Thabang Motsohi Profile picture
Apr 25, 2020 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
@tito_mboweni @MogajaneD @CyrilRamaphosa It had become patently clear to you, way before the advent of Covid-19, that SAA would not survive. The BRP process could not provide relief. In fact all they have done is enjoy the income yet they knew nothing about
airline operations and provided no value. The easiest option for them was the standard liquidation that they always propose. The pandemic has decimated both airlines and the markets they served. It will become monumentally difficult to incentivise people to
travel for leisure. Fear of infection and death away from home have been edged in the minds of people like never before. When markets are dead, the airlines that served them cannot survive. SAA is de facto dead. But, it is the indisputable responsibility
of government to make sure that its employees are not victims as well. They must include a soft landing fund for reasonable retrenchment packages for all employees. The state can't claim innocence in the demise of SAA anyway. The next challenge is;
Can a new SAA be recreated and for what markets? The answer is yes. And the markets have to be defined accurately. They will not sustain a profitable operation overnight. But they will grow. However, SAA cannot operate internationally on it's own.
It will require a partnership with the likes of Ethopian airlines to share profits and losses. This where governments come in. SA has a very big role to play in Africa in this area. It's good the challenge came with President Ramaphosa at the helm here and
at the OAU. An African intercontinental airline, with SAA and Ethiopian Airlines as anchored, has been an African ambition since the early 70s. Thank Covid-19 for providing the opportunity. Recreating a new SAA must be handled very professionally.
We must also accept that capitalism as we know it is now dead. Most governments are now running welfare states. This will not be reversed soon. The public will revolt. SAA has been and can, in a new format, play an important t role in African trade.

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More from @MotsohiThabang

Jul 23
Molaudzi here painfully laments the collapse of VBS. He calls it a local bank that supported him in 1994, when no bank could fund his business. It started with one employee and now has 30.
He lost R2.5m. Many lost far more. Sadly others died of depression. Image
This is a story of supreme evil.
VBS was always going to be vulnerable to fraud. It operated under less strict regulatory control. It relied on integrity of auditors and board to manage risk.
But the PIC audit representative colluded with fraudsters.
Municipalities were just feeders to the evil pondzi scheme they concocted to loot VBS.
And they knew very well that the savers trusted them to protect their hard earned savings.

This is the crucial axis of the evil.
Think about it.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 18
When you carefully and critically listen to all the GNU ministers post Lekgotla session, there's relief that there's alignment on policy prescripts and plans to respond to the basic and pragmatic needs of SAns.
Truth is that these have always been in place.
What clearly has been missing for the past 2 decades is absence of focused execution by a state system at all levels that is Fit for Purpose.
This weakness is because of a mindset of the ANC Alliance that managed SA as a "Party-State" in its interests.
This Leninist approach is derived from its archaic NDR ideology that envisaged the ANC as a leader of society in hegemonic control of all decision making levers in society.
It was tolerated for over 2 decades because of allegiance from identity politics.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 12
Unless the political parties carefully reflect on the electoral outcomes and fully understand the message from electorate, the responses may be grossley misaligned and incite even further punishment in 2026 and 2029.
2/
The message and mandate of the voters have little to do with foreign policy.
It reflects anger at gross mismanagement of the economy and the deliberate collapse of the state delivery system at all state levels. Municipalities in particular.
3/
This anger of the voters was foreseen but its magnitude on the ANC, as party in government, was brutal.
I predicted this scenario in the book "Fit for Purpose, 2018".
The voters want a capable state at all levels.
They want the best skills to be employed
4/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 6
South Africa, what form of govmnt is ideal for the moment?

1. In my view it must be a cooperative one in which the ANC forms the executive, subject to condition that none of the people cited in the Zondo Report are included.
2./
2. The other parties must, above an agreed threshold, take up all parliamentary positions. They should negotiate and agree the allocations.
3. These parties Must agree to support budget and other agreed key legislation and defend 'No Confidence Motions'
4. Discretion of the President on appointments of key positions must be reviewed.
This arrangement is close to what is called " supply and confidence" option.
It must be understood that investment and growth depend on predictable stability.
God help us.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 27, 2023
@MYANC
For almost a decade:
1. Transnet has throttled mineral and perishable fruit exports
2. Eskom has throttled industries, factories and smaller businesses
3. ANC-led munics have collapsed. They owe Eskom over R50 billion
4. Sewerage and water treatment
plants have collapsed resulting in poor health.
5. The public health system has collapsed. The best evidence is the collapse of the once admired JG Hospital in Jnb. Look at its pic 30 yrs ago and you want to cry.
5. Basic education has collapsed.
6. ANC-Led govmnt have failed to produce and execute responsive policy to trigger inclusive growth and jobs. Creating jobs is the best strategy to fight poverty.
7. Unemployment levels have reached historical highs globally.

ALL OF THIS UNDER ANC GOVMNT. 🙆‍♂️
Read 5 tweets
Oct 22, 2022
Human beings have always existed in a dynamic and changing environment. Uncertainty is part of our lives.
Organisations that we create also experience this uncertainty.
Many factors within and external to these spaces influence change and its direction.
By our own actions or inaction, we influence direction and pace of change.
Naturally we embrace change that will improve our living conditions and prospects and reject its obverse.
What determines our success is the ability understand key factors...
...and drivers of change, and adapt accordingly to survive. An even more critical ability is to foresee future trends in these change factors and drivers and prepare for the the change they will trigger.
When you have learned sufficiently...
Read 11 tweets

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