Kingsley Moghalu OON Profile picture
Mar 20, 2020 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
#BIGVisionNigeria #MoghaluSeries

VISION 5: INSTITUTIONS AND WHY THEY MATTER

To understand the state of development of any country, just look carefully at its institutions. Do they exist? If so, how strong and robust are they? Institutions are the foundation of modern statehood.
By institutions we mean the structures of social order that organize and govern our individual behavior in a society, the conduct of the political leadership and government, and economic activity: the judiciary, military, security agencies, @cenbank , @inecnigeria etc
Institutions matter for four main reasons. First, because their basic function is to secure the security and stability of the state. They are meant to guarantee internal order and cohesion, and even protection from external threats such as military aggression. In today’s
globalized world, external threats of course include things like cyber security from foreign or internal hackers, global pandemics like the Coronavirus, etc. Second, institutions matter because they guarantee, in the words of the French political philosopher Baron de Montesquieu,
“a government of laws and not of men”. They do so, or OUGHT to, by checking despotism, untrammeled power of the political head of government, and by ensuring the rule of law. This is why there should be a separation of powers between the executive, the legislature, and judiciary.
Third, institutions matter because they are essential for sustainable economic growth, economic development, and economic transformation (note that these three things have different meanings - for another tweet, later in this series). Institutions are vital for economic progress.
Virtually every country operates a capitalist economy in one form or the other. Under the classic theory of capitalism developed by the political economist Adam Smith in his famous book The Weath of Nations, property rights and free markets create the wealth of nations. This
process can’t happen if there are no institutions that protect these rights and regulate the market effectively. Nigeria and many African nations are poor, unable as yet to achieve broad-based, inclusive economic growth from capitalist economics because they are yet to understand
what makes capitalist economies successful.Strong, independent institutions that underpin efficient markets are vital for development. Where such institutions exist in Nigeria, they are today weak and immature, an appendage of the political parties in power at federal/state level
Fourth, institutions matter because they protect democracy. How real is a “democracy” in which the impartiality or effectiveness of the electoral umpire is questionable? All the processes of democracy, from voter registration to voting logistics to the integrity of voting results
require strong, impartial institutions such as electoral commissions and the judiciary. The case of the presidential elections in Kenya in 2017, and Malawi in 2019, where the supreme courts of those countries annulled controversial presidential election results, demonstrated
the independence of those institutions. In Kenya’s case, President augury Kenyatta took the decision as a personal affront to him and his Office.
*President Uhuru Kenyatta

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More from @MoghaluKingsley

Jun 4
In the debates on national wage in Nigeria we miss the fundamental point: there is little or no productivity in the economy. If we had a truly productive economy there is no reason we can’t have the kind of minimum wage of 400 or 500K that Labour wants. But we can’t, because the
level of productivity in the economy cannot support it. Remember, minimum wage is not just about government salaries. There are not more than 2, at most 3 million civil servants in Nigeria. It is even more about what is paid in the private sector, to household staff, etc.
All of this is why, all things considered, including avoiding a minimum wage that multiplies already ravaging inflation (assuming such a wage can even be paid), I recommend a minimum wage of between N75,000 and N100,000.

In fact, speaking about productivity, how productive is
Read 5 tweets
Apr 29
The Naira tanking back down to the 1,400s to $1 demonstrates what some of us have been saying. Seeking a falsely “strong” currency when the fundamentals are out of whack is shadow chasing. The focus should be on the STABILITY of the exchange rate, not a populist exchange rate
and premature declarations of “best performing currency”. Reports that there are now multiple exchange rates to BDCs, Customs, and NAFEX are also worrying. It’s not yet uhuru. Let us stabilize the Naira at whatever is its true market value and then pivot to the real issues:
taking Nigeria to 20-25K megawatts of 24 hour electricity in 2-3 years starting with Lagos, Kano, Onitsha and Nnewi (Aba seems promising with Geometric power) so we can create a truly productive economy. Dealing decisively with oil theft and ramping up oil production to bring in
Read 6 tweets
Jan 26
Our relationships with others sometimes deepen or shrink in strange ways. When I was a Deputy Gov at the CBN, there was this bank MD that wanted my approval for certain things concerning his challenged bank. But he would not follow the guidelines we gave him, instead looking for
shortcuts and expecting me to play along. One day my patience snapped. I terminated our conversation and showed him the door of my office. Long story short, the matter was eventually resolved after the bank met certain regulatory conditions. Today that MD (since retired) is
a good friend. After I completed my tenure in November 2014 and left the apex bank, my deceased father in law was buried in early 2015. The MD sent a personal representative to the funeral with a gift. Note the phrase “after I had completed my tenure and left the apex bank”.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 3
Nigeria’s economic distress is simply part of a 40-year downward trajectory that was broken only briefly by the Obasanjo civilian presidency and to some degree under Yar’Adua/Jonathan (up to mid-2014). Ever since, especially from 2015, we fell under completely incompetent
economic management and have not recovered. The immediate future looks difficult. One wishes one could see what will create fundamental change, but alas! Throwing money that is not created wealth at problems will not solve our problems. It only makes them worse. We need to lay a
real foundation for longer term economic transformation. That 80% of Nigeria’s exports in 2023 was oil tells you we have yet to get serious. “Palliatives” (just google the dictionary definition of the word) will never reverse poverty. Wealth is positively created. You cannot
Read 8 tweets
Dec 23, 2023
I have seen in the mainstream media and floating around on social media including Whatsapp, a report purported to be that of the CBN Special Investigator appointed by President Tinubu. I have some comments on this development.

1. The “report” has no signature appended, so we
can’t assume it is the real and official report.

2. Assuming it is in fact the real report, it’s wrong for such a sensitive report to have “leaked” to the public before the President and his government have reviewed and spoken to it. This is because the “report” talks of
“chargeable offenses” and mentions specific individuals it recommends to be prosecuted in addition to Emefiele. This is a media trial and prejudices the rights of these individuals named or referred to. This is NOT how a report into the Central Bank of Nigeria should be handled.
Read 14 tweets
Oct 17, 2023
I have been a public commentator, nationally in Nigeria and internationally in the global media, for 35 years. As a lawyer-journalist, a UN diplomat, a consultant, a central banker, a university professor, or a one-time presidential candidate. It’s interesting, then, to see some
who were mainly dormant in 2019 as we mounted the first real challenge to the political status quo in Nigeria, assume today the haughty position of “final” arbiters of who is virtuous in Nigeria & who is not, simply because they finally woke up in 2023. Let no one be confused.
Today, I am nonpartisan. By choice. I love my country no less, and reserve the right to criticize, commend or advice on the management of the Nigerian state. To label people negatively as “enemies of Nigeria” simply because they do not
Read 14 tweets

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