I know this is the government narrative
But there is no way of validating these hypotheticals
Maybe India might have done alright even without containment measures thanks to BCG vaccination / hot weather
You will never know the answer
But there is no way of validating these hypotheticals
Maybe India might have done alright even without containment measures thanks to BCG vaccination / hot weather
You will never know the answer
One big "IF" in these extrapolations is -
"Without containment measures / lockdown"
But just because government does not impose lockdown does not mean there won't be privately driven containment measures
If people see cases mounting, they will exercise caution willingly
"Without containment measures / lockdown"
But just because government does not impose lockdown does not mean there won't be privately driven containment measures
If people see cases mounting, they will exercise caution willingly
This includes - avoiding large gatherings, functions, celebrations
Working from home whenever possible
Maintaining distance from colleagues in office. Using private transport. Using sanitizers every few hours
Working from home whenever possible
Maintaining distance from colleagues in office. Using private transport. Using sanitizers every few hours
All of this would've happened on a large scale even with "zero" formal government-imposed containment measures
So the hypothetical that we see of 8 lac cases by 15 April assumes people would continue to behave as they did a month back when the threat was v v minimal in India
So the hypothetical that we see of 8 lac cases by 15 April assumes people would continue to behave as they did a month back when the threat was v v minimal in India
