Hassan I. Hassan Profile picture
Aug 26, 2019 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Very interesting statement just issued by Saudi Arabia and the UAE -- an agreement to support the Yemeni government & what seems to be a reversal of the UAE "withdrawal."

Speaks of a troops REDEPLOYMENT (details in following tweets)

spa.gov.sa/1961766
Joint UAE-Saudi statement: the two countries expressed concern over events in Aden and then in Abyan and Shabwa & both "affirm the continuation of all political, military, relief & development by the countries of the coalition that came to the rescue of the Yemeni people."

1/
Statement: the governments of the two countries reject & condemn accusations & smear campaigns targeting the UAE in the wake of these events & affirm commitment to preserve the Yemeni state & its unity under the legitimate president [Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi]
Statement: both countries affirm the need to fully comply with the joint committee formed by the coalition's leadership and for "the redeployment of forces in the framework of the military effort by the Coalition."

END
The most important parts
(The joint statement comes a day after these interesting tweets by the UAE minister of state for foreign affairs, with different language affirming the UAE’s subordinate role in Yemen & that it would completely defer to Saudi Arabia for its role there.)
In other words, new things:

• The UAE is recommitting to the war effort in Yemen & redeploying forces there
• The two countries reached an agreement to not split Yemen (some assumed the two were quietly on the same page)
• Both agree to continue the fight against the Houthis
(So much for “no friction between the two brothers”. There was/is, and it follows increasing challenges to the UAE allies in southern Yemen & anger in Riyadh. Reminds of Haftar’s failure to seize the Libyan capital despite unprecedented backing from his regional sponsors.)
Old statements like this were untrue:

“The United Arab Emirates had been planning its recent troop drawdown in Yemen for over a year and coordinated its move with key ally Saudi Arabia, a senior Emirati official said on Monday.”

reuters.com/article/us-yem…
“Dissent” view about the UAE’s recommitment to the war effort from Dubai police ex-chief & top advisor:

“No reason is left for us to stay with the cowards ... the Emirati people demand from their government to leave the Northerners [Hadi govt] fighting the Houthis on their own.”
(Importantly, these views & others additionally indicate how the joint statement made yesterday has been understood locally... that it was a reversal of recent moves & a recommitment to the war effect against the Houthis.)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Hassan I. Hassan

Hassan I. Hassan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @hxhassan

Oct 20, 2023
I haven’t seen such relentless interrogation of Palestinian leadership before, esp. in Arabic.

On Saudi Arabia’s main TV channel, Hamas leader is clearly startled by the intensity of the questions & responses to his answers.

Crucial points in next tweets
One of the most significant ones to Hamas leader by the Saudi TV interviewer is why Hamas expects Arab countries to back them up when Hamas hadn’t consulted them before carrying out an operation akin to declaration of war.

‘You didn’t consult even fellow Palestinians.’
Image
Image
Hamas leader gets visibly angry when she asks him if he would condemn Israeli civilian killings.


Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Oct 19, 2023
Two crucial points. Al Faisal isn’t an official, but you can think of this speech as the *clearest* indicator of the Saudi leadership’s thinking beyond the generic official remarks. Thus: Saudi is messaging that the Gaza war must NOT end the Saudi-Israeli normalization talks 1/2
Second, and despite the growing conventional wisdom about this, I never believed even for a second that the latest round of the conflict has sabotaged the Saudi-Israeli normalization talks.

They’ll be resumed, albeit in greater secrecy than for a while until progress is made.
Saudi approach to such crises isn’t hard to decipher if analysts know Saudi Arabia.

When Iran struck inside Saudi this time in 2019, the consensus was clear, that Riyadh would hit back with U.S. help.

Against consensus I predicted what’d happen, to a T 👇




Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 30, 2022
ISIS announces its leader Abu al-Hassan Al-Qurashi has been killed in action, and declares Abu al-Hussain al-Hussaini al-Qurashi as its new leader.

[Important to note that this is quite possibly a fake announcement. See next tweets]
Scenario 1 is that the ISIS leader was killed "accidentally" during a raid or fighting without him being known to whoever killed him (the US, Iraqis, Kurds) so those did not know they killed the leader.

That'd be unprecedented, but possible.

Another scenario is this is fake:
The above scenario wouldn't explain basic information we already have. The suspected leader was arrested by Turkey, confessed he was made a leader against his wishes middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-is… catching an ISIS leader alive would be unprecedented, & extremely damaging to the group >>
Read 9 tweets
May 27, 2022
#important Our institute has released a significant and legally-reviewed report detailing evidence of how Russia is inciting genocide in Ukraine. Tremendous work in @NewlinesInst - coverage of the report in @nytimes here
.@CNN has an exclusive story on this landmark report.

Leading experts accuse Russia of inciting genocide in Ukraine and intending to 'destroy' Ukrainian people | CNN

cnn.com/2022/05/27/eur…
Russia has incited genocide in Ukraine, independent experts conclude - The Washington Post washingtonpost.com/world/2022/05/…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 10, 2022
Gonna summarize the new release by the Islamic State (ISIS) about the killing of its leader and the appointment of a new leader. The release is by its new leader Abu Omar al-Muhajir.

Follow this #thread
The release, titled "Of them were some who passed away," reveals that both the leader Qardash and his spokesman Abu Hamza al-Qurashi (who died on February 3, in a US special forces raid in northern Syria). The group offers different details.
The ISIS release by the new spokesman mentions the two died in the past few days (so this was recorded a month ago, but only now released). He claims the two died standing and fighting.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 7, 2022
Afghan businessman @BarakShoaib, once a symbol of everything the U.S. claimed to support during the war against the Taliban, pens a powerful essay on the U.S. sanctions, their immorality and the profound betrayal they symbolize | New Lines Magazine apple.news/Ax8qjKV4USW2GY…
“Since the day the U.S. froze the reserves of Afghanistan’s Central Bank, I have had almost no access to the more than $3 million in my bank accounts. I probably never will again.” apple.news/Ax8qjKV4USW2GY…
The construction, mining and food companies I own, which used to have annual revenues of over $40 million, are in danger of folding entirely. apple.news/Ax8qjKV4USW2GY…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(