- Had we done nothing, COVID-19 would have killed 40M & infected 7B
- COVID-19 much more infectious & deadly than scientists had thought
- Columbia Uni. study on Feb 26 estimated 12M dead & 3.5B infected
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial…
That's just inaccurate
dailywire.com/news/epidemiol…
Scientists were *too* cautious, eg Fauci saying "It’s a very, very low risk.. isn’t something the public needs to worry about or be frightened about"
thehill.com/homenews/sunda…
They are blunt:
"Delays in implementing strategies to suppress transmission will lead to worse outcomes & fewer lives saved"
In low income places, it would outstrip supply by *25x*
That's a lot of *mostly preventable* deaths that would pile up
That's the opposite of what pandemic skeptics were saying
I encourage all to read at least its Summary
imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial…
Author of @newscientist article @davidneiladam says the article in @realDailyWire & subsequent tweets "DO NOT accurately represent my article or indeed Prof Ferguson’s position... revised estimates are bc UK changed its approach"
h/t @KimLaCapria
truthorfiction.com/imperial-colle…
My latest for @Quillette
quillette.com/2020/03/26/soc…
nationalreview.com/corner/coronav…
Excellent fisking of the data by @jemimajoanna @FT
ftalphaville.ft.com/2020/03/26/158…