Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Nov 5, 2019 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
#TweetStorm - #AMFI Data - 23% of Individual Assets are from B30 Locations Image
Mutual Fund SIPs accounts stood at 2.84 CRORE! And the total amount collected through SIP during September2019 was ₹8,263 crore Image
The Total #SIP Aum is now 2.88 lakh crores and 2.84 cr #SIP accounts. AMFI data shows that the MF industry had added, on an average, 9.24 lacsSIP accounts each month during the FY 2019-20, with an average SIP size ofabout ₹2,900 per SIP account. Image
Abt 13% of the retail investors chose to invest directly, while 22% of HNI assets
were invested directly.43% of the assets of the mutual fund industry came directly.A large proportion of
direct investments were in non-equity oriented schemes where institutional
investors dominate Image
The proportion of direct investments in equity to the total assets held by
individual investors, was about 9% in September 2019. #direct Image
There are 85,626,244 accounts in the
mutual fund industry as at September
2019, of which 89.9% is accounted for by
retail investors.
There were:
• 76,984,535 Retail investor accounts
• 7,934,070 HNI accounts
• 707,639 Institutional investor accounts. Image
Since December 2014, there is an increase in investor accounts from 4.03 cr to 8.56
cr in September 2019 Image
The average ticket size for equity oriented funds is Rs.122,792. Image
Institutional investors had the highest ticket size, at Rs.8.6cr per account. Retail investors
had an average ticket size of Rs.59,201 per account. Image
Equity assets have a longer average holding period as compared to non-equity assets. 35% of
equity assets have been held for periods greater than 24 months. Image
61% of the assets of Individual
investors are from T30 cities,
brought in by distributors.
Direct investments amount to
19% of individual assets, divided
as 3% from B30 and 16% from
T30. Image

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More from @nooreshtech

Feb 21
Insider buying / Promoter buying –
What to Look For & What to Avoid ?

A thread 🧵

In simple terms – Insider is someone who knows about the company more than we do – Promoters, Directors and any other connected person with UPSI
Why do we look at Insider Buying ?

👉No risk of Hostile Takeover, Activist Investing in India. More examples of promoters having board control with 5% ownership also.

👉Selling is taken more Negatively ( Much tougher to sell in bear market). So one way entry.

👉So why would a Promoter put more Money & increase Stake. Promoter Cash Flow is too less compared to Market Cap !!
Few Good Reasons that make sense for Promoters

👉Undervalued as Stock has fallen a Lot. ( 400-500 companies saw Insider buying March-May 2020)

👉 Future Potential

👉 Giving exit to Family/Funds/Private Equity etc. (Non operative brother selling)
Read 9 tweets
Feb 9
Multi-Year Range Breakouts in Nifty50 Stocks but Nifty50 Making Lower Tops –What to Do ?

Apart from that

1) Global Indices – US and Europe near all time highs but India continues to struggle and making lower tops.
2) Stocks in Same Sector – One at all time high the other one at 30% drawdown.

3) What to trust the Breakout Moves or Breakdown Moves ?

This creates a dilemma for a Trader – To trust the Breakout/Breakdown or Not ?
Now lets c the Charts

The Struggling Nifty50

Positive divergences on new lows.
Still in lower tops.
Last major swing highs at 24200.
Swing lows at 22800.
Every big positive candle does not see any follow up action over next 1-3 sessions. Wait for this to change.Image
Read 14 tweets
Feb 4
Midcap Over-Ownership & Over-Valuation !!

#Retail Inflows continue to be strong but Sebi categorization of Stocks > 33k cr Mkt cap being considered Midcap has led to over-ownership and overvaluation in the Top Midcap & Smallcap ( > 20k cr )

Data from Monarch AIF Note.
1) Price CAGR >> Earnings CAGR

Nifty50 and Nifty500 have moved inline with earnings cagr.

NiftyMidcap 100 has seen max re-rating. A price cagr of 27.3% against 11.7% earnings. Image
2) Concentrated Flows

Mid + Small + Thematic = 55-60% share of MF pure equity net inflows in CY23 and CY24 Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13, 2024
Nifty & RSI Positive Divergence

Nifty – Oversold and Triple Divergence

Like I have said in my earlier posts that RSI is a good indicator for bottoming out analysis on Nifty50.

Now is the time with RSI being oversold it gets into practice for us.

Oversold and a possible Triple Divergence in making.

In majority of the instances a RSI divergence has led to a Strong Bounce.

A cluster of supports closer to 23300-23600.

Recent lows can be broken tomorrow and ideally one would expect a good bounce from the support band.

The trade is to look for longs in the band of 23300-23600 or as close to it or stock specific.

A bottoming out can take a few sessions as per previous instances. A stoploss of 2% from entry closer to 23000.

A bounce to the tune of 30-50% of the downmove is the initial target. That would come to 24500-25000.Image
The past instances

The 2021-2023 – RSI divergence bounces

Nifty from top to bottom corrected 18% but there were multiple bounces and sideways range.

In the same period many stocks/sectors did really well.

For example the June 2022 bounce was led by Banks.Image
The RSI Divergences in 2015-2016

Although the trend was down there were many bounces.

Textiles/Chemicals and many sectors continued to do well.Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 28, 2024
Nifty50 RSI at 80. Sell Everything and Run Away

Did you all get this Forward/Post of how #Nifty of how 80 RSI was followed by a Correction !!

A Thread.
Image
Image
A) March 1992.

Nifty50 index started in 1996 with a 1-2 year backdated data. NSE started operations in 1994.

So I have no clue where the 1992 data came from. Sensex monthly RSI was 92 in 1992 in 1985. So that also does not match
B) Dec 2003.

My data shows 78.5. But fits the Curve and Narrative.

The next 4 months are sideways. May 2004 elections led to the 30% correction.

So now we start with the actual 80 + RSI instances.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 23, 2024
#SEBI - Profit Loss Analysis of #Individuals in #Derivatives

Total Traders = 1.13 cr

93% of #individuals made losses.

Total Loss = 1.8 lakh crores.

Transaction Cost = 50k cr

Only 1% of Traders managed to earn more than 1 lakh!!

A THREAD
1) #Futures Profit But #Options Losses

FY 24 all Individuals

Individuals made losses in Options to the tune of ~ ₹55,000 crore in FY24, they made profits to the tune of about ~ ₹13,400 crore in Futures.
2) But Everyone wants to trade only #Options

FY24

94.2% traded only Options
5.1% traded both Futures as well as Options.
0.7% of the F&O traders traded only Futures.
Read 10 tweets

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