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Apr 25, 2020 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
@tito_mboweni @MogajaneD @CyrilRamaphosa It had become patently clear to you, way before the advent of Covid-19, that SAA would not survive. The BRP process could not provide relief. In fact all they have done is enjoy the income yet they knew nothing about
airline operations and provided no value. The easiest option for them was the standard liquidation that they always propose. The pandemic has decimated both airlines and the markets they served. It will become monumentally difficult to incentivise people to
travel for leisure. Fear of infection and death away from home have been edged in the minds of people like never before. When markets are dead, the airlines that served them cannot survive. SAA is de facto dead. But, it is the indisputable responsibility
of government to make sure that its employees are not victims as well. They must include a soft landing fund for reasonable retrenchment packages for all employees. The state can't claim innocence in the demise of SAA anyway. The next challenge is;
Can a new SAA be recreated and for what markets? The answer is yes. And the markets have to be defined accurately. They will not sustain a profitable operation overnight. But they will grow. However, SAA cannot operate internationally on it's own.
It will require a partnership with the likes of Ethopian airlines to share profits and losses. This where governments come in. SA has a very big role to play in Africa in this area. It's good the challenge came with President Ramaphosa at the helm here and
at the OAU. An African intercontinental airline, with SAA and Ethiopian Airlines as anchored, has been an African ambition since the early 70s. Thank Covid-19 for providing the opportunity. Recreating a new SAA must be handled very professionally.
We must also accept that capitalism as we know it is now dead. Most governments are now running welfare states. This will not be reversed soon. The public will revolt. SAA has been and can, in a new format, play an important t role in African trade.

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More from @MotsohiThabang

Dec 29, 2024
Post-apartheid political mandate granted to the ANC was about assuring equitable justice in all areas and creating conditions for a better life for all.
Many policies and programmes that must, or could have been done, were not done or were poorly attempted.
The following five rank amongst the most important that should have been achieved in three decades.
They were criminally neglected and yet a good basis was inherited in 1994. They needed a capable state and focus on the national interests at all costs.
1. An aggressive expansion of quality infrastructure for Basic Education; Secondary Schools; Technology Colleges and some universities; Primary Health; Hospital Network.
2. Deployment of top competences at all municipal functionary levels from Mayor.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 18, 2024
The ANC policy and application of cadre deployment that has not been foregrounded on optimal competences and meritocracy for over two decades, in contradiction to how it is applied by the Chinese Communist Party, is counter-revolutionary and antiproductive.
The systemic collapse of municipalities and all our logistics state agencies and infrastructure, that are the oxygen of economic development, can scientifically be ascribed to the blind application of this policy by the ANC in government.
President Ramaphosa chaired the ANC Deployment Committee while he was deputy President.
All the disastrous deployments to critical positions in the SOEs carried his signature.
He has now called for a National Dialogue next year to review the past 15 years🙇‍♂️
Read 6 tweets
Dec 13, 2024
When you evaluate the prospects of any organisation in a dynamic context in which it exists, pay particular attention to the following key factors:
1. Have a deep and comprehensive understanding of its Purpose and the structure in place to execute it.
And this is of critical importance:
2. Have a deep understanding of its target market, its perceptions and how it is segmented
This will be vital for messaging.
Some observations wrt political organisations:
a) What is the socio-economic state of the nation
b) Where does the target market sit on the political spectrum?
c) What are the critical issues that matter for each segment?
d) Which segment has consistently controlled the biggest leverage on voting day?
e) How do you then shape your message accordingly?
Read 7 tweets
Dec 12, 2024
The shock impact of the GNU coalition era on society is profoundly massive and transformative and needs deep reflection.
Consider the following:
1. The ANC never thought the liberation loyalty and bond could be eroded and broken.....
2. The ANC hegemony and patronage have been broken and will be ended.
3. Opportunities will now become increasingly fairly distributed and open to all in many areas like; Expanded Public Work Programmes, BBBEE and the like.
@DeanMacpherson must be watchful..
4. Dodgy and massive contracts have been stopped since June. eg DoBE, SABC, Health etc. More are under review.
5. The level and demand for accountability and transparency have certainly increased. ANC arrogance has been wiped out...
Read 8 tweets
Nov 13, 2024
Most, if not all, post liberation leaders have a good understanding of poverty and inequality because they emerged from that context.
That was motivation to lead the fight for freedom, equality and human rights.
They also had little experience earning income
Many of them were reasonably educated but they were leading communities and societies made up of majority uneducated or under-educated people.
On occupying the reins of power, they were exposed to its extensive reach across the state system and communities.
But to understand the value of power and how to use it, like wealth, requires time, training and coaching.
It should not surprise then that so many of these leaders succumbed to the perversion of power and abused it for selfish interests and those of cronies.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 24, 2024
The President and SG of ANC continue to make a false assertion that the GNU was a 'tactical' response to a serious and 'unexpected' electoral outcome.
Untrue.
The ANC has been on an irreversible structural decline as argued in Ch 9 "Fit for Purpose, 2018".
This is decline is at centre of the scenarion developed in 2016 and published above
The coalition era is irreversible. It's a natural reflection of a growing centrist social outlook in a diverse and dynamic context.
We need to develop a framework to manage it
The GNU is a very delicate balance. It must be managed optimally.
It must have a credible programme of action for the next 5 years and expertly execute it.
If it succeeds, the members of the GNU will gain.
But ANC will not exceed 45%.
Read 5 tweets

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