Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Aug 25, 2019 5 tweets 1 min read Read on X
1.Hong Kong Needs to decide if it's all in. MT Analysis | In Hong Kong, what happens now that Beijing has called the protests a ‘color revolution’? washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/…
2. The CCP is now calling out Hong Kong for being revolutionary? Hong Kong watched the Communist take over in 1949 and knew this day would come. But the current reaction is to simply huddle and try to resist the tsunami that the Chinese state can pour down on the small democratic
3. enclave. But it is the failure of the Chinese communist party that gave rise to the capitalist saving China. The Communist party tries to claim it brought China to world power when the fact is Communism and Leninist authoritarianism had doomed China.
4. Capitalist saved China and they are centered in Hong Kong. Make China face what life will be like when China loses its markets after the crack down. Trump may be fine with authoritarianism but most Americans aren't. We have no interest in growing a hostile country's economy.
5. Beijing made a deal. It broke the deal and now it needs to make clear it reaffirms the deal it made. If not, then China has hit its peak and will slowly slide into the state that all authoritarian communist counties reach: Economic ruin and civil strife.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Jul 25
1. The standard briefing order is fairly expedited as is. I think he's looking at other alternatives with the 4th floor. With the case shut down they can empanel a grand jury in DC or NJ to look at a foreign dissemination charge.
2. Cannon lost jurisdiction. Her order can easily be overcome by simply giving the prosecution to the Deputy who puts Matt Olsen at the National Security Div in charge. He can onboard Jack Smith as part of his
3. team and delegate the case to him and the PIN team. Easy Peasy. There's no conflict that the Special Conflict reg addresses, never was. Garland is just careful to a fault and sometimes that will be exploited. They need
Read 4 tweets
Jul 25
1. Putin is in trouble. His economy is starting to show signs of damage from sanctions and war costs that he can't hide. He needs to expand the conflict without actually getting into a fight with our superior forces.
2. Our reaction to these provocations should be to give more support to Ukraine. Make clear that it won't stop. Focus on Kremlin elite. Announce coming wave of sanctions against them and their extended families.
3. With Trump's campaign imploding, the elite may not be willing to allow Putin more time. His call for more ethnic cleansing puts every member of the government and military at risk for the Hague.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 25
1. My money's on the Kremlin having a big book on James Donald Bowman, aka James David Bowman, aka Jimmy Hamel nka JD Vance. Kremlin thinks Trump made a critical mistake nominating him for VP. Image
2. If I'm right, about the Kremlin book on him and the desire to get rid of him, I'd expect some very damaging Kompromat to be teed up. I'm watching former James Donald Bowman to announce he's leaving race
3. for "personal reasons." As we all know, being exposed by the SVR is a very personal matter. Dig into his finances and personal proclivities. The Russians find secrets then use money to recruit their marks.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 21
1. I'm concerned @LeaderMcConnell is calling for Biden to step down, IMO likely part of ongoing coup conspiracy. By jamming up Congressional choice for new VP that Biden's withdrawal would necessitate
2. a single assassination would allow the deviant anti-democratic @SpeakerJohnson to become president. Kamala will have the @SecretService detail of a POTUS nominee, a VP and the Football. That's enough.
3. in the mean time, Trump has advocated violence and is charge with what amounts to an attempted overthrow of the Constitution by violent means and should not be given a massive detail he can leverage
Read 5 tweets
Jul 19
1. The billionaire class wants to make sure they don't have to give back the loot. We're stuck because they also fund our campaigns. We have to cut the cord with the people who seek to pass the cost of governance to
2. the working class. The only way is for the working class to fund our campaigns. We need a party commitment that one of first things that comes in 2025 is a 70% effective rate on the super rich. That can peel-
3. off some less-ideological Trump voters and create chaos among the people who think they run everything. In that chaos actors will realign. The compromise will still be enough. The great corruptors who bought our
Read 4 tweets
Jul 19
1. Problem for Democrats is the election in key states comes down to undecided voters who can be swayed. The numbers are showing Biden has lost the ability to sway them over an issue he can't fix: His age.
2. I don't know who put him out there to look like a coma victim but I hope someday we find out. But, in the mean time, the fascists are licking their chops. Don't listen to me, but listen to the pros. @LarrySabato
3. is my go to political scientist. We are walking off a cliff and may lose much more than an election. But a bold move for Biden to nominate Kamala Harris energizes the base and swing voter who plan to hold
Read 8 tweets

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