I’m sure he got practice doing that at the NYT, but people really need to stop promoting him just bc they like his conclusions.
We now have a pretty good idea that the mortality rate of COVID-19 is ~ 1%. Mortality rate of the flu is around .1%. Assume they are equally infectious.
If 30M Americans get the flu = 30,000 deaths.
If 30M Americans get COVID-19= 300,000 deaths.