My Authors
Read all threads
A worthwhile question is whether NYC had higher fatality rates than it otherwise would because of overwhelmed hospitals. One indication could be if the ratio of deaths to hospitalizations is high, which might indicate i) people avoiding hospitals or ii) not getting adequate care.
Nationally this ratio is 0.19 in the average state to have recently updated its cumulative hospitalization data, with a standard deviation of +/- 0.06. New York state is at 0.25 which is one SD above the mean, so it's definitely on the high side but not some crazy outlier.
In New York City, the ratio is 0.26 using confirmed deaths, although it jumps up to 0.39 if you use the city's count of *probable* deaths. It's not obvious to me which count to prefer here (how are other states/cities handling cases that NYC would consider probable deaths?).
No super pithy, definitive conclusion. Just think this sort of data may be worth looking at in a less quick-and-dirty fashion than I did here.
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Nate Silver

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!