FM Raab says that SAGE says that relaxing the lockdown would be bad for both public health and the economy, which is very plausible, but it would be helpful to know which economists are on Sage... some public health experts think COBR need separate group of economists to advise
Raab sets some interesting tests on sustained falls in cases, and also capacity for NHS including PPE, before social distancing measures lifted. Strategy seems clear - prepare NHS capacity for management of ongoing chronic health situation, as economy eventually reopened
CSO says that the R=value is between 0.5 and 1... if its close to 1, a small change in social distancing could shift it above 1 and quickly see hospitals overwhelmed and a “second chance” for virus...
Can understand Sage saying you cant trade off the economy against health crisis, today.
But don’t understand how Sage has capacity to advise econ. As sage had been split on science...so economists don’t agree on impact👇🏾but ultimately surely don’t want Econ advice from scientist
But don’t understand how Sage has capacity to advise econ. As sage had been split on science...so economists don’t agree on impact👇🏾but ultimately surely don’t want Econ advice from scientist
