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Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Brexit

Most recents (24):
I did a quick explainer for @prospect_uk on how #Brexit may affect #VAT, both domestically and in relation to EU-UK trade. Quick thread on some of the key points: prospectmagazine.co.uk/economics-and-…
1/ The UK, like all other EU member states, currently is part of the common EU VAT area. While the EU does not prescribe exact VAT rates, it put in place certain guidelines, e.g. a minimum standard rate of 15%, or limits on granting of reduced rates and exemptions.
2/ Leaving the EU presumably means leaving its VAT area (Monaco currently only non-EU state that is a member). This would have a range of serious implications, both positive and negative.

(Though some trade experts expect EU would offer UK continued membership, if asked.)
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We’re here to hear what are the real deal prospects & real world impacts for all UK #FisheriesInTransition rather than any political or media spin about it.
EU official told him early on in #Brexit negotiations, “You [UK] have no cards, except fish.”
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#ABTVtoStopBrexit isn't about affecting the balance of power or forcing a General Election. #ABTV is about sending a message to the Tories, and *especially* to Labour that people don't support *any* #Brexit. Not a #HardBrexit, #SoftBrexit, #NoDealBrexit, #Lexit, or *any* Brexit.
The Tory's control more than half of councils, nearly double Labour. Losing control of even half of them is unrealistic, and even if it happened under fixed term government I can all but guarantee it won't result in a General Election.
A Prime Minister calls a GE under two circumstances:
1) They are miles ahead in the polls and think they can increase their majority (as in 2017)
2) They have suffered a humiliating defeat or scandal.
Read 24 tweets
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Take back Control?

A brief thread about the big lie told to working class voters.

There has always been a strong latent undercurrent of racism in U.K. I grew up in a working class family where the gags of Davidson & Manning about black & Indian stereotypes were accepted.
Other races were regarded in that community as inferior. Sometimes tolerated, IF they behaved like us, even welcomed, but never on an equal footing. You still hear it in pubs and football terraces, it never went away.
For me, it was Tony Blair who finally excised the racist DNA I carried. For years, I exaggerated my “Toryness” - the party I had adopted against all family tradition because it stood for getting ahead. I barked about the EU, with its feeble minded “foreign” thinking.
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Commonwealth Summit is underway but do you know the real reason behind this summit? Yes its the Queen's birthday but do you know member nations have been summoned there for a secret meeting at Windsor Castle? Why is this being kept hidden from Indians?
gginews.in/indians-ashame…
#Brexit has plunged Britain into chaos so a re-branding of Commonwealth is in progress. Do you know a very special role has been designated for India in this Empire 2.0 as Jewel in Commonwealth which even certain Indian experts are propagating? gginews.in/indians-ashame…
There is no reason Commonwealth should exist unless it is to perpetuate same colonial legacy that plundered half the world and specifically Sone ki Chidiya – India. Do Indians not remember history of your ancestors who gave their lives for your future? gginews.in/indians-ashame…
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Follow #bcsbrexit for tweets from today's joint @EuroCIO @bcs_elite event on #GDPR and #brexit
Find out more about today's #bcsbrexit event from @bcs_elite and @EuroCIO bcs.org/content/ConWeb… #GDPR #brexit
After #brexit, under #gdpr the UK will need an Adequacy Agreement or an equivalent to #PrivacyShield to transfer personal data to/from the EU27 according to LSE's Dr Monica Horten @iptegrity #bcsbrexit
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So the Lords voted pretty overwhelmingly (347👍, 225 👎) today that 🇬🇧 should stay in a Customs Union with 🇪🇺.

What is this going to mean?

A quick thread.
1/9
Most obviously it makes the chances of 🇬🇧 having a Customs Union with 🇪🇺 marginally higher. That's welcome.

But I think the significance is more tactical.

2/9
First, this all depends on how the Commons reacts.

Does it try to fight back against Lords, and Withdrawal Bill drags on? Or does Govt back down, knowing there would probably be a majority in the Commons for a CU if it wanted it?

The latter looks more likely.
3/9
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What is most interesting about this piece by Dr Graham Gudgin on @BrexitCentral is how virtually identical it is to every other pro-Brexit piece on the Irish border.

Here's a brief thread noting some of these common features.

1/
brexitcentral.com/dublin-needs-t…
The border as battleground:
"The Irish border thus remains the key battleground in the war of attrition that is the UK-EU Brexit talks."

This has the effect of asserting that if UK moves on red lines here it loses the Brexit war.

Thus raising the stakes & raising tensions.
2/
It blames the change of Taoiseach from Kenny to Varadkar for "hard stance from the Irish govt that has soured UK-Irish relations".
It sees Irish intentions as barely disguised irredentism.
Yet lays all responsibility for progress on Irish govt accepting "practical solutions".
3/
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A #Windrush thread

Theresa May has met Caribbean leaders to talk about the treatment of the #windrushgeneration. Yesterday Downing Street refused such a meeting. But she’s changed her mind.
The Daily Mail thinks that was because it told her to. It may well be right.
The Mail has clout. It can change things for the better when it puts its mind to it. This could be described as good #journalism.
But good journalism (imho) also requires giving the reader the full story, not just the convenient bits.
Today’s paper includes a ragout from its Saturday essay, headlined “What an outrage!” (You may have missed it or not realised what it was about – that could be the heading on almost any Saturday essay).
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To those who believe we should roll over and "accept" the ref/vote... Do you know how democracy works? #ABTV #FBPE #BrexitIsPersonal
It's a PROCESS. Not an end product. You don't do it just the once. Remainers/leavers who insist we should respect the vote are either not aware of the threat democracy is currently under or they don't understand the concept of democracy.
"You don't get to keep voting until you get what you want". Well actually that IS kinda the point. You want your vote to count. And you want your values and policies to be realised.
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Back in Berlin from this year's British-German #Königswinter Conference.

The best summary was incidentally provided by a border guard at Heathrow, who said to me upon seeing my destination:

"Please tell your friends we are still European". /1
A few more impressions: Everything started off with a clear political signal as the German official delegation arrived in the UK en route from Dublin.

Main message: EU-27 are the priority, and Berlin is 100% behind Ireland. /2
Most striking was the mood between Germans and Brits:

Brexit now seems to be more and more an accepted reality, with less grudge.

The deep regret is still there, though with a willingness to look ahead. /3
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I've seen a few tweets recently from #AntiBrexit campaigners feeling a little on the down side... A little fatigued and weary of this big battle we are fighting. #FBPE #ABTV
I have been feeling it too. First of all I want to say very emphatically that it's OK to feel this way. Any feelings about being one of ca 20m people sidelined, abused, denied and rejected are totally valid. #FBPE #ABTV
This is an important point. We're not just "moaning". We have been systematically marginalised and silenced. It's no small thing. #ABTV #FBPE
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1. A thread on #trade and aid.

One of the first tangible benefits of #Brexit I've seen is the emerging reform of @DFID_UK where it is becoming more of an arm of trade policy than a state owned humanitarian NGO. I would like that to go much further and rethink trade.
2. I do not think we should be wasting too much effort on free trade deals largely because they are of questionable value and encourage inefficient value chains. Any work on tariffs should really be reserved for multilateral activity.
3. Instead we need DfID as the spearhead of our trade policy. There is no reason why we cannot pursue humanitarian goals and enhance our trade while we are at it. For a start we can do a lot with medicines and pharmacy products.
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It's excruciatingly embarrassing that our press has pumped out so much bilge about the EU that .@EUlondonrep had to have a page on its website dedicated to "A-Z of Euromyths".

As it's Friday, I've picked out my top-ten stupid stories by the British press on the EU #Thread
In at N°10 in the Brit EU-#FakeNews Hit Parade: The S*n claimed the EU wanted to ban BAGPIPES. I'm sure Her Majesty the Queen would have had something to say about that, of whom more anon...

#BrexitShambles #FBPE #WATON #ABTV #BrexitIdiocy
At N°9 in the Brit EU-#FakeNews Hit Parade: The Daily Telegraph, which is now almost as bad as red-tops for fake news when it comes to the EU, claimed the EU wanted to ban that most famous of British icons, the doubled-decker bus.

#BrexitShambles #FBPE #WATON #ABTV #BrexitIdiocy
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Attended a stimulanting international seminar at @TheCelticManor this week, organised by @LSWalesCDdCymru @cardiffmet & @HodgeBank on regional economic development with thinkers from Harvard, Oxford, the Sorbonne among others. Here are some of the things that I learned...
#Brexit was the revenge of places that do not matter, @john_tomaney argued. 87% of the growth the UK has seen has taken place in London and the S.E - Britain has the largest range of regional disparities in he EU.
Structures to support economic development in England dismantled in 2010 with focus instead on localism and ‘deal-based’ devolution creating a strategic vacuum. Planning out of fashion because of orthodox view that not much works so better to leave to market
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So. #Brexit has slipped out of the headlines - but like two prizefighters, both sides are setting themselves for the fight to come. Some of the battles are EU v EU, some UK v UK.

So what's going on? Here's a quick overview from what I know.
1/thread
First the UK v UK debate.

As we report today, David Davis and Olly Robbins are representing conflicting views over how 'ambitious' the UK should be in the scope of the non-binding annex on trade and the future relationship. /2

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
It seems DD got his way in sending a letter asking Govt departments to tool up for Brexit negotiations, including teams of specialists.

Time will tell if this was a face-saving measure for the Brexit Secretary who has long argued UK must seek guts of a trade deal in A50. /3
Read 18 tweets
1) Corbyn's Authoritarian Labour
Corbyn has quickly fired multiple frontbenchers in the name of collective responsibility, whenever they said "leaving the SM may not be such a great idea"
This despite him being one of the greatest rebels in the history of Labour
So,... Gardiner..
2) just before Gardiner dismissed the GFA as an outdated relic which was being overplayed, Owen Smith was fired for suggesting a #FinalSay on #Brexit would be a good idea.
Owen Smith was open about his comments.
Barry Gardiner was not.
3) firstly, he directed critics to his formal speech, in an attempt to direct people away from his comments following the speech, in which he twice refers to the GFA as an outdated relic ("shibboleth") which was being overplayed.

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5th July 2018 will be the 70th birthday of our beloved #NHS.

This THREAD argues that it is in severe danger under this #Toryshambles government, with #Brexit posing an imminent & particularly invidious threat.

To #SaveOurNHS we must work tirelessly together to #StopBrexit.
1/ Today's devolved #NHS is a complex federation of tens of 000s of orgs employing some 1.7m workers. It's combined annual budget is just shy of £150bn. It handles, overwhelmingly successfully, almost a million patients daily.

With each box maybe 000s of orgs, & England only:
2/ Unresolved public health issues & a fast-expanding multi-morbid elderly population, coupled with chronic underfunding & the blowback from the butchery of social care since 2010 means the #NHS is pressured as never before.
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1/ The government and senior Tories speak of the "Will of the People", not the will of the majority (though even that would be pushing the truth). And who then are political opponents?
2/ The Daily Mail makes it clear who the opponents of the "Will of the People" are. They are the "enemies of the people". And with that the floodgates are opened to a tide of hate directed against opponents of #Brexit, saboteurs, plotters, mutineers etc.
3/ And that hate is presented as legitimate because we Remainers are opposing the "democratic will of the people". So our democratic right to oppose is being portrayed as an anti-democratic attempt to overthrow the will of the people.
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Once Upon a time, long long ago when there was no Internet, we used to phone buildings rather than people, when global trade was confined to a limited number of basic goods and very few services /1
There were Trades Unions. These organisations grew up protecting the rights of workers and furthering socialism and progressive politics in a highly regulated world of trade and capital. /2
Then in the 60s 70s and 80s they increasingly became less effective and struggling with new technology in manufacturing and global capital markets until one day they were brutally put down by the Iron Lady. /3
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1) Leavers & Remainers this is what it comes down to.
There are significant numbers of people who will not be bothered by this and will not let this news shake their conviction in #Brexit

The rest of us have a choice, to let people like this set the agenda for the UK, or not
2) #Brexit *is* a victory for dark money, division, racism & intolerance. It's a victory for the self interested who want to weaken our institutions.
Any politician who knows this & doesn't speak against it is a coward or a cynic.
Anyone who says "but what can we do?" enables it
3) everyone has a choice. Everyone can vote for a pro remain party in the local elections. Everyone can send a message.

Or you can vote Labour or Tory because you're tribal & enable & empower this nasty, dark part of our society
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1. When will those craven MPs, who fail to put natl interest 1st, wake up to the harsh reality; the #Brexit vote & process was subverted & flawed, the Will of the People unclear & misrepresented & that our country can only end up Poorer, Weaker with Fewer Rights & less Control.
2. There's no way any politician can justify proceeding with this #BrexitShambles w/o at least Retesting the current Will of the Ppl.
W/o offering a Binding #FinalSayForAll on the Autumn Deal + a #StopBrexitSaveBritain option, no #Brexit can be deemed legitimate. #FairVote #ABTV
3. Jeremy Corbyn & the Labour leadership are being equally disingenuous & like the Tories putting the ideology of the Far Left before the interests of their own ppl.
They can't be in power forever & future Tory Govts can do what they want outside the EU.
Read 5 tweets
As a Dutchman having lived, worked and raised a family in UK,

the feeling that best describes my #brexit emotions is:

Come on UK, I love you and respect you, but also be aware,

there’s nothing special about you as a country that means you deserve ‘special treatment’ from EU.
In the past the U.K. has had the fortune of having had clever diplomats that have secured some opt outs and special consideration. But make no mistake, when UK eventually joined the EU, we in the rest of Europe were mainly feeling sorry for you and yes we owed you a WWII favour
Since then you have done your usual thing of being the loudest in the room. You’re like the slightly embarrassing uncle at the wedding with a few good jokes. We’ve listened to you and laughed to be polite. We’ve given you the best seat at the table, but it’s never enough is it?
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This is the Customs station at Svinesund, the main border crossing between 🇳🇴 and 🇸🇪 . It can handle up to 2,500 trucks/day - one truck every 4 min. 10,000 trucks go through Dover every day. Do the maths. It’s not possible. 🇳🇴 is in #SingleMarket but not in #CustomsUnion
But this should also give remainers some hope. I don’t think it will be possible for UK to leave both #CustomsUnion union and #SingleMarket - UK is not in #Schengen - Norway is in both Schengen and SM which makes trade easier, even if there’s a hard border between 🇸🇪and 🇳🇴
Then there’s the Irish Border of course. Again not possible to have a soft border between NI and ROI if UK leaves Single market and Customs Union. Even an EEA, Norway, solution would require a hard border here. Brexit is stupid!
Read 11 tweets
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