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Our mistake is basing policy on what a gov’t (any gov’t) tells us is their macro experience with CV-19.

Should base policy on micro truth: virus is 2-3x more contagious, 10-20x more deadly than flu virus. All policy can be derived from that! wsj.com/articles/china…
A market is not a clockwork machine, best modeled from above.

No, a market is a bonfire, best simulated from below.

So is a pandemic.

From Dec. ‘18. Will update for today.

epsilontheory.com/were-doing-it-…
For more on the power of micro-level simulation and the weakness of macro-level modeling ...

epsilontheory.com/a-song-of-ice-…
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
Pffft. Defunding the World Health Organization is like defunding Leni Riefenstahl.
The World Health Organization is designed to do two things:

1) grant review and disbursement for clinical programs and med research.

2) narrative promotion for CCP.

#1 is wonderful but can be done directly or through other organizations. #2 is a crime against humanity.
Once more with feeling. From Feb. 16.
epsilontheory.com/the-industrial…
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
We're not only getting PPE to our Frontline Heroes in hospitals and medical clinics, but to police, fire and EMT departments, as well.

Thank you, Nassau County PD, for your great work as first responders!
If you're a healthcare worker or a first responder in need of N95-equivalent masks - or if you know someone who is! - let us know and we will get them some help.

#OurFinestHour

epsilontheory.com/ppe-requests/
Another 2,500 KN95 masks shipped out today in packages of 50 and 100, directly to healthcare workers and first responders in urgent need.

Everyday we get more armor to our Frontline Heroes, all thanks to your generous support! #OurFinestHour

frontlineheroesUSA.org
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
This is not a chronicle of policy errors during the age of COVID-19.

This is a chronicle of policy betrayals. By ALL of them. By ALL of our ruling institutions.

First, the people die; then, the stories.

epsilontheory.com/first-the-peop…
The World Health Organization betrayed us.
The FDA betrayed us.
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