The Italian city that beat the plague: Ferrara. Not a single plague death since 1576. How did they do it, and what lessons can we learn today? (TLDR the thread: early preventive action, vigilance, public funding, effective borders).
Funded in 400 A.D. as a Roman garrison, and annexed by the Papal State in 1598. In 1630 it had a pop. of 32k on 4.13km² (higher density than any mainland Chinese city), it had paved streets 1375, sewers since 1425. The 21st univ., funded in 1391 attracted Paracelsus, Copernicus.
During the Italian plague of 1629-1631 it had zero deaths while northern Italy saw massive outbreaks during the War of the Mantuan Succession (Verona lost 61%!). The father of medical statistics, Friedrich Prinzing (1859-1938) described the toll the plague took on the region:
The story starts in 1528 after plague killed 20.2k in the city. The Duke summoned a Spanish physician Pedro (or Pietro) Castagno, a renowned international expert on plague control. He wrote down the city disease rules in the book "Reggimento contra peste", which became law.
The city had a permanent health authority, "Congregazione della Sanità", consisting of the Papal legate, noblemen, physicians, the apothecary of city hospital and eight gentlemen ”Gentiluomini” born in Ferrara, and an expert in foreign countries, borders, plague and trade.
Borders were controlled by checkpoints, and there were in times of plague were reinforced by teams of public health officials, "Signori Conservatori". Any traveler had to present a travel document, "Fedi", proving his passage through areas officially clear of disease.
When neighboring cities reported plague outbreaks, Ferrara itself would close all gates but two, one land and one river gate, which would be manned by guards and doctors. Vital trade goods were repacked in specially built wooden canals docks and only inspected items were allowed.
Any suspected case and all who had been in contact were quarantined at one of three lazaretto, outside the walls, 5km away, or on an island 15km away. A monastery nearby was designated as an emergency hospital with hundreds of beds and stocks of supplies for major outbreaks.
Doctors and public officials wore gowns of oilcloth that repelled lice and masks with antimicrobial herbs and sponges drenched in vinegar, with glass goggles, long gloves and boots. No public officials in the city caught the disease after their introduction.
While all around hundreds of thousands perished, Ferrara had two mild cases during the three years the outbreak lasted: a postal worker, Bartolomeo Rossi, and an unnamed school boy. Both households were quarantined and both survived, but all schools closed for two months.
Any house with the plague was thoroughly cleaned and doused with a cocktail of 26 different herbs that together were antimicrobial, insecticidal, acaricidal (against ticks and lice, main spreader of the plague). For example, laurel, mint, sage, juniper.
These were all ingredients of the special "Composito", an anti-plague drug stored with ample reserves at all times in city hall, distributed freely to citizens in plague times, part of daily rigorous bodily cleaning routine which involved hand washing, mouth rinsing, etc.
The integrated disease management of effective borders, a vigilant health authority with full access to public funds, medicine, meant that Ferrara could not only protect itself, but also its entire area, while keeping up high volume trade, and this during a massive regional war.
(Footnote: this thread was inspired mainly by this 2019 study:)
C.B. Vicentini, S. Manfredini, D. Mares, et al., Empirical “integrated disease management” in Ferrara during the Italian plague (1629–1631), Parasitology International(2019), doi.org/10.1016/j.pari…
I don't know if this is at all related to the current situation, but the latest available figures are... ...looking good.
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Genius biologist Minakata Kumagusu (1867-1941, right in photo) was a fierce environmental protectionist. In 1910 he was arrested for getting drunk and gatecrashing/heckling a meeting of local politicians who wanted to cut down sacred groves to "improve agricultural efficiency."
He spent his time in jail after sobering up by discovering a new species of slime mold. And the politicians eventually gave up. Thug science.
Minakata spoke fluent Japanese (of course), and also English, French, Italian, German, Latin, and Spanish, and could read and write in ancient Greek, Sanskrit, Hebrew and classical Chinese. Banned from life from the British Museum after brawling.
If we are to have any chance for a future we need to start looking at what we have that is sustainable now. The FAO registers Globally Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (GIAHS), for example the Minabe-Tanabe Ume System, Japan: an integrated orchard and water control system.
The Ume orchards (a sort of hard plum) has been in business for 400 years without the need for technology, pesticides or fertilizers, without erosion. The system integrates the entire area (population 79,000) in a satoyama-satochi system: rice, vegetables, orchards, coppicing.
The key part of the system are the ume orchards, accounting for 50% of all the processed ume fruits sold in the country. Its productivity is astoundingly 200% of any regular ume orchards in Japan, and this is done by relying on honey bees for pollination. So pesticides are out.
Most interesting thing on twitter last month was a tweet from @ploughmansfolly suggesting that 1 in 10 Americans might be better* employed in market gardening, raising a furor similar to what we get when talking parking.
*For reasons of economy, health, soil, animal rights, &c.
The furor was to be expected of course, but it shone a light on the familiar blue-tick disconnect. @ploughmansfolly based his argument on vegetables/chicken. Let's look at chickens. Already 13% of Americans keep chicken. So his argument was low-balling it: just get a bigger coop.
Second argument: grow your own vegetables. This is easy, since the largest crop by area already is lawn turf. 63,000miles² (the State of Georgia is 59,425miles²). Just convert 3-4% of it to greenhouses and cabbage fields. Several farms/gardeners are already doing that.
The Batdam ( 밭담 ) dry stone walls (no mortar) of Jeju Island have been likened to black dragons crawling over the landscape: 21,108km of volcanic field stone dug up by hand and built gradually over the last 1,000 years: without these most agriculture here would be impossible.
The walls protect the little soil there is from wind erosion, they keep livestock out and create a better microclimate at ground level, and provide habitats for wildflowers, insects, animals, and effectively mark family properties.
Due to the rough surface of the volcanic stone and the built in gaps winds can't blow them over. The walls make mechanization difficult preserving and actually contribute to building soil over the centuries which means more and more of the island can be farmed each generation.
"Rice Paddy Dam" is a concept for river basin flood control that originated in northern Japan around the turn of the century. It uses agricultural land as a sort of reservoir to protect downstream urban areas from flood damage and excessive water, the fields used to store water.
When bad rains are anticipated fields can be emptied prematurely and filled up again in a controlled manner that prevents overflow, erosion and scouring using a system of weirs and channels. Depending on the size of the system it can hold vast amounts of water, millions of tons.
As a bonus, after installation it becomes easier to regulate water in the rice paddies with hugely beneficial effects on flora and fauna. The system is voluntary but many cities are now paying farmers to compensate for any damages to crops and for maintaining the system.
Map of Toyama City's (pop 419k) resiliency project by city densification and public transport improvement: development in red zones* get subsidized (think ca. 1/3 of cost of new build). Target: 45% of pop. bef 2045.
*500m from train/tram.
*300m from high freq. bus (>60 per day).
In 2003 Toyama City was facing skyrocketing infrastructure and social services costs: the population was aging, city trams were losing money, health levels were dropping, young ppl. had little hope for the future. Car dependency was increasing at over 70% but fewer could drive...
...so the mayor decided to promote programs to move people into the city, lessen car dependency, improve public transport & promote healthier more active elderly, lower cost of establishing family. 1. The city center zoning laws were relaxed. 2. New home construction subsidies.