Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
James McAsh Profile picture
@mcash
Feb 13, 2020 • 7 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
Almost all CLPs have nominated in the #LabourLeadership contest.
Some striking patterns have emerged.
I explore them on @LabourList 👇
labourlist.org/2020/02/what-t…
Starmer and Rayner are very clearly in the lead. In fact, more CLPs have nominated both than nominated any other candidate in either race.

labourlist.org/2020/02/what-t… ImageImageImage
Long-Bailey does well amongst CLPs which nominated Corbyn or Burnham in 2025 but not with those which nominated Cooper or Kendall.

Lisa Nandy is the opposite.

Starmer is equally strong across them all.

#LabourLeadership labourlist.org/2020/02/what-t… Image
A clear pattern from 2016 nominations. Corbyn's CLPs split between Starmer and Long-Bailey whereas Owen Smith's go almost entirely to Starmer.

#LabourLeadership labourlist.org/2020/02/what-t… Image
Almost no CLPs have followed Rayner and Long-Bailey's joint ticket. Their mutual endorsements may have helped Rayner a little but they've certainly not helped Long-Bailey.

#LabourLeadership labourlist.org/2020/02/what-t… Image
The strongest correlations between Leader and Deputy candidates are:

- Murray -> Starmer
- Burgon -> Long-Bailey
- Allin-Khan -> Starmer
- Rayner -> Starmer
- Starmer -> Rayner

The official Rayner/Long-Bailey slate not even in top 5

#LabourLeadership labourlist.org/2020/02/what-t… Image
In 2016 tensions broke out when the bulk of MPs nominated Smith whilst almost all CLPs nominated Corbyn.

This time, most MPs have nominated the same candidate as their local party.

#LabourLeadership labourlist.org/2020/02/what-t… Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with James McAsh

James McAsh Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @mcash

James McAsh Profile picture
Jun 11, 2022
🚨URGENT - Immigration raid in Evan Cooks Close, Peckham, Se15. Near Queens Road station 🚨

Currently being blocked by a big crowd.

Get down ASAP. Please RT or pass on the message.
Let him go!
When I say "people" you say "power"

People power!
Read 6 tweets
James McAsh Profile picture
Sep 27, 2020
I am a teacher and this is my publicly stated desire to overthrow capitalism.
Context: govt saying resources from organisations with 'extreme views' should not be used in classrooms.

They define extreme views as including "a publicly stated desire to abolish or overthrow democracy, capitalism, or to end free and fair elections" theguardian.com/education/2020…
But capitalism is not the corollary to democracy. Quite the opposite. Under capitalism only a limited form of democracy is possible. Better than before - but not enough.

True democracy permeates the economy too. So that the world's resources can be used for the benefit of all.
Read 4 tweets
James McAsh Profile picture
Aug 6, 2020
The government wants to scrap section 106. What does this mean and why is it bad? A thread:

Everyone involved in housing or anti-gentrification campaigns will know that the planning system is rigged in favour of big business and against communities. 1/5
If a developer gets planning permission then the value of that land rockets - even before anything is built.

Since 1947, the planning system has tried to balance this. If developers will profit from planning permission they must give something back. 2/5
Want to build a massive factory? Build a school too. Want luxury flats? We need affordable ones too.

The principle has been undermined over decades e.g. if developers can claim it's not profitable.

But Section 106 keeps a semblance of community-benefit in the system. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
James McAsh Profile picture
Jul 21, 2020
TEACHER #PAYRISE - a short thread
1) It is a good thing, overall.
Teachers desperately need a payrise, and in real terms we are still behind where we were a decade ago. It's a step in the right direction and we want more of it!
2) It's a response to strength...
It's no coincidence that our biggest payrise in 15 years comes just after we organised mass resistance to the government's plans for schools.
3) ...but it's also a bribe
In September we will go back to full classrooms with totally inadequate protections in place. The government hopes that this payrise will stop us fighting back.
It won't.
Read 9 tweets
James McAsh Profile picture
Jul 1, 2020
Lots of Labour types now trying to make sense of STV. My best advice would be to look at the local elections of Scotland and the north of Ireland - both use STV. You'll get a feel for how parties operate, how many candidates they pick etc.
With strong discipline, each party/slate's seats is proportional to its share of votes. If your voters are less disciplined you get a bit less.

Sinn Fein has the most disciplined voters (for obvious historical reasons!) Have a look at Black Mountain ward in Belfast City Council. Image
Count 1 is 1st preference votes. 3 got more than the quota of 1757 so were elected automatically.
Count 2 is after the 'surplus' votes from SBP transfer to a range of candidates.
Count 3 and 4: surplus votes from SF's Beattie and Corr - almost all go to other SF candidates. Image
Read 4 tweets
James McAsh Profile picture
Jun 24, 2020
As a councillor, it's easy to think you're special. The Labour Party likes to tell you that you are.
So does Momentum. Thanks to its 'Public Office Holder' section, my vote in the NCG election is worth 20x that of other members.
Seems like the wrong priorities to me.
We'd be better off trying to build Momentum into a force that can both support officeholders and hold them accountable. This means listening to their voice but not privileging it above others. Ultimately, left-wing officeholders are only as strong as the movement around them.
History is, sadly, littered with Leftwingers taking up posts, only to move to the Right.
This is rarely just corruption or opportunism. More often it's due to constant pressure from the Right, which is not balanced by accountability from the movement.
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(