Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
UMass Amherst Political Science, Int'l Rel & 中文 Minors. JD Univ. Hawaii. Liberal. Still have my Kennedy/Johnson button. Jin Jiyan Azadî
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Sep 29 5 tweets 2 min read
1. The GOP has already tried a blanket tariff program, one that led to the global economic collapse of the Great Depression. .

In my view, Trump's call to repeat this insanity is likely beingen.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smoot–Haw… 2. directed by the Kremlin because Russia does not export goods and needs to destroy the Western economies to level its strategic playing field. If we are concealing Trump's communications with Putin, in my view, we are engaged in dangerous meddling in the
Sep 28 6 tweets 1 min read
1. I have a @UMassAmherst undergrad political science degree but I'm clearly not competent to discuss the impact of polls with the experts. What I have is a life of political involvement that started as young child in the 1950s driving around Florissant Mo with my dad 2. while he campaigned for city counsel and police commissioner. That started a thread that leads to this election and I have some non-expert views about the state of the race. I will say it with the warning that what I learned as a child remains true:
Sep 21 8 tweets 2 min read
1. What’s Trump’s long-game by making clear he’s a Nazi? First, we have known for over a decade he was a Hitler sycophant. His now-deceased former spouse informed us that the kept Hitler’s speeches as bedtime reading material. 2. But in the past few days, Trump has issued a threat to Jews that he is now saying will be blamed for his loss plus his VP pick is echoing the Nazi narrative. I think two things may we driving it.
Sep 19 4 tweets 1 min read
1. I've been watching for this. Quinnipiac poll confirms Trump's advancing mental disintegration and the absurd false attacks on Haitians may have pushed the the right's ability to suspend disbelief and accept Trump as normal to the brink. Image 2. Turnout will be driven by Dobbs and in particular Black women in this historic election in the key states like PA and Georgia. Economic news favors Harris. As Trump tries to increase his radical base turnout he will drive the moderates away.
Sep 12 4 tweets 1 min read
MAGA has begun to devour their young. It's certainly about eating something. This is a Loomer post an hour old. Doubling down on the Trump disaster. They know this is causing people to flee the crazy train. Image
Sep 6 10 tweets 2 min read
1. I think I know who Co-Conspirator No. 5 is any it may be why the Special Counsel delivered something secret to court on Wednesday. Conspiracies are dangerous for defendants. Evidence that would usually be kept out comes in. 2. Here is the description of Co-Conspirator No. 5 from the Superseding Indictment: Image
Sep 2 8 tweets 2 min read
1. I was never a Mueller fan. That happens when your brother investigates someone but declines as he declined on Reagan, Bush41 and Barr. Mueller's team was made up of solid, ethical, courageous career DOJ pros. But Mueller was a GOP insider with baggage hidden from our view. 2. The truth about Trump's treason was in the NSA and CIA intercepts. We never saw them and may never see them. It's the flaw that may bring us down. A dangerous remnant of the Nixon years that, when they came crashing down, allowed people like Barr to burrow into the system
Aug 31 4 tweets 1 min read
1. The press has again dropped the ball on holding Trump accountable. What we need to know is where was Trump during the time after he landed at Dulles Friday night? Who was with him? Who witnessed it? What came is a reset. Pro-Kremlin stooges appeared in his campaign. 2. Who authorized Trump's photo op at Arlington that a private citizen doesn't get? That person gave him the trappings of a sitting @POTUS. Who was that? What communications did that person or their team have with people in the emerging Trump/Kremlin team?
Aug 25 4 tweets 1 min read
I have kept quiet about this because I don't like to engage in what might be considered stereotyping but the @nytimes is so far off the rails that it must be said. We need to consider that Carlos Slim is compromised by Russian connections to drug cartels who he knows can reach him and has used his early significant and now more minority stake to infiltrate the Times' management, line reporting and editorial staff.
Aug 17 6 tweets 2 min read
1. If Putin declares he'll revert to nuclear weapons to save his corrupt regime from ignominious defeat, we should consider a declaration of war with a commitment of no first-use of nuclear weapons that takes that threat off the table. But what that declaration would do is this: 2. The moment POTUS signs the simple majority joint resolution of a declaration of war, all Russian national assets of any kind in the US or subject to US control become the permanent, irreversible property of the US Custodian under the Trading with the Enemy Act.
Aug 17 15 tweets 3 min read
1. I first read Roe v. Wade when it was released in 1971 during the year I had taken off before college. During that time my views were shaped working at the nation's oldest Women's college in my home town. I was a feminist and remain so today. 2. Much later, I took a PhD level Constitutional law class at @UMassAmherst. Then I won the ConLaw Am Jur in Law school. I have thought long and hard about Roe. This won't be well-received but Roe was not a good decision.
Aug 14 5 tweets 1 min read
1. @Fortune500 CEOs think they can join a fascist coup to overturn our democracy and install a person who proclaims he will be a dictator without consequence. These pro-fascist CEOs think we are powerless. 2. We need to identify the CEO's who are supporting Trump. Donor records are a good start but we can add evidence of their support from many sources. Once we have clear evidence of their support for the fascist dictator wannabe we then brand the company they
Aug 11 8 tweets 3 min read
1. Putin's foolish strategy in #Donbass that made places like #Bakhmut worth 50 thousand Russian Army casualties, has had long-term impact on Russian force readiness that is now coming home to roost. Two regiments are on the border and might be able to assist in stemming 2. the rout shown here with yellow circles, are on the flank of the Kursk salient but were both burnt-up in Bakhmut and Chasiv Yar. These units were likely put there for show knowing that they did not have combat capability. They face envelopment by the growing salient. Image
Aug 10 5 tweets 1 min read
1. I'm not going to be shocked that Iran is the source of the Trump hack but I'll wait for more information. Every authoritarian regime he's in bed with will go after the feeble weak clown in hopes to curry favor with the victor. They don't understand us. 2. The day Trump took credit for assassinating Qasem Soleimani, I knew Trump would regret it. Silence would have left ambiguity whether it was the Israelis. I still believe Trump green-lighted the missile attack on our base at Al Assad to try to appease the Quds Force.
Aug 8 9 tweets 2 min read
1. Could Trump be thinking about dropping out? Was the Mar-a-Lago Club presser branding instead of Trump Vance ticket deliberate signaling? 2. He has filed numerous Bankruptcy petitions so he knows how to push restart and leave the suckers behind.
Aug 8 6 tweets 1 min read
1. I have believed since 2014 that "ISIS" nka #Daesh was, in significant part, a Russian project to pin the US down in a war in the ME while Putin moved on Europe starting in Ukraine. The ISIS connection to Vienna is not likely random but simply part of this Russian strategy. 2. Putin needs Trump to stop the Russian collapse in Ukraine. I'd want to know if @taylorswift13 is active in support for Harris. The tendency to view events as disjointed random occurrences is a weakness in our intelligence services' monolithic @ODNIgov structure.
Jul 28 11 tweets 2 min read
1. I've pondered SCOTUS' Trump immunity case and conclude it has a flaw that will easily support its overturning.
Roberts claims POTUS has near-unlimited power but then, without authority, strips away the 2. power of the Executive to employ the Executive branch's records to punish a traitor who refused to relinquish power after losing an election. If POTUS is so powerful and the Federal
Jul 25 4 tweets 1 min read
1. The standard briefing order is fairly expedited as is. I think he's looking at other alternatives with the 4th floor. With the case shut down they can empanel a grand jury in DC or NJ to look at a foreign dissemination charge. 2. Cannon lost jurisdiction. Her order can easily be overcome by simply giving the prosecution to the Deputy who puts Matt Olsen at the National Security Div in charge. He can onboard Jack Smith as part of his
Jul 25 4 tweets 1 min read
1. Putin is in trouble. His economy is starting to show signs of damage from sanctions and war costs that he can't hide. He needs to expand the conflict without actually getting into a fight with our superior forces. 2. Our reaction to these provocations should be to give more support to Ukraine. Make clear that it won't stop. Focus on Kremlin elite. Announce coming wave of sanctions against them and their extended families.
Jul 25 5 tweets 1 min read
1. My money's on the Kremlin having a big book on James Donald Bowman, aka James David Bowman, aka Jimmy Hamel nka JD Vance. Kremlin thinks Trump made a critical mistake nominating him for VP. Image 2. If I'm right, about the Kremlin book on him and the desire to get rid of him, I'd expect some very damaging Kompromat to be teed up. I'm watching former James Donald Bowman to announce he's leaving race
Jul 21 5 tweets 1 min read
1. I'm concerned @LeaderMcConnell is calling for Biden to step down, IMO likely part of ongoing coup conspiracy. By jamming up Congressional choice for new VP that Biden's withdrawal would necessitate 2. a single assassination would allow the deviant anti-democratic @SpeakerJohnson to become president. Kamala will have the @SecretService detail of a POTUS nominee, a VP and the Football. That's enough.