THREAD: There is an emergent left programme on #COVID_19uk - the obvious elements are: 1/ Universal Sick Pay and/or immediate helicopter payments to sustain demand and facilitate taking sick leave...
2/ Workers rights to safe working conditions, including for NHS/Social Care staff; 3/ Massive fiscal stimulus with redistribution at its core...
4/ Massive state-directed emergency investment in testing, intensive care beds and social care; and state-directed/globally co-ordinated vaccine research programme aimed at massive generic roll-out...
5/ Democratic scrutiny over government/medical technocrat decisions on travel restrictions, event bans, testing etc: act early, act from below, act on the basis of evidence not Boris Johnson's "weirdos and misfits"
6/ End the nudge strategy: produce clear public information or we, civil society, via unions, devolved administrations and social movements will produce it from below...
7/ My own addition: when this is over, every Health Secretary and Chancellor since 2010 should face a public inquiry with special powers to prosecute for negligence. We're facing this with a depleted health service because politicians made choices...
8/ Once we mitigate the virus, and the economic meltdown, there will be a legitimate case to reshape our economy so that never again do we face exogenous shocks with depleted and impoverished public services... oh, and...
9/ "Herd immunity" may, or may not, be the best strategy but the social quid pro quo is that, economically, *everybody is in the herd* - no more private hospital wings - and sick pay for all.
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Trump's apparent victory has 5 big implications for the UK: 🧵
1️⃣ It can happen here. He will back Farage, the Musk propaganda machine will crank up against Labour; the Tories will remould themselves into Trump-lite Islamophobes ...
2️⃣ The UK needs to become the European leader of NATO, and all European countries need to hike spending on defence and democratic resilience. America is a permanently unreliable ally in this century
3️⃣ Misogyny will enter mainstream politics - and the whole anti-woke cocktail will be normalised by the BBC and alt media - that's proved successful in America. We need to stand up for women's rights across the board
With Harris strengthening in late polls, there are three overnight scenarios: 1/ Harris wins clearly. Trump refuses to concede but is reliant on vexatious claims and lawsuits. Harris declares victory. World community recognises result quickly (btw look at these kids' faces!)...
2/ Harris wins but result relies on one or two states and MAGA begin a mixture of Jan 6, Charlottesville, Brooks Bros riot targeting these states alone. Recounts and lawsuits fly. At this stage Western govts have to seize first opportunity to recognise result or that fuels tension....
3/ Trump scores high enough in the popular vote and a lot of states are genuinely messy. Serious violence from far right, plus Trump's far left shills and Putin proxies weigh in calling it for Trump... 🤞 it's not this!
"We shall have only one class in this country - the working class..." Who said that? The woman in the picture behind @RachelReevesMP as she prepares the first real growth budget for 14 years. 1/ Here's what that means...🧵
2/ Today's budget is about choices. The first choice Labour will make is to promote growth - because the 2008 crisis, Brexit and post-Covid have all suppressed it, and we cannot deliver to working class people without growth...
3/ In the election, I heard people in leafy, Green supporting areas of Bristol come out of £2m houses and say "I cannot support Labour because you are in favour of growth"... so today's pro-worker Budget is a •choice• the Greens could never deliver...
See what's happening here? Putin's sympathisers - far left and far right - are calling Ukraine's justified demand for permission to defend itself "escalation" ... 1/ but it's not just about StormShadows for Ukraine ...
2/ The Western alliance of democratic countries is on the verge of big choices that, once taken, will lead to Russia's defeat. First off - ignoring Putin's claim that permission to strike equals direct war. If true Iran would be at war with Ukraine
3/ But 🇺🇦 doesn't just need permission to strike deep into Russia - it needs Western arms, money, aid and technical help, including targeting. & if RAF Typhoons can shoot down Iranian missiles over Jordan why can't they shoot down Russian ones over Ukraine?
Today's OBR report into the the long-term impacts of climate and ageing on UK debt is typically sobering: to follow neoliberal strictures, we would need 50 years of unremitting austerity...1/ But here's why we don't need to...🧵
2/ The OBR methodology is to project demands on spending against policies in place in March 2024. This always produces dire graphic projections... but there is good news: higher productivity wipes out the debt burden of demographic ageing and climate
3/ The report gives progressive politics some ammunition: (a) the economic costs of climate are higher if we miss the 2 degree target (b) most of the cost is not transition to Net Zero - it's lost revenue from petrol taxes and the damage from extreme events...
Last night's anti-racist demos were a moral victory over fascism - much bigger in their political impact than their local effect 👇... but it's only the start. 1/ The fact remains: hundreds of thousands of English people hate their neighbours badly enough to attack them in riots...
2/ I was at Walthamstow. It was relaxed, peaceful, confident and well policed. But one train-load of "football lads" arriving would have led to disaster because - make no mistake, the targeted communities are ready for self-defence...
3/ So why did things go so well, here and elsewhere? a) Because the "hit-list" was largely ignored by potential rioters: they're not interested in legal premises - they want to attack Mosques and hotels...plus word went out it was a "state provocation"....