(Thread) Sometimes the Wheels Turn Fast

Kristen says⤵️

FDR taught us how to make rapid change: Win elections with large majorities.

When FDR took office in 1933, the U.S. was in the throes of the Great Depression.

Income inequality was like today, but with big differences.
1/ There was no social security.
There was no 40 hour workweek.
There was no minimum wage.
Workers who were injured were left to starve.
After a lifetime of subsistence wages, workers (and wounded soldiers who returned from war) died in poverty.

Things were bad.
2/ There were no laws against insider trading so people got rich by manipulating the market. thebalance.com/what-is-inside…

Money laundering wasn’t illegal. . . fincen.gov/history-anti-m…
so people like Trump could get rich without adding anything of value. See:
3/ When FDR came to office in 1933, he was up against an extremely conservative Supreme Court.

How conservative?

In 1895, the Supreme Court said segregation was constitutional.

In 1905, the Supreme Court said a law limiting the workweek to 60 hours was unconstitutional. . .
4/ . . . because limiting the work week (like minimum wage) interfered with the freedom to enter contracts: If an employee was willing to take a job requiring 60+ hours per week, it was none of the government’s business. law.cornell.edu/supremecourt/t…
5/ Within the first few months of his presidency, FDR passed 15 major bills. He acted quickly to save the nation’s failing banks. Within a few years he had the nation on the way to recovery and people working again.

(Sources from the bibliography in my own book ⤵️)
6/ By the end of FDR's presidency, we had social security, the VA bill, an SEC to regulate security, a bunch of new agencies issuing regulations to keep people from manipulating prices and markets.
7/ There was one hitch: Each time FDR passed legislation, the Supreme Court struck it down.

It was quite frustrating.

It wasn’t until after FDR was reelected in 1936 in a landslide that the Supreme Court backed down and stopped overturning his legislation.
8/ It is often said that WWII spending got us out of the Great Depression.

In fact, the New Deal steadily improved the economy through the late 1930s, but FDR never could enact all the spending programs he wanted because so often the conservatives blocked him—until the war.
9/ The spending in WWII completed the recovery, but war spending alone can't create a strong middle class, which we had for the first time after the War.
npr.org/2016/07/05/481…

Reactionaries have been trying ever since to take us back to the 1920s⤵️
10/ FDR did a few other things along the way, like lead the US through WWII, help defeat a wave of fascism, and bring the US into a position of global leadership for the first time in history.

How?

Landslide victories at the polls. He was backed by popular support.
11/ In 1932 he won with 57% of the popular vote.
In 1936 he won with 60%
uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/nation…

Please don't tell me that there was no cheating at the polls back then, so he could win big in the 1930s but Democrats can’t win in 2020.

That was before the Voting Rights Act.
12/ It wasn't even called cheating back then.

African Americans, for the first time, migrated to the Democratic Party in large numbers. The Afro-American newspaper explained why⤵️

But blacks were largely kept from voting. In some communities . . .
13/ In some communities, African Americans were entirely shut out of public life. (Segregation was legal, remember.)

So yeah, that kind of thing was way worse in the 30s.

Now voter rights groups are making serious headway with the 2020 election. . .
14/ A federal court just ordered Georgia to scrap its outdated voting machines by 2020. npr.org/2019/08/15/751…

The GOP base is aging and shrinking. The Democratic base is young and increasing. A landslide is possible.

A large enough victory can turn things around fast.
Should have qualified Tweet #7: SCOTUS struck down lots of his major legislation.

Sometimes I run out of space in tweets and scrunch things and then end up with an inaccuracy. (Appellate lawyers hate inaccuracy)
I'm used to 50 page limits (a "brief")⤵️

280 characters?
I solved that problem by learning to thread.


Someone said: "You can't express complex ideas on Twitter."

Me: "Oh yeah? If I embed threads in other threads, I can write a dissertation on Twitter."
I have a different reading of FDR (which, of course, I didn't put into this thread because of Twitter limits)

FDR, like Lincoln, ended up moving the needle, but both were careful never to move too far ahead of public opinion.
As a result, both FDR and Lincoln often frustrated those farther to the left.

FDR, for example, didn't do much to advance Civil Rights. He didn't want to upset his base, which was still mostly white and southern.
Tim is arguing against someone who says a landslide in 2020 isn't possible ⤵️
I believe Tim is correct. A landslide is possible, particularly if Joe Walsh divides the GOP and undermines Trump.

(I'll expand this idea into a thread later)
Absolutely correct ⤵️
Maybe I should do a thread disabusing the idea that money in politics is new.

What's new is the idea that money shouldn't be in politics. For much of American history "no money = no political power" was considered axiomatic.


Good point. Let's define terms.

How about 55-60% of the popular vote is a landslide.

FDR won in 1933 with 57% of the popular vote.

Reagan's huge 1980 landslide was 59%.

Trump can keep his 35% base and lose in a bloodbath.
All of my threads are also blog posts. You can see this one here: terikanefield-blog.com/fdr-sometimes-…
I'm also posting them to a Facebook author page, for the people who tell me they still prefer Facebook: facebook.com/terikanefielda…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Teri Kanefield

Teri Kanefield Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Teri_Kanefield

Feb 21
Putin knows how to wield disinformation and he knows that the United States is divided: A large portion of the population, including the most influential voices from a major political party, want the United States to emulate his Russia.

1/
Some background:

After Russia enacted anti-homosexual legislation, Pat Buchanan said Putin was “entering a claim that Moscow is the Godly city of today" because he was stamping out western evils like easy divorce and homosexuality.
buchanan.org/blog/whose-sid…

2/
British right-winger Katie Hopkins, in an article in which she was interviewed with her friend Ann Coulter, said “Putin rocks.”

Katie Hopkins then went on to praise Russia as being “untouched by the myth of multiculturalism and deranged diversity."

rt.com/uk/429777-kati…

3/
Read 4 tweets
Feb 18
Trump lost in court THREE MORE TIMES today.

Trump tried to get all three of these cases⤵️ dismissed and lost. I analyzed one of the cases last April, Blassingame, here: (Transcript on my blog.)

He tends not to do well in court, where facts matter.

1/
The defendants made the following arguments (screenshot #1)

Trump also claims, among other things, that he has absolute immunity. (#2)

It turns out that the absolute immunity question isn't as easy as you might think (but Trump still lost).

2/
If you want to get caught up on one of the cases, my analysis from last April is here:terikanefield.com/blassingame-v-…

And here:

You can read the court's decision here: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…

3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 16
Um . . . this isn't the defense Trump thinks it is.

Trump published a letter he received from Mazars dated (it looks like) 2014. He then summarized the letter.

#1: What Mazars said
#2: What Trump says Mazars said

Me = 🤦‍♀️

Does he think nobody can or will actually read it?
Mazars said, "Trump is responsible for preparing the financial statement."

Also Mazars does not "undertake to obtain or provide any assurance that there are no material modifications that should be made . . . "
Trump posts the letter and says Mazars "strongly states that all work was performed in accordance with professional standards and that there were "no material discrepancies in the financial statements."

There is no "I don't know how to read" defense.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 13
For this week’s blog post, I edited and combined a few of my recent threads.

I started with a reading of the newly unredacted sections of the Mueller report, then talked about some of the responses on Twitter . . .

terikanefield.com/is-social-medi…
. . . and concluded with thoughts about how social media brings out authoritarian instincts in large swaths of people who ordinarily would not be given to authoritarian impulses.



It's too easy for truth to lose, and when truth loses, democracy loses.
Right. And not all "manipulators" are bad actors, but all people need to learn to evaluate sources.

Reflectively saying, "Professor X should know" is not how to do it. It takes more work. Falling in line is always easier than doing the work.

Read 4 tweets
Feb 12
I'm tired of the word "accountable." It's a weasel word. Don't say "accountable." Say what you mean.

Does "accountable" mean
🔹Lose elections?
🔹Go to prison?
🔹Lose a lawsuit?
🔹Be hated?

It would be nice if all the good people were rewarded and the bad people punished.
So you want to start indicting people and gather the evidence after they're indicted?

Or not worry about evidence?

There are rules of evidence, which means that the stuff you've read in newspapers and Tweets probably isn't admissible in court . . .
Indicting people and having juries return "not guilty" verdicts because there isn't evidence to prove each element of a crime beyond a reasonable doubt may not accomplish what people think it will accomplish.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 12
One reason I think social media is turning everyone into authoritarians: people don't read or think.

They see a headline and have a strong emotional reaction, which they Tweet and which then gets repeated by others, who are also not thinking . . .

1/
Political psychologists like @karen_stenner describe the authoritarian personality.

Those with an authoritarian disposition are averse to complexity. They reject nuance.

They prefer sameness and uniformity and have “cognitive limitations.”

(link in the next Tweet)

2/
See for example, "Authoritarianism is not a momentary madness,” which originally appeared in this book, an dwhich Stenner has now made available free on her website, here: ……e-4700-aaa9-743a55a9437a.filesusr.com/ugd/02ff25_370…

Timothy Snyder also talks about the danger of what he calls Internet Memes.

3/
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(