This Walter Russell Mead offering is the dumbest thing I’ve read in a long time. wsj.com/articles/the-c…
“our technologically sophisticated global way of life is a lot more vulnerable to disruption than the simpler world of our ancestors.” We are literally having groceries delivered to our doors. Also the Spanish flu had its own..disruption.
Then it’s aging-white-man-bong-rip time:
I’m certain ISIS would like to have this kind of capability. In the meantime, literally the entire world is struggling to pin down “how does COVID-19 attack and how can we defend against it?” Again, here are The Terrorists:
“In a post-Covid future, some countries and nonstate actors will be tempted to seek the capacity to create plagues, and every country will need to defend against them.” It is possible for a powerful state to create and loose a plague. What you want to ask yourself is:
“What political goal could they achieve by doing so?” I’ll wait.
Then we wrap up with a call for “hardening cities, health systems, businesses and supply chains” and this Thatcher quote:
In short, everybody needs a tough editor. Even Esteemed Wise Men like Mead.
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Today marks the release of my paper, “Uncle Sucker: Why U.S. Efforts at Defense Burdensharing Fail.” The Ukraine war has made policymakers ask why we carry such a large share of the burden. Every US president going back to Eisenhower had similar questions cato.org/policy-analysi…
The title comes from Eisenhower’s lament to Gen Goodpaster in *1959* that “the Europeans are close to ‘making a sucker out of Uncle Sam’; so long as they could prove a need for emergency help [on defense], that was one thing. But that time has passed.”
How badly do US allies cheap ride? Measuring how many allies spend 2% of GDP on defense, the common NATO measure, is unduly rosy. That is because many countries that do their part are relatively small and weak, and many large, wealthy countries are the worst shirkers.
Just a periodic reminder: Putting Ukraine into NATO would make Russia's attack on Ukraine an attack on NATO. NATO chose not to provide a MAP to Ukraine and not to enter the war. Presumably because its members were not unanimously in favor of defending Ukraine from Russia.
It is interesting to see HR McMaster resign from the Atlantic Council because a wealthy American he disagrees with is giving money to the think tank. A thread 1/ freebeacon.com/national-secur…
First, it is a cowardly move. McMaster clearly believes that opposing views are somehow beyond the pale, and therefore to be stifled, not argued with. It is a pinched, cliquish view of the marketplace of ideas. 2/
Secondly, and how to put this nicely: Charles Koch is out of bounds, but... all of the genuinely shady money flowing into the Council isn't? Burisma? UAE? Michele Dunne "departing" after Bahaa Hariri complained she called the Egypt coup a coup? 3/ seattletimes.com/nation-world/f…
Periodic reminder that Don Rumsfeld thought about striking Iraq on 9/11 after the Pentagon had been hit, Paul Wolfowitz advocated for it 9/15/01, and President Bush asked Rumsfeld to start working on plans November 21, 2001.
Assumption #9 of the initial cut of Iraq War planning was "Regional states would not interfere."
Bush on including Iran by name in the Axis of Evil: "I doubt the students and the reformers and the liberators inside Iran were displeased with that. I made the calculation that they would be pleased."
Rare sappy personal thread. Four years ago today, I opened a restaurant, a dream I had had for years. Two years ago today, I closed that restaurant. I’ve just been accumulating thoughts since then, so here they are. 1/
My first thought is of my wife and sons. I regret the stress I put them through. I worked 70+ hours a week for about three years. My wife supported our family and my youngest was born just before the restaurant opened. I missed out on so many memories of his development. 2/
I got home between twelve and three o’clock any given night, and I think I can count on one hand the number of times I couldn’t answer the bell at six or six-thirty. I knew we had obligations, and we mostly met them, but meeting them took a toll on me. On my wife more than me. 3/
The US is in the Middle East for three main reasons: oil, Israel, and terrorism. There must be something witchy about those things, because the region is a dwarf: ~3% of world GDP, ~3.5-5% world population. If a single state possessed those resources, we wouldn't worry much (2/)
Oil: FP scholars almost uniformly misunderstand how energy markets work. As M.A. Adelman argued in 2004, "U.S. oil policies are based on fantasies, not facts." The dreaded "oil weapon" is a dud, and normal instability doesn't cause economic catastrophe. (3/)