The #metascience2019 meeting got me thinking about reproducibility in modeling. From now on, in collaborative modeling projects, I'm going to have two individuals reproduce the same results separately. A thread.
Shirley Wang had trouble reproducing results from big data sets trying to reimplement the code others developed.
In my own work, I've caught little errors last minute, and once had an error in a published paper. I've caught many errors in student code.
It's easy to make a mistake in even relatively simple simulations, much less more complicated ones. In addition, there are often small misunderstandings in the team about how details are being implemented in an algorithm.
To sum, benefits 1) fewer errors, more confidence in results, 2) more clarity within the working group about exactly what is being modeled and so 3) hopefully clearer communication about exactly what the model is.
And so I've spent all of today reimplementing the simulation in a paper my students did this last year.
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Social beliefs, including those about gender, race, sexual orientation, fatness, and disability, impact science. Here’s a 🧵 of examples I find interesting and wanted to share. Feel free to add! I’m going to keep growing it over time.
The Lover's of Modena - two skeletons buried holding hands in ~5th CE - were long assumed to be a male and female. More recently it was determined they were two males. 1 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lovers_of…
They were quite literally *seen* as a heterosexual couple because of our beliefs about gender and sexual orientation. Once the sexes were revealed folks tried to reinterpret the meaning of their hand holding - like, maybe they were soldiers who died together in battle? 2
Out at last!! Do moral judgments impact COVID risk judgments? We find people think infection risk is lower when doing morally good things. online.ucpress.edu/collabra/artic…
Subjects read vignettes where COVID risk was kept fixed (Joe rode on an elevator with 5 strangers), but motivations and intentions varied (Joe wanted to help an aging neighbor/Joe wanted to buy cocaine) 3
"I was so wrong", a 🧵. @KevinZollman argued that less connected groups of scientists might be more successful than more connected ones. They preserve a diversity of practices longer b/c they communicate less (and thus avoid herding onto a bad theory). 1 link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Co-authors and I critiqued this "Zollman effect" by arguing that it only shows up in a small portion of parameter space in his models. We argue that it thus likely doesn't apply in lots of cases, but that disconnection carries other harms. 2
Since then I've become convinced that the general phenomena is pervasive, robust, and very important. Across many models with different assumptions, some way of preserving a diversity of beliefs is crucial to epistemic success. 3
New Paper! We find that subjects think you are less at risk of COVID infection when engaged in morally good actions, and more likely to catch COVID while doing morally bad things. In other words, risk judgments are systematically skewed.
We present subjects with vignettes where the exposure is always identical, but the reasons for the exposure vary. I.e., Joe always gets caught in an elevator with neighbors, but might be headed out to buy drugs, or to help an elderly friend. 2
In two experiments we find risk is judged higher when moral valence of the action is judged lower. We got interested bc of infographics worried about fun outdoor activities like going to the beach or the pool, but not about drs/grocery stores. 3 texmed.org/TexasMedicineD…
Threats to the ACA make me feel almost physically ill. Many non-Americans, or even wealthier citizens, don't know anything about living without health insurance. It is awful, even when you are young, healthy, and otherwise privileged.
1
I grew up middle class, but after college didn't get the kind of job that provides health insurance. Who can afford to pay for it our of pocket? This began a four year period of mostly not having insurance.
2
Once I needed to see a Dr. and called a clinic to ask what the price would be. They flat out refused to answer. "Depends what the doctor orders!" In the end I talked to a Dr. for about 25 minutes, with no other treatment. They charged $300 - a whole week's wages. 3
Kino Zhao is finishing her dissertation this year in LPS. Let's have a little thread about her and her work. Here's Kino:
Her dissertation in the philosophy of social science is totally exciting. She looks carefully at the details of practice in different fields to think about successful methodology.
Her strong grasp on statistical and other formal methods allows her to think about how these methods are used, how they justify certain inferences etc. I would describe much of her work as using this lens to investigate claims in feminist philosophy of science.