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Earth by 2035:

No summer Arctic sea ice
Unprecedented crop failures
Bee and butterfly extinctions
Last phase of coral reefs' collapse
Forests at final fragmentation stage
Megacities becoming uninhabitable
100s of millions of climate refugees

We can cultivate a culture of care.
'I want to cultivate a counter culture where we as individuals and as collective have value...A culture of care goes beyond human bodies, it is in how we care for every being and resource on earth. It creates community.' @MeeraGhani

medium.com/@meelaya/we-ne…
'the Arctic could be ice-free in the decade 2030–2040, with the year 2034 as the most likely'

However, satellite observations suggest that Arctic sea ice depletion is accelerating, while climate model projections show a linear rate of decline.

2024-2033?
ncei.noaa.gov/news/arctic-ic…
Did you know?

Risks of simultaneous crop failure increase disproportionately between 1.5 and 2°C of global temperature rise, so surpassing the 1.5°C threshold will represent a threat to global food security.

We hit
~1.5°C by 2022-2027
~2°C by 2029-2041
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
'of the 1,437 native bee species for which there was sufficient data to evaluate, about 749 of them were declining. Some 347 of the species, which play a vital role in plant pollination, are imperiled and at risk of extinction'

(just North America, Hawaii)reuters.com/article/us-usa…
'' entire ecosystems like coral reefs and forests will crumble, and some will collapse abruptly, starting as soon as this decade, a new study in the journal Nature warns.'

insideclimatenews.org/news/07042020/…
'of the 22% of cities that are facing unknown, currently non-existent climate conditions, 64% are in the tropics
new conditions could potentially lead to mass migrations as cities become unlivable'

Study assumes 2C in 2050, by ignoring Arctic sea ice loss.edition.cnn.com/2019/07/11/eur…
There are currently 26 million climate refugees.
Extreme weather, sea level rise, desertification, and other climate related factors will displace 100s of millions in the coming decades.

'By 2060, about 1.4 billion people could be climate change refugees'news.cornell.edu/stories/2017/0…
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More from @ClimateBen see all

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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Marine kelp forests, among the most important ecosystems on the planet, are in severe danger. The accelerating pace of their climate-driven destruction is having grave, multi-faceted consequences.

THREAD:
Extreme marine heat waves are destroying major kelp ecosystems, and there is no sign they will recover as global warming moves towards 1.5°C, and the on past 2°C.

science.sciencemag.org/content/367/64…
"The impact of losing the kelp forests would be the same as cutting down all the trees on the land. All the animals would be affected. It is the same in the oceans. If we lose the physical structure of the habitat, we lose the ecosystems."

sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/…
Read 4 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Remember:

1. summer Arctic sea ice gone
2. demise of tropical ecosystems
3. high risk of global food calamity
4. most people facing water stress

All by around 2029.

RT if you'd like journalists to focus on this reality.

@LucyHockingsBBC @MishalHusain @reetacbbc @rosschawkins
Hi
@LucyHockingsBBC @MishalHusain @reetacbbc @rosschawkins

1. Summer Arctic sea ice disappearance within 15 years.

2034 most likely? Satellite observations suggest models underestimate, so 2020-2033 to be expected. A number of recent studies support this.ncei.noaa.gov/news/arctic-ic…
2.
carbonbrief.org/deep-emissions…
Read 3 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Trees:

1. Tropical forests are set to collapse between 2020 and 2080

2. It looks likely they will collapse between 2020 and 2045

3. All trees alive today are set to die as early as 2060

4. 50% of Amazon Rainforest tree species face extinction

None of this is front page news.
1. 'uncontrolled climate change would see tropical ocean ecosystems exposed to potentially catastrophic temperature rise by 2030' (2050 for tropical forests)

Limiting global warming to below 2C *could* delay the date of exposure by up to 6 decades.carbonbrief.org/deep-emissions…
2.
From 2016:

'Earth is on track to sail past the 2C threshold for dangerous global warming by 2050.'

Some new climate models show the 2030s. Without large emissions cuts (or even with?), we hit 2C as early as 2029-2036.

Forests will struggle to cope.
phys.org/news/2016-09-g…
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