Aodhán Michael Connolly Profile picture
Aug 27, 2019 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Thread: There is a very real danger that plans will be put forward in the next weeks that will not be alternative arrangements to Backstop but simply alternatives/mitigations to a no-deal #Brexit. That is not enough for NI biz. Our tests haven't changed to protect our economy 1/
We need unfettered access to UK & EU markets, we need no tariffs, no new VAT complications, we need no infrastructure or delays at the border, we need no new sps checks, controls, costs or red tape for biz/ consumers moving products across the border, over to GB into the EU27 2/
Checks moved away from the border are still checks imposing costs and red tape and damage supply chains. Consumers in GB and NI would pay the price for this. DAERA estimate they would need to do over x100 the staff. 1 retailer alone would need 35 DAERA staff to check goods 3/
The backstop provides a workable, legal solution to every regulatory question affecting the movement of goods - from VAT to SPS checks on cheese. Any alternative must ensure the same check-free, cost-neutral, consumer-friendly solution to trade in goods. 4/
If it can’t do that it will not work. That is the test against which we will measure any new proposals from the UK Government not because of some idyll but because it is what we need not to thrive but to survive. Our economy is built on access to 2 markets. 5/
NI households have 1/2 descretionary income of GB h/holds. Neither they nor NI biz can afford even short term cost rises. That is why any altern arrangements must give same protection as the backstop. They must be proven to work & cannot be simply mitigation to a no deal! /end

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More from @MichaelAodhan

Feb 2, 2022
🚨Recipe🚨 smoked haddock, leek & bacon risotto fakeaway at 560cls:
1 large leek sliced
1tsp chopped garlic
160g risotto rice
350ml fish stock
125ml 2% milk
200g smoked haddock in large chunks
3 tbsp 1/2 fat crème fraîche
100g baby spinach
3 cooked smoked bacon medallions
*This recipe is for 2 people
STEP 1
Spray 8 sprays of frylight in a large pan over over a medium heat. Cook the leek & chopped garlic for 4-5 mins, stirring regularly, until just tender. For extra sweetness you can add a chopped shallot too
STEP 2 Add the rice and stir for a further 2 mins making sure the rice gets coated. Add 2 ladels of the stock and milk, bring to the boil and reduce the heat. Stir as you go. It helps the starch leave the rice which makes it creamy
Read 6 tweets
Jan 1, 2022
As we begin 2022 there is no more fitting way than to share the epic poem of beginning, of loss and of hope by Brendan Kennelly who passed away in 2021.

May it brightened your day and give you strength if you need it

1/4
Begin again to the summoning birds
to the sight of the light at the window,
begin to the roar of morning traffic
all along Pembroke Road.
Every beginning is a promise
born in light and dying in dark
determination and exaltation of springtime
flowering the way to work.
2/4
Begin to the pageant of queuing girls
the arrogant loneliness of swans in the canal
bridges linking the past and future
old friends passing though with us still.
3/5
Read 5 tweets
Mar 17, 2021
☘️ST PATRICK'S DAY ETYMOLOGY THREAD☘️ so far I've been looking at different words across Europe for different things. But given the day that's in it, I thought that I would look at a few words that we get from Gaeilge and one we definitely don't! Soooo.... 1/11
An easy one is galore, as in prizes galore that means loads. It actually comes from the Gaeilge "go leor" meaning enough which often happens when words are loaned to other languages, a slight change in definition 2/11
Banshee of course is one that everyone knows but the Irish is beansídhe which doesn't mean ghost but fairy woman. The one from Derby ó Gill still scares the bejaysus out of me. 3/11
Read 11 tweets
Dec 6, 2020
OK. Let's fact check this. Will tariffs impact on shop prices or not? Well on the the amount we trade now with the EU Supermarkets & their customers face £3.1 billion a year of tariffs on food & drink unless a free trade deal is reached between the UK and the European Union 1/8
UK grocery sector is one of the most competitive in the world and operates on tight margins to offer customers the best value possible. Remember up to Q4 2018 there was a record 5 yrs shop price deflation. That means no room to absorb costs 2/8
That means, if there is no deal the increase in tariffs will leave retailers with nowhere to go other than to raise the price of food.
Many non-food retailers will also see large tariff bills for EU products, meaning the total cost to retail & customers will be even higher 3/8
Read 8 tweets
Dec 6, 2020
OK let's look at this for a second. Shall we? In simple terms, well 1st neither of the countries Daniel mentions has a land border with the EU or are in direct competition on fisheries. Neither of those agreements was breaking ties then trying to rebind without standards etc. 1/7
Secondly we have the whole piece of geography and trade gravity and how EU-UK trades more goods with each other than the other two countries combined do with the EU. So any changes which unduly affect either side are a big game changers. That's why they are both digging in 2/7
Then there is time. EU-Japan started making moves 18 yrs ago.
Mutual Recognition Agreement 2002, Anti-competitive Activities Agreement, Science & Technology Agreement 2009, etc etc & it STILL took 4 years to get an FTA agreed & implemented for a lot less trade 3/7
Read 7 tweets
Jun 5, 2020
🚨BREXIT THREAD🚨 Today the NI Business Brexit Working Group published its response to the UKG Command paper on the NI Protocol called implementing the NI Protocol: What Business in NI needs & why. So let's look at what we have said: 1/11
The overarching finding of the report is that while progress has been made & the ambitions of the UKG are laudable, there is a need for technical detail to allow business to prepare for the changes that will come into force on 1 January 2021 and that detail needs to come now 2/11
Part of that detail is a need for detail of how goods flow both ways across the Irish sea as well how the integrated nature of the whole island economy can be maintained. Our economy is built on those integrated supply chains across these islands. 3/11
Read 11 tweets

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