@tito_mboweni@MogajaneD@CyrilRamaphosa It had become patently clear to you, way before the advent of Covid-19, that SAA would not survive. The BRP process could not provide relief. In fact all they have done is enjoy the income yet they knew nothing about
airline operations and provided no value. The easiest option for them was the standard liquidation that they always propose. The pandemic has decimated both airlines and the markets they served. It will become monumentally difficult to incentivise people to
travel for leisure. Fear of infection and death away from home have been edged in the minds of people like never before. When markets are dead, the airlines that served them cannot survive. SAA is de facto dead. But, it is the indisputable responsibility
of government to make sure that its employees are not victims as well. They must include a soft landing fund for reasonable retrenchment packages for all employees. The state can't claim innocence in the demise of SAA anyway. The next challenge is;
Can a new SAA be recreated and for what markets? The answer is yes. And the markets have to be defined accurately. They will not sustain a profitable operation overnight. But they will grow. However, SAA cannot operate internationally on it's own.
It will require a partnership with the likes of Ethopian airlines to share profits and losses. This where governments come in. SA has a very big role to play in Africa in this area. It's good the challenge came with President Ramaphosa at the helm here and
at the OAU. An African intercontinental airline, with SAA and Ethiopian Airlines as anchored, has been an African ambition since the early 70s. Thank Covid-19 for providing the opportunity. Recreating a new SAA must be handled very professionally.
We must also accept that capitalism as we know it is now dead. Most governments are now running welfare states. This will not be reversed soon. The public will revolt. SAA has been and can, in a new format, play an important t role in African trade.
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In 2016, my reading of the socio-economic dynamics and trends in South Africa up to then, and an understanding of the ANC rigidity to archaic dogma and a corrosive culture of patronage, inspired my boldness to develop South Africa Scenario 2030.
In that scenario, I could foresee a progressive erosion of political support for the ANC driven by its failure to pursue and focus on the national interest leading to finally losing its majority power in 2024 and being forced into a coalition with the DA.
It was also very clear to me then than the internecine battles within the party, and an absence of strong leadership following the exit of Thabo Mbeki, was going to be a major impediment to its ability to adapt itself to post democratic needs of society.
Our fiscal crisis exists because we created it.
Our democratic transition compelled us to run an efficient state beaurocracy to achieve equity in provision of public services.
1st priority was to have top class revenue collection and Treasury.
Discounting some hiccups in these areas, we have done well.
Now SARS urgently needs more resources. We must grant them. Whatever it takes.
We now also need to adopt a technocratic approach to eliminate inefficiencies and incompetence in our state system.
The GNU provides the operational mindset to achieve that.
We must treat incompetence, inefficiencies and corruption as crises.
This will develop sure pathway to balancing our national budget.
Do not focus on the inconvenience created by Trump.
The appointment of old and retired cadres as convenors in GP and KZN sends a clear message that the ANC has run out of steam and ideas.
This decline was easily predictable from 2007.
It's painful to see a once glorious movement degenerate so miserably.
The indisputable fact is that organizational renewal requires clear strategy and rigorous and dispassionate execution.
There is currently no leader with indisputable courage to do that!!
So, the ignominious end is unavoidable.
What you see now is just hubris.
I know what I'm talking about fro dealing with the subject for over thirty years.
I have also written books about it.
It's an uncomfortable subject for the ANC leadership.
But ignoring advice will not slow down the degeneration.
I find it difficult to find fault with this clearly honest SONA speech evaluation.
The focus is on primary challenges the most impor4ant of which is dysfunctional municipalities.
This is where job creating factories are created. outa.co.za/blog/newsroom-…
Government states that the District Model shall fix the wrongs in munics.
Strategically this has to be premised on a clear articulation of primary problems and structural weaknesses.
And an explanation of why some munics work while most don't.
This is missing
Further, a clear articulation of constraints to effective execution of this new approach is missing.
Without these grounding factors, the intention in SONA on munics is a blissful wish list.
I'm open to views in the contrary.
@OUTASA
@PresidencyZA
If you seriously reflect on how the ANC Tripartite Alliance govmnt has destroyed the capability of the state system, and municipalities under its control, through leadership incompetence, this country should be the leader in rolling anti-government protests.
Regardless of this serious indictment, party leaders and their zealots, continue to claim that they are the 'Leader' of society.
This term applies to pre-democratic liberation struggle phase to mobilize people around one mission to defeat apartheid.
It's a meaningless concept to the last three generations.
The challenges now in our diverse country are about economic growth and social upliftment.
The ANC have demonstrated with abundant evidence in the past 2 decades that they cannot be trusted to deliver
The universal truth and reality is that aggregate national growth is driven by metropolitan cities Not national governments.
In South Africa therefore, the GNU is less important.
A party that controls a well run Metro shall win national support.
The ANC did not lose majority power because of bad national policies. Yes, their misaligned policies and "Party-State" mindset derailed focus from the national interests.
The electorate punished them for dysfunctional municipalities under their control.
Lessons: 1. Win the Metros outright or agree a solid coalition to grow national support. 2. Ensure that worldclass leadership and competencies are employed 3. Completely eliminate political interference through well drafted municipal legislation