It increasingly looks like New York, both the state and the city, have not merely flattened but probably bent the COVID-19 curve downward. fivethirtyeight.com/features/new-y…
Pretty robust decline in positive test rates across the different regions of the state, though less so upstate than downstate. These charts do some smoothing, but the numbers over the past 2 days have had particularly low (relatively speaking) rates of positive tests. 
But also: though the decline has been *steady*, it has also been pretty *slow*. It suggests there is not necessarily a ton of margin for error, and NYC/NYS will have to be rather careful when they eventually decide to start unwinding social distancing measures.
To put it another way, you should *not* necessarily expect a bell-shaped curve where the descent is as rapid as the ascent. Instead, the descent could take a while— even if social distancing measures are maintained. That's what we're seeing in Italy and now NYC.
