Putin and Russia Remains Unaffected By Prospect of September 11th-Style Attacks Committed By Their America-Hating Political Partners Image
MORE/ Retweet this widely so that all Americans can understand that the Kremlin and Trump have exactly the same political agenda—to stoke not just figurative but actual chaos and mayhem across the United States. MAGA is an anti-American political movement. wsj.com/world/russia-p…
PS/ Here's what you *won't* see in light of the news of coming 9/11-style terror attacks committed by Putin, the Kremlin, and Russia: you won't see Trump distance himself from Putin, the Kremlin or Russia. You won't see MAGAs distance themselves from Putin, the Kremlin or Russia.
Read 5 tweets

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