Ben See Profile picture
Aug 24, 2019 21 tweets 8 min read Read on X
The 2020s:

1. unprecedented crop failures
2. epic, killer heatwaves
3. the most destructive storms ever
4. the end of Arctic sea ice
5. death throes of Great Barrier Reef
6. vast, uncontrollable wildfires
7. extinction of ½ million species
8. the beginning of 'The End': Siberia
Climate catastrophe is NOW and has been unfolding for *100s of millions* throughout the 2010s.

The Guardian won't point the finger at corporate capitalism, or explain the true nature of the escalating ecological apocalypse.

theguardian.com/world/2019/jun…

climatechangenews.com/2015/12/30/oxf…
'the world is facing widespread crop failure, economic ruin, mass migration and the destruction of entire eco-systems'

⚠️ Almost 150 billion tonnes of CO2 have been emitted since this shocking, last chance warning, and emissions are accelerating... ⚠️
independent.co.uk/news/world/eur…
Climate catastrophe is HERE.

'summer heatwaves on the scale of that seen in 2018 could occur every year if global temperatures reach 2°C above pre-industrial levels' and in two of every three years from 1.5°C.

We'll reach 1.5 - 2°C by 2029.

carbonbrief.org/northern-hemis…
Record-breaking rise in temperatures and drought:

"The climate is no longer safe for people in India...richer Indians will be able to migrate to cooler parts of the world. Poorer Indians will have to stay put."ecowatch.com/india-deadly-h…
Monster Storms are already here.

However, they're going to get bigger and bigger and bigger.

Today's political-economic systems are so deeply inadequate when it comes to trying to protect people, that it would be immoral not to change them immediately.👇
Mainstream media is beginning to get close to the reality of the Arctic Emergency.

Most likely the summer ice will be gone well before 2029.

All ice gone by the early 2030s? ⚠️
euronews.com/2019/03/05/arc…
Videos on an Ice Free Arctic in the early 2020s here:
Climate breakdown is already severe enough to kill the Great Barrier Reef. Since 2016, coral bleaching events have killed off half of the Reef, and in the next 10 years global warming will spiral out of control.

Survival would appear to be impossible now.
When we get towards 2°C (which will be very soon), 99% of tropical coral reefs will be done for.⚠️

See here for a sobering comment:👇
Wildfires 2018:

'The apocalypse descended on Paradise at dawn.'

As global warming spirals out of control, the wildfires of the 2020s will be even worse...

nypost.com/2018/11/12/thi…
Wildfires 2018:

Climate change is the obvious culprit.

Britain’s uplands are in an ecological crisis that has stripped away their natural resistance.

Farming practices have intensified and soil has been eroded, increasing susceptibility to wildfire.telegraph.co.uk/news/fire-stor…
Wildfires 2019:

'periods of extreme heat will get longer, more frequent, and more intense. Years of actively suppressing natural fires have allowed trees, grasses, and shrubs to accumulate at unnatural levels in many parts of the world. Deforestation...'

vox.com/2019/8/22/2082…
Nobody knows for sure how many extinctions occur each year (50,000?), but the 6th mass extinction caused by humans under capitalism means 'biological annihilation'.

pnas.org/content/114/30…

How many species actually exist?

8 billion?

1 trillion?
livescience.com/54660-1-trilli…
One million species “already face extinction, many within decades, unless action is taken.."

Without such measures there will be a “further acceleration” in the global rate of species extinction...

news.un.org/en/story/2019/…
@guardian knew in 2010 that only 'a few years' were left to 'stop the destruction of the natural world'.

It didn't become urgent, daily front page news.

Scientists estimated: '150-200 species of plant, insect, bird & mammal become extinct every 24 hours'theguardian.com/environment/20…
The Extinction Emergency is a complex one with plenty of unknowns.

But full extinction doesn't have to occur for total calamity to hit:

The loss of local biodiversity 'may have a more immediate and profound effect on the survival of nature.' e360.yale.edu/features/globa…
The most dangerous climate feedback loop is speeding up.

In Siberia, the carbon-rich permafrost is warming rapidly.

See thread:
A 2010 analysis 'led by the UK's Met Office in Review of Geophysics recognised the plausibility of catastrophic carbon releases from Arctic permafrost thawing of between 50-100 Gt this century, with a 40 Gt carbon release from the Siberian Yedoma region'.theguardian.com/environment/ea…
'Siberia's forest is mainly comprised of an ecosystem known as boreal forest, which circles the top of the globe throughout Canada, Scandinavia and Alaska. The world's largest ecosystem, these forests are...massive savings accounts for carbon dioxide..' ⚠️
mashable.com/2016/07/18/sib…
Hell?

'Methane is of huge concern. It is more than 20 times more potent a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, and a massive release of methane in the Arctic could pose a significant threat to the global climate, driving worldwide temperatures even higher.'theguardian.com/environment/20…

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More from @ClimateBen

Sep 10
Earth's species will suffer 2-2.6°C and rising even in capitalism's most ambitious decarbonization scenario. Scientists anticipate unsurvivable 3-7°C, with geologic periods like the Miocene climatic optimum (MCO) seen as good analogues for our current 21st century climate hell.🧵 The multimethod, multitaxon pCO2 reconstruction presented here indicates that pCO2 was moderately elevated at ~450–550 ppm during the MCO. These results are somewhat higher than most previously published pCO2 records, which generally report pCO2 < 450 ppm (see Foster et al., 2017), but still considerably lower pCO2 than climate modeling requires to reproduce MCO temperatures (Goldner et al., 2014). This indicates that climate sensitivity must have been elevated during the MCO, leading to highly elevated temperatures at moderately elevated pCO2. With 415 ppm measured for the first time in sp...
1/The race is now on to improve our knowledge of the Earth system in order to understand whether.. moderate levels of pCO2 may.. cause a devastating..increase of up to 7°C in the (near?) future, and if so, take action to prevent it. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/20… x.com/ClimateBen/sta…
2. The temperature regime reconstructed for most of the Miocene, ∼5°C–8°C above modern, is equivalent to projected future warming in about a century under unmitigated carbon emissions scenarios.. an important warm-climate analog..
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…
x.com/ClimateBen/sta…
Read 7 tweets
Aug 27
COLLAPSE/EXTINCTION: scientists fear global warming of 3.5°C, which wipes out 33-70% of species (IPCC AR4 2007, IPCC AR6 2022), will likely hit by the 2060s give or take a decade or two 🧵
1. IPCC scenario SSP3-7.0 shows 3.5°C by 2080 or from 2062 (not the worst-case scenario). Even a moderate emissions scenario can lead to 3.5°C this century (new research shows 2060s-80s possible).


Species extinct IPCC:
3.5C 40-70% 2007
3C 29%, 4C 39% 2022esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/25…
2. A new pre-print from highly respected climate scientists implies 3.5°C by 2065-77 at current rates of warming. The authors warn this rate could increase or decrease perhaps suggesting 3.5°C by around 2055-2087 rather like IPCC high emissions scenarios.
researchsquare.com/article/rs-607…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 25
BREAKING: scientists say Earth's major systems are undergoing abrupt changes — and soon we'll all feel them 🧵
1. 'prepare for a future of abrupt change.. choices made now will determine whether we face a future of worsening impacts and irreversible change or one of managed resilience to the changes already locked in.' phys.org/news/2025-08-s…
2. Society must now brace for catastrophic impacts.

Thread:
Read 7 tweets
Aug 9
Destruction of habitats and wildlife has intensified and accelerated to an almost unimaginable degree during the capitalist era. Scientists say the 40-50% of plant species now facing extinction will be obliterated in a handful of decades. It didn't have to be like this. Rethink. Plants are going extinct up to 350 times faster than the historical norm
1. Capitalism: a 'meteorite'

'previous mass extinctions.. took 10,000s, 100,000s, even millions of years to happen. this is happening so fast, now in just two, three decades..'
google.com/amp/s/www.cbsn…

Recovery: "we most likely won’t be there to see it"..
discovermagazine.com/earth-is-on-th…
2. Current estimates of plant extinctions are, without a doubt, gross underestimates. Extinctions will surpass background rates by 1000s of times over the next 80 years. universityofcalifornia.edu/news/plants-ar…
Read 8 tweets
Aug 7
BREAKING: as tropical forests show increasingly clear signs they are entering a collapse phase scientists warn irreversible mass extinction conditions are on the horizon 🧵
1. rapid warming & collapse

".. warming could continue to accelerate.. even if we reach zero human emissions. We will have fundamentally changed the carbon cycle in a way that can take geological timescales to recover, which has happened in Earth’s past.”scitechdaily.com/mass-extinctio…
2. “There will be a point in the not too distant future when we suddenly see and feel this mass extinction all around us very clearly”

“A key point of extinction crises is that life has always recovered.. However..we most likely won’t be there to see it."
Read 5 tweets
Jul 23
icymi: our coastal cities will be smashed by multi-metre sea level rise within decades Peak global mean temperature, atmospheric CO2, maximum global mean sea level (GMSL), and source(s) of meltwater.  Light blue shading indicates uncertainty of GMSL maximum. Red pie charts over Greenland and Antarctica denote fraction (not location) of ice retreat.
The Greenland ice sheet is now losing around 9 billion litres of ice an hour [Geological Survey of Denmark &Greenland]

With the ice sheet at “a tipping point of irreversible melting”, scientists currently expect an unavoidable sea level rise of 1-2 metres.weforum.org/stories/2025/0…
4 to 10 m sea level rise committed in the coming 2000 years, with the majoroty of that in the coming decades/centuries it would appear.
science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…

x.com/climate_ice/st…
Read 4 tweets

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