X : Do you think it's possible to change the economic and political systems to something more balanced?
Me : Do you doubt it?
X : Yes
Me : Do you feel it's too complex a task, don't know where to start, lack the energy to do this and question whether it's worth it?
X : Yes
Me : You're worried it might go wrong, how do we know if we can make things better, maybe it's safer to stay as we are and life isn't too bad, it's getting better?
X : Yes, Yes, Yes.
Me : Can I ask some personal questions?
X : Ok
Me : I can see you're mid thirties. I assume you work hard, long hours, don't get much time to sleep, have a demanding schedule, you're under a lot of pressure, rarely take time to do nothing and if you do, it's like a guilty secret? You're trying to buy a house?
X : Yes, Yes.
Me : You know this is all connected?
X : How?
Me : I'm guessing that when you were younger you saw lots of injustices you wanted to change? You felt a bit of a rebel? University educated?
X : Yes
Me : You don't feel a bit of a rebel now? You're tell yourself you're more "mature"?
X : Ok, first I've got responsibilities and now this is getting weird.
Me : Really? Do you think the injustices have changed? Have you not noticed huge numbers of kids organising marches and protests? Climate change? Shootings?
X : Well, what can I do?
Me : Thank you.
X : I don't understand?
Me : The problem is not changing the political and economic system. The problem is you think you're in control of yourself.
X : I am.
Me : No, you're not. It's like a collective Stockholm syndrome / learned helplessness. You're institutionalised.
X : No, I'm not.
Me : Look, I spend my life dealing with companies who are trapped by their past context and don't even realise it. When facing the problem for the first time it's all "we can't deal with that", "it's too big a problem" etc. This is all very normal.
X : That sounds very smoke filled rooms and dark glasses.
Me : No, it's just a stabilising mechanism in a social system whether it's a company or a group of people or a nation state. I'm sure there are people who think they are controlling it but it's the social system itself.
X : If I agree, which I'm not saying I do, then how do we change this?
Me : You already are. Two things to look for 1) Growing dissatisfaction and doubt with the past. 2) Suitability, Technology, Concept and Attitude for change. Key is the attitude ...
... you need to have the willingness to change, that desire to do so and that growing self belief. These factors maybe even embodied in some sort of talisman, a person, an event or a even a story.
X : If that is true, how can I prepare?
Me : The same way we should prepare for any such change.
X : Which is?
Me : Get some sleep, go for long walks, play a lot especially if you have kids and do something random.
X : That'll help how?
Me : It'll help you to think.
X : You're often quite negative about climate change but this seems more positive?
Me : I said there are two factors. The first is growing dissatisfaction with the past. You need to grasp that, you need to wallow in it, you need to think "god, this is crap" ... but ...
... you can't just dive into action, doing something. You'll end up doing a bit of recycling or whatever. You need to become "aware" of the situation. That sense of helplessness, that realisation you're not in control can help spark real personal fire, a desire to change ...
... once you have that, it's now a question of where, what and how. That'll take real divergent thought across many people. Get some sleep, play with your kids, discuss with others, do something random as James Webb Young would say.
X : What sort of random things?
Me : Random i.e. go sit in a cafe, go for a walk on a beach, do nothing at all, listen to some music, talk with some friends - in my case about slow fishing. You need to find time for your mind, to quietly digest and to think without thinking.
X : ... and then what?
Me : Well, when you know what you need to do then get involved with others and make that change happen.
X : Do you think there are any politicians who can tackle the problems of today?
Me : There are many inspiring and capable politicians both in the US and UK who say what needs to be said - @AOC, @BernieSanders, @ewarren, @jeremycorbyn, @RLong_Bailey, @SarahChampionMP etc.
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X : What is the deep state?
Me : Depends. You have various conspiracy theory forms and then there's the general term used to describe networks of power operating outside traditional democratic processes. This includes the influence of corporate interests, financial bodies, think tanks, wealthy individuals, lobbysts firms and institutions on government policy. Why?
X : Is Trump going to war on the deep state?
Me : I suspect you'll find that Trump brings his own corporate interests, financial bodies, think tanks, wealthy individuals, lobbysts firms and institutions that will have influence on government policy outside of the normal democratic process.
X : What does that mean?
Me : It means the deep state doesn't usually go away, it just changes i.e. a different group have influence. Unless Trump is planning on a radical program of transparency. Now, that would be interesting. Never seen Trump as a transparency champion.
X : Did you research healthcare investment?
Me : Back in 2023. A group of clinicians mapped multiple perspective of healthcare - including AI, clinical decision making, healthcare value chain - then we used those to determine where to invest from a societal and market benefit.
Me : ... from the table, if your focus is on society then your priority for investment should be measurement of health outcomes (against Patient Reported Outcome Measures) and sharing of medical data. If you're after market growth then try personalised medicine and preventative healthcare.
X : How do you produce those tables?
Me : Pick a field ... like healthcare. Ideally get 40-60 people together with experience i.e. clinicians. Ask them to write down post-it notes of what matters ...
X : What is the most essential skill for AI in the future?
Me : Critical thinking in humans. Alas, we don't usually teach this at school because we're too focused on producing useful economic units.
X : Useful economic units?
Me : Turning humans into automatons for the workplace.
X : Do you have evidence for this.
Me : I took a group of educational consultants, academics and teachers in 2023 and mapped out education from multiple perspectives ... purpose, micro-credentials, asynchronous & synchronous learning, learning models, social learning ...
... we then used the maps to identify where to invest for both societal and market benefit. We then aggregated the results, into the table attached.
If your focus in on societal benefit, then invest in lifelong learning and critical thinking. If your focus is on making money then invest in educational AI and digital access.
It amazes me that the most important metrics (lines of code, story points, cycle time, devex satisfaction) in development are the two that are never discussed, let alone measured ... mean time to answer (mttA) and mean time to question (mttQ).
Whenever we start with building a system or managing a legacy environment, we need to ask questions and get answers. Those are skills which can be hindered or supported by the toolset around you ...
... in the very worst cases, engineers are forced into reading code to try and understand a system. Upto 50% of development time can be spent on reading code ... a process we never question or optimise. That is madness.
X : Thoughts on a return to office policy?
Me : It happens for two basic reasons:- 1) loss of status symbols (top floor office etc). Many execs need these to say "I'm the boss" 2) headcount reduction (i.e. people will leave) due to a weakness in the finances.
Why?
X : What about productivity and innovation?
Me : Those are "reasons" given but they're all bogus and don't stand up to scrutiny. However, there is a third.
X : Colloboration?
Me : Stranded assets - offices etc. No exec likes looking at an empty building they spent £300M on.
X : Basically - status symbols, weaknesses of finances and political capital?
Me : Sounds about right.
X : Did you see Amazon has a return to office policy -
Me : Oh. That's concerning.geekwire.com/2024/survey-by…
X : Our strategy doesn't align with our business.
Me : How do you mean?
X : We create these strategy documents but they never really get implemented as the day to day business takes over.
Me : That's common. Can I ask a question?
X : Sure
Me : ...
Me : Do you map?
X : I've heard of your technique but we don't use it.
Me : Ok, so your business operations is not based upon a map of the landscape?
X : No
Me : And your strategy is not based upon a map of the landscape?
X : No
Me : What made you think they would align?
X : They are supposed to align and we wrote our strategy on our understanding of the business.
Me : Your wrote your strategy based upon stories. There's no means to create a consensus of your landscape, to challenge what your are doing. There is no mechanism for alignment.