Quick Red Sox update. The Indians won so the Sox have no more room for error. They need to go 10-0 and need the Rays and Indians to go 0-9. BUT they play the Rays 4 times so only 24 games need to go the right way. If every game's 50/50 that's a 1 / 16,777,216 chance. #stillhere
Of course that would only leave them in a 3-way tie for the second WC spot. So if there's a 1/3 chance they make it out of that weird round robin and then a 1/2 chance they win the WC game against the A's, that's a 1 / 100,663,296 chance of making the actual playoffs.
Then they'd be one of eight teams in the playoffs so dividing one more time by 8 leaves the Red Sox with a solid 1 / 805,306,368 chance of winning the World Series. Way better than 1/1B odds. If the Sox winning the WS were a disease, TEN people on Earth would have it. So doable.
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